Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Northern Beaches Council area

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Northern Beaches Council area will increase by an average of 957 dwellings per annum to 121,723 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Northern Beaches Council area. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Northern Beaches Council areaChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Northern Beaches Council area+19,137+18.7
Allambie Heights+255+10.3
Avalon Beach - Clareville+171+4.0
Balgowlah+436+12.7
Balgowlah Heights - Clontarf+60+3.4
Bayview+48+2.8
Beacon Hill+429+17.5
Belrose - Oxford Falls+645+20.0
Bilgola+16+1.2
Brookvale+342+23.0
Church Point - Scotland Island - Ku-ring-gai Chase+10+0.8
Collaroy+521+15.9
Collaroy Plateau+152+10.1
Cromer+429+15.3
Curl Curl - North Curl Curl+236+10.6
Davidson+246+26.3
Dee Why+2,695+26.4
Elanora Heights+77+5.3
Fairlight+192+6.9
Forestville+611+19.9
Frenchs Forest+2,718+60.9
Freshwater+609+15.8
Ingleside+2,765+848.2
Killarney Heights+355+24.1
Manly (Eastern Hill)+66+2.4
Manly (Pittwater Road)+535+13.7
Manly (Town Centre)+583+31.7
Manly Vale+599+22.9
Mona Vale+257+5.9
Narrabeen+621+15.1
Narraweena+443+17.9
Newport+144+3.7
North Balgowlah+171+14.2
North Manly+147+14.1
North Narrabeen+83+3.8
Palm Beach - Whale Beach+25+1.7
Queenscliff+68+4.0
Seaforth+214+8.7
Terrey Hills - Duffys Forest+203+17.6
Warriewood+865+32.1
Wheeler Heights+95+9.6
Manly+1,184+13.9

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 121,723 2035 Total dwellings: 120,727 2034 Total dwellings: 119,725 2033 Total dwellings: 118,711 2032 Total dwellings: 117,701 2031 Total dwellings: 116,680 2030 Total dwellings: 115,658 2029 Total dwellings: 114,668 2028 Total dwellings: 113,678 2027 Total dwellings: 112,671 2026 Total dwellings: 111,677 2025 Total dwellings: 110,720 2024 Total dwellings: 109,763 2023 Total dwellings: 108,820 2022 Total dwellings: 107,872 2021 Total dwellings: 106,941 2020 Total dwellings: 106,042 2019 Total dwellings: 105,138 2018 Total dwellings: 104,219 2017 Total dwellings: 103,342 2036 Total dwellings: 121,723 2035 Total dwellings: 120,727 2034 Total dwellings: 119,725 2033 Total dwellings: 118,711 2032 Total dwellings: 117,701 2031 Total dwellings: 116,680 2030 Total dwellings: 115,658 2029 Total dwellings: 114,668 2028 Total dwellings: 113,678 2027 Total dwellings: 112,671 2026 Total dwellings: 111,677 2025 Total dwellings: 110,720 2024 Total dwellings: 109,763 2023 Total dwellings: 108,820 2022 Total dwellings: 107,872 2021 Total dwellings: 106,941 2020 Total dwellings: 106,042 2019 Total dwellings: 105,138 2018 Total dwellings: 104,219 2017 Total dwellings: 103,342 2036 Forecast development: 996 2035 Forecast development: 1,002 2034 Forecast development: 1,014 2033 Forecast development: 1,010 2032 Forecast development: 1,021 2031 Forecast development: 1,022 2030 Forecast development: 990 2029 Forecast development: 990 2028 Forecast development: 1,007 2027 Forecast development: 994 2026 Forecast development: 957 2025 Forecast development: 957 2024 Forecast development: 943 2023 Forecast development: 948 2022 Forecast development: 931 2021 Forecast development: 899 2020 Forecast development: 904 2019 Forecast development: 919 2018 Forecast development: 877 2017 Forecast development: 756
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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