Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Northern Beaches Council area

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Northern Beaches Council area is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Northern Beaches Council area depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Attraction of families and childless couples(0-9 and 30-44 years)
  • Loss of empty-nesters (50-59 years)
  • Little net change thorugh migration in older persons (60+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 407 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -137 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -236 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -414 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -694 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -927 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -1,171 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -417 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,678 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 2,510 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,298 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 360 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -843 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -573 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 205 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 198 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 414 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -132 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -329 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -409 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -581 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -1,038 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -1,114 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -996 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,567 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 2,163 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,993 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 598 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -667 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -975 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -254 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 407 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -137 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -236 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -414 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -694 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -927 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -1,171 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -417 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 235 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,678 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 2,510 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,298 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 360 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -843 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -573 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 205 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 198 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 414 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -132 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -329 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -409 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -581 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -1,038 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -1,114 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -996 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 36 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,567 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 2,163 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 1,993 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 598 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -667 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -975 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -254 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 96
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
v17.11.15-1.0.1