Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Northern Beaches Council area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Northern Beaches Council area is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 11,958 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Northern Beaches Council areaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--17,62317,97318,62219,426
Deaths--9,0759,85010,80311,704
Natural increase/decrease--8,5488,1247,8197,722
Net migration--4112,2733,5274,236
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--100150800

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,395 2035 forecast population change: 2,382 2034 forecast population change: 2,444 2033 forecast population change: 2,364 2032 forecast population change: 2,373 2031 forecast population change: 2,491 2030 forecast population change: 2,268 2029 forecast population change: 2,208 2028 forecast population change: 2,234 2027 forecast population change: 2,225 2026 forecast population change: 2,255 2025 forecast population change: 2,071 2024 forecast population change: 2,123 2023 forecast population change: 2,074 2022 forecast population change: 2,024 2021 forecast population change: 1,994 2020 forecast population change: 1,890 2019 forecast population change: 1,776 2018 forecast population change: 1,873 2017 forecast population change: 1,526
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,549 2035 Natural increase: 1,545 2034 Natural increase: 1,542 2033 Natural increase: 1,543 2032 Natural increase: 1,544 2031 Natural increase: 1,549 2030 Natural increase: 1,554 2029 Natural increase: 1,562 2028 Natural increase: 1,573 2027 Natural increase: 1,581 2026 Natural increase: 1,595 2025 Natural increase: 1,611 2024 Natural increase: 1,623 2023 Natural increase: 1,639 2022 Natural increase: 1,655 2021 Natural increase: 1,671 2020 Natural increase: 1,693 2019 Natural increase: 1,714 2018 Natural increase: 1,730 2017 Natural increase: 1,741 2036 Total deaths: 2,403 2035 Total deaths: 2,375 2034 Total deaths: 2,343 2033 Total deaths: 2,309 2032 Total deaths: 2,275 2031 Total deaths: 2,236 2030 Total deaths: 2,199 2029 Total deaths: 2,162 2028 Total deaths: 2,122 2027 Total deaths: 2,084 2026 Total deaths: 2,044 2025 Total deaths: 2,005 2024 Total deaths: 1,969 2023 Total deaths: 1,933 2022 Total deaths: 1,899 2021 Total deaths: 1,869 2020 Total deaths: 1,837 2019 Total deaths: 1,811 2018 Total deaths: 1,786 2017 Total deaths: 1,773 2036 Total births: 3,951 2035 Total births: 3,919 2034 Total births: 3,885 2033 Total births: 3,852 2032 Total births: 3,818 2031 Total births: 3,785 2030 Total births: 3,754 2029 Total births: 3,724 2028 Total births: 3,695 2027 Total births: 3,665 2026 Total births: 3,640 2025 Total births: 3,616 2024 Total births: 3,592 2023 Total births: 3,571 2022 Total births: 3,554 2021 Total births: 3,540 2020 Total births: 3,530 2019 Total births: 3,524 2018 Total births: 3,516 2017 Total births: 3,514 2036 Natural increase: 1,549 2035 Natural increase: 1,545 2034 Natural increase: 1,542 2033 Natural increase: 1,543 2032 Natural increase: 1,544 2031 Natural increase: 1,549 2030 Natural increase: 1,554 2029 Natural increase: 1,562 2028 Natural increase: 1,573 2027 Natural increase: 1,581 2026 Natural increase: 1,595 2025 Natural increase: 1,611 2024 Natural increase: 1,623 2023 Natural increase: 1,639 2022 Natural increase: 1,655 2021 Natural increase: 1,671 2020 Natural increase: 1,693 2019 Natural increase: 1,714 2018 Natural increase: 1,730 2017 Natural increase: 1,741 2036 Total deaths: 2,403 2035 Total deaths: 2,375 2034 Total deaths: 2,343 2033 Total deaths: 2,309 2032 Total deaths: 2,275 2031 Total deaths: 2,236 2030 Total deaths: 2,199 2029 Total deaths: 2,162 2028 Total deaths: 2,122 2027 Total deaths: 2,084 2026 Total deaths: 2,044 2025 Total deaths: 2,005 2024 Total deaths: 1,969 2023 Total deaths: 1,933 2022 Total deaths: 1,899 2021 Total deaths: 1,869 2020 Total deaths: 1,837 2019 Total deaths: 1,811 2018 Total deaths: 1,786 2017 Total deaths: 1,773 2036 Total births: 3,951 2035 Total births: 3,919 2034 Total births: 3,885 2033 Total births: 3,852 2032 Total births: 3,818 2031 Total births: 3,785 2030 Total births: 3,754 2029 Total births: 3,724 2028 Total births: 3,695 2027 Total births: 3,665 2026 Total births: 3,640 2025 Total births: 3,616 2024 Total births: 3,592 2023 Total births: 3,571 2022 Total births: 3,554 2021 Total births: 3,540 2020 Total births: 3,530 2019 Total births: 3,524 2018 Total births: 3,516 2017 Total births: 3,514
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 847 2035 Total net migration: 837 2034 Total net migration: 902 2033 Total net migration: 821 2032 Total net migration: 829 2031 Total net migration: 863 2030 Total net migration: 713 2029 Total net migration: 646 2028 Total net migration: 661 2027 Total net migration: 644 2026 Total net migration: 510 2025 Total net migration: 460 2024 Total net migration: 499 2023 Total net migration: 435 2022 Total net migration: 369 2021 Total net migration: 223 2020 Total net migration: 198 2019 Total net migration: 62 2018 Total net migration: 143 2017 Total net migration: -214 2036 Total out migration: 25,158 2035 Total out migration: 24,971 2034 Total out migration: 24,773 2033 Total out migration: 24,583 2032 Total out migration: 24,390 2031 Total out migration: 24,196 2030 Total out migration: 24,006 2029 Total out migration: 23,828 2028 Total out migration: 23,645 2027 Total out migration: 23,463 2026 Total out migration: 23,304 2025 Total out migration: 23,150 2024 Total out migration: 22,984 2023 Total out migration: 22,836 2022 Total out migration: 22,692 2021 Total out migration: 22,567 2020 Total out migration: 22,445 2019 Total out migration: 22,345 2018 Total out migration: 22,219 2017 Total out migration: 22,183 2036 Total in migration: 26,004 2035 Total in migration: 25,808 2034 Total in migration: 25,675 2033 Total in migration: 25,404 2032 Total in migration: 25,219 2031 Total in migration: 25,059 2030 Total in migration: 24,719 2029 Total in migration: 24,474 2028 Total in migration: 24,306 2027 Total in migration: 24,107 2026 Total in migration: 23,814 2025 Total in migration: 23,609 2024 Total in migration: 23,484 2023 Total in migration: 23,271 2022 Total in migration: 23,061 2021 Total in migration: 22,790 2020 Total in migration: 22,642 2019 Total in migration: 22,407 2018 Total in migration: 22,362 2017 Total in migration: 21,968 2036 Total net migration: 847 2035 Total net migration: 837 2034 Total net migration: 902 2033 Total net migration: 821 2032 Total net migration: 829 2031 Total net migration: 863 2030 Total net migration: 713 2029 Total net migration: 646 2028 Total net migration: 661 2027 Total net migration: 644 2026 Total net migration: 510 2025 Total net migration: 460 2024 Total net migration: 499 2023 Total net migration: 435 2022 Total net migration: 369 2021 Total net migration: 223 2020 Total net migration: 198 2019 Total net migration: 62 2018 Total net migration: 143 2017 Total net migration: -214 2036 Total out migration: 25,158 2035 Total out migration: 24,971 2034 Total out migration: 24,773 2033 Total out migration: 24,583 2032 Total out migration: 24,390 2031 Total out migration: 24,196 2030 Total out migration: 24,006 2029 Total out migration: 23,828 2028 Total out migration: 23,645 2027 Total out migration: 23,463 2026 Total out migration: 23,304 2025 Total out migration: 23,150 2024 Total out migration: 22,984 2023 Total out migration: 22,836 2022 Total out migration: 22,692 2021 Total out migration: 22,567 2020 Total out migration: 22,445 2019 Total out migration: 22,345 2018 Total out migration: 22,219 2017 Total out migration: 22,183 2036 Total in migration: 26,004 2035 Total in migration: 25,808 2034 Total in migration: 25,675 2033 Total in migration: 25,404 2032 Total in migration: 25,219 2031 Total in migration: 25,059 2030 Total in migration: 24,719 2029 Total in migration: 24,474 2028 Total in migration: 24,306 2027 Total in migration: 24,107 2026 Total in migration: 23,814 2025 Total in migration: 23,609 2024 Total in migration: 23,484 2023 Total in migration: 23,271 2022 Total in migration: 23,061 2021 Total in migration: 22,790 2020 Total in migration: 22,642 2019 Total in migration: 22,407 2018 Total in migration: 22,362 2017 Total in migration: 21,968
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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