Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Northern Beaches Council area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the Northern Beaches Council area is forecast to grow from 98,820 in 2011 to 111,348 in 2021, with the average household size falling from 2.64 to 2.60 by 2021.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Northern Beaches Council area. The period 2011 to 2021, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Northern Beaches Council areaForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population251,694262,532272,424283,423294,907306,682
Change in population (5yrs)--10,8389,89111,00011,48411,775
Average annual change--0.85%0.74%0.79%0.80%0.79%
Households94,21498,294102,685107,395112,295117,205
Average household size2.642.642.622.602.592.58
Population in non private dwellings3,0793,4993,5993,7493,8293,829
Dwellings98,820102,257106,612111,348116,351121,394
Dwelling occupancy rate95.3496.1296.3296.4596.5196.55

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.58 2035 Average household size: 2.59 2034 Average household size: 2.59 2033 Average household size: 2.59 2032 Average household size: 2.59 2031 Average household size: 2.59 2030 Average household size: 2.59 2029 Average household size: 2.60 2028 Average household size: 2.60 2027 Average household size: 2.60 2026 Average household size: 2.60 2025 Average household size: 2.61 2024 Average household size: 2.61 2023 Average household size: 2.61 2022 Average household size: 2.62 2021 Average household size: 2.62 2020 Average household size: 2.62 2019 Average household size: 2.62 2018 Average household size: 2.63 2017 Average household size: 2.63 2016 Average household size: 2.64 2015 Average household size: 2.64 2014 Average household size: 2.64 2013 Average household size: 2.64 2012 Average household size: 2.64 2011 Average household size: 2.64 2036 Average household size: 2.58 2035 Average household size: 2.59 2034 Average household size: 2.59 2033 Average household size: 2.59 2032 Average household size: 2.59 2031 Average household size: 2.59 2030 Average household size: 2.59 2029 Average household size: 2.60 2028 Average household size: 2.60 2027 Average household size: 2.60 2026 Average household size: 2.60 2025 Average household size: 2.61 2024 Average household size: 2.61 2023 Average household size: 2.61 2022 Average household size: 2.62 2021 Average household size: 2.62 2020 Average household size: 2.62 2019 Average household size: 2.62 2018 Average household size: 2.63 2017 Average household size: 2.63 2016 Average household size: 2.64 2015 Average household size: 2.64 2014 Average household size: 2.64 2013 Average household size: 2.64 2012 Average household size: 2.64 2036 Households: 117,202 2035 Households: 116,232 2034 Households: 115,257 2033 Households: 114,269 2032 Households: 113,285 2031 Households: 112,290 2030 Households: 111,294 2029 Households: 110,327 2028 Households: 109,354 2027 Households: 108,367 2026 Households: 107,392 2025 Households: 106,449 2024 Households: 105,499 2023 Households: 104,563 2022 Households: 103,619 2021 Households: 102,690 2020 Households: 101,791 2019 Households: 100,884 2018 Households: 99,970 2017 Households: 99,078 2016 Households: 98,295 2015 Households: 97,447 2014 Households: 96,566 2013 Households: 95,834 2012 Households: 95,021 2011 Households: 94,211 2036 Total population: 306,682 2035 Total population: 304,337 2034 Total population: 301,996 2033 Total population: 299,615 2032 Total population: 297,281 2031 Total population: 294,907 2030 Total population: 292,478 2029 Total population: 290,229 2028 Total population: 287,971 2027 Total population: 285,673 2026 Total population: 283,423 2025 Total population: 281,112 2024 Total population: 278,913 2023 Total population: 276,732 2022 Total population: 274,564 2021 Total population: 272,424 2020 Total population: 270,244 2019 Total population: 268,201 2018 Total population: 266,221 2017 Total population: 264,225 2016 Total population: 262,532 2015 Total population: 260,279 2014 Total population: 258,057 2013 Total population: 255,861 2012 Total population: 253,906 2011 Total population: 251,694
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of the Northern Beaches Council area was estimated to be 251,694 people. It is expected to increase by over 31,700 people to 283,423 by 2021, at an average annual growth rate of 1.19%. This is based on an increase of over 13,100 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.64 to 2.60 by 2021.

v17.06.20-1.0.0