City of OnkaparingaPopulation forecast
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City of Onkaparinga

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Onkaparinga will increase by an average of 932 dwellings per annum to 91,763 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Onkaparinga. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
City of OnkaparingaChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
City of Onkaparinga+23,291+34.0
Aberfoyle Park+541+12.4
Aldinga - Port Willunga+1,090+88.7
Aldinga Beach+1,621+35.9
Christie Downs+1,639+69.1
Christies Beach+921+37.2
Clarendon - Kangarilla - Blewitt Springs - Kuitpo - Dorset Vale+90+11.7
Coromandel East - Cherry Gardens - Chandlers Hill - Ironbank+111+16.4
Coromandel Valley+139+12.8
Flagstaff Hill+511+13.6
Hackham+2,328+138.6
Hackham West+248+14.8
Happy Valley+473+10.2
Huntfield Heights+334+20.7
Maslin Beach+96+17.6
McLaren Flat+180+32.3
McLaren Vale+300+17.9
Moana+768+63.7
Morphett Vale+1,829+18.0
Noarlunga Centre - Noarlunga Downs+1,844+118.1
O'Halloran Hill - Darlington+207+16.9
O'Sullivan Beach+153+16.8
Old Noarlunga+62+10.4
Old Reynella+107+7.8
Onkaparinga Hills+46+5.0
Port Noarlunga+494+37.8
Port Noarlunga South+552+47.8
Reynella+277+14.0
Reynella East+54+6.1
Seaford+604+33.1
Seaford Heights+1,349+71375.3
Seaford Meadows+1,557+233.4
Seaford Rise+391+17.5
Sellicks Beach+1,548+121.9
Willunga and Surrounds+313+21.8
Woodcroft+514+12.5

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 91,763 2035 Total dwellings: 90,988 2034 Total dwellings: 90,213 2033 Total dwellings: 89,398 2032 Total dwellings: 88,463 2031 Total dwellings: 87,483 2030 Total dwellings: 86,502 2029 Total dwellings: 85,476 2028 Total dwellings: 84,441 2027 Total dwellings: 83,378 2026 Total dwellings: 82,355 2025 Total dwellings: 81,366 2024 Total dwellings: 80,363 2023 Total dwellings: 79,321 2022 Total dwellings: 78,298 2021 Total dwellings: 77,263 2020 Total dwellings: 76,307 2019 Total dwellings: 75,328 2018 Total dwellings: 74,429 2017 Total dwellings: 73,539 2016 Total dwellings: 72,934 2015 Total dwellings: 72,020 2014 Total dwellings: 70,917 2013 Total dwellings: 70,210 2012 Total dwellings: 69,431 2036 Total dwellings: 91,763 2035 Total dwellings: 90,988 2034 Total dwellings: 90,213 2033 Total dwellings: 89,398 2032 Total dwellings: 88,463 2031 Total dwellings: 87,483 2030 Total dwellings: 86,502 2029 Total dwellings: 85,476 2028 Total dwellings: 84,441 2027 Total dwellings: 83,378 2026 Total dwellings: 82,355 2025 Total dwellings: 81,366 2024 Total dwellings: 80,363 2023 Total dwellings: 79,321 2022 Total dwellings: 78,298 2021 Total dwellings: 77,263 2020 Total dwellings: 76,307 2019 Total dwellings: 75,328 2018 Total dwellings: 74,429 2017 Total dwellings: 73,539 2016 Total dwellings: 72,934 2015 Total dwellings: 72,020 2014 Total dwellings: 70,917 2013 Total dwellings: 70,210 2012 Total dwellings: 69,431 2036 Forecast development: 775 2035 Forecast development: 775 2034 Forecast development: 815 2033 Forecast development: 935 2032 Forecast development: 980 2031 Forecast development: 981 2030 Forecast development: 1,026 2029 Forecast development: 1,035 2028 Forecast development: 1,063 2027 Forecast development: 1,023 2026 Forecast development: 989 2025 Forecast development: 1,003 2024 Forecast development: 1,042 2023 Forecast development: 1,023 2022 Forecast development: 1,035 2021 Forecast development: 956 2020 Forecast development: 979 2019 Forecast development: 899 2018 Forecast development: 890 2017 Forecast development: 605 2016 Forecast development: 914 2015 Forecast development: 1,103 2014 Forecast development: 707 2013 Forecast development: 779 2012 Forecast development: 959
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2016.
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