Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Northern Beaches Council area

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Northern Beaches Council area is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Northern Beaches Council area depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Attraction of families (0-14 and 30-44 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-29 years), mostly home leavers accessing affordable housing, employment and education opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of empty-nesters (50-59 years)
  • Little net change thorugh migration in older persons (60+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 355 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -391 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -622 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -835 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -1,048 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -469 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 219 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,766 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 2,545 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,296 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 450 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -750 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -474 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 199 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 355 0 2016 to 2021: 356 0 2016 to 2021: 20 0 2016 to 2021: -119 0 2016 to 2021: -300 0 2016 to 2021: -400 0 2016 to 2021: -532 0 2016 to 2021: -914 0 2016 to 2021: -965 0 2016 to 2021: -808 0 2016 to 2021: -50 0 2016 to 2021: 1,575 0 2016 to 2021: 2,260 0 2016 to 2021: 1,926 0 2016 to 2021: 559 0 2016 to 2021: -540 0 2016 to 2021: -661 0 2016 to 2021: 35 0 2016 to 2021: 184 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 118 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -190 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -441 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -447 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -602 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -854 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -537 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -549 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,250 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,907 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,913 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 733 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -137 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -157 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 113 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 198 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 355 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -205 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -391 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -622 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -835 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -1,048 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -469 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 219 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,766 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 2,545 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 2,296 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 450 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -750 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -474 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 199 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 355 0 2016 to 2021: 356 0 2016 to 2021: 20 0 2016 to 2021: -119 0 2016 to 2021: -300 0 2016 to 2021: -400 0 2016 to 2021: -532 0 2016 to 2021: -914 0 2016 to 2021: -965 0 2016 to 2021: -808 0 2016 to 2021: -50 0 2016 to 2021: 1,575 0 2016 to 2021: 2,260 0 2016 to 2021: 1,926 0 2016 to 2021: 559 0 2016 to 2021: -540 0 2016 to 2021: -661 0 2016 to 2021: 35 0 2016 to 2021: 184 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 118 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -190 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -441 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -447 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -602 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -854 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -537 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -549 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,250 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,907 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,913 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 733 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -137 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -157 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 113 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 198
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
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