City of OnkaparingaPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Onkaparinga

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in City of Onkaparinga will increase by an average of 941 dwellings per annum to 91,308 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the City of Onkaparinga. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
City of OnkaparingaChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
City of Onkaparinga+18,829+26.0
Aberfoyle Park+483+11.0
Aldinga - Port Willunga+997+75.9
Aldinga Beach+1,137+23.3
Christie Downs+1,487+58.8
Christies Beach+675+25.7
Clarendon - Kangarilla - Blewitt Springs - Kuitpo - Dorset Vale+62+8.1
Coromandel East - Cherry Gardens - Chandlers Hill - Ironbank+94+14.0
Coromandel Valley+119+10.8
Flagstaff Hill+412+10.8
Hackham+2,281+135.4
Hackham West+218+12.8
Happy Valley+389+8.2
Huntfield Heights+226+13.1
Maslin Beach+61+10.9
McLaren Flat+149+26.5
McLaren Vale+204+11.6
Moana+741+59.4
Morphett Vale+1,456+13.8
Noarlunga Centre - Noarlunga Downs+1,595+87.9
O'Halloran Hill - Darlington+114+8.9
O'Sullivan Beach+116+12.5
Old Noarlunga+25+4.0
Old Reynella+37+2.5
Onkaparinga Hills+38+4.1
Port Noarlunga+411+29.2
Port Noarlunga South+484+39.4
Reynella+156+7.4
Reynella East+39+4.2
Seaford+483+24.6
Seaford Heights+1,325+5412.6
Seaford Meadows+685+44.6
Seaford Rise+145+6.0
Sellicks Beach+1,456+108.9
Willunga and Surrounds+254+16.7
Woodcroft+275+6.3
Northern District+1,556+9.6
Central North District+8,933+27.1
Central South District+3,949+41.2
Southern District+3,590+47.7
Hills North District+194+8.2
Hills South District+607+15.8

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 91,308 2035 Total dwellings: 90,533 2034 Total dwellings: 89,758 2033 Total dwellings: 88,943 2032 Total dwellings: 88,008 2031 Total dwellings: 87,028 2030 Total dwellings: 86,047 2029 Total dwellings: 85,021 2028 Total dwellings: 83,986 2027 Total dwellings: 82,923 2026 Total dwellings: 81,900 2025 Total dwellings: 80,911 2024 Total dwellings: 79,908 2023 Total dwellings: 78,866 2022 Total dwellings: 77,843 2021 Total dwellings: 76,808 2020 Total dwellings: 75,852 2019 Total dwellings: 74,873 2018 Total dwellings: 73,974 2017 Total dwellings: 73,084 2036 Total dwellings: 91,308 2035 Total dwellings: 90,533 2034 Total dwellings: 89,758 2033 Total dwellings: 88,943 2032 Total dwellings: 88,008 2031 Total dwellings: 87,028 2030 Total dwellings: 86,047 2029 Total dwellings: 85,021 2028 Total dwellings: 83,986 2027 Total dwellings: 82,923 2026 Total dwellings: 81,900 2025 Total dwellings: 80,911 2024 Total dwellings: 79,908 2023 Total dwellings: 78,866 2022 Total dwellings: 77,843 2021 Total dwellings: 76,808 2020 Total dwellings: 75,852 2019 Total dwellings: 74,873 2018 Total dwellings: 73,974 2017 Total dwellings: 73,084 2036 Forecast development: 775 2035 Forecast development: 775 2034 Forecast development: 815 2033 Forecast development: 935 2032 Forecast development: 980 2031 Forecast development: 981 2030 Forecast development: 1,026 2029 Forecast development: 1,035 2028 Forecast development: 1,063 2027 Forecast development: 1,023 2026 Forecast development: 989 2025 Forecast development: 1,003 2024 Forecast development: 1,042 2023 Forecast development: 1,023 2022 Forecast development: 1,035 2021 Forecast development: 956 2020 Forecast development: 979 2019 Forecast development: 899 2018 Forecast development: 890 2017 Forecast development: 605
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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