Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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Northern Beaches Council area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Northern Beaches Council area is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 11,774 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Northern Beaches Council areaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births17,35617,33417,71818,41219,197
Deaths8,7939,1699,92810,78511,635
Natural increase/decrease8,5638,1657,7917,6277,562
Net migration2,3121,6263,0593,7774,213
Change in persons in non-private dwellings420100150800

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,344 2035 forecast population change: 2,342 2034 forecast population change: 2,381 2033 forecast population change: 2,334 2032 forecast population change: 2,374 2031 forecast population change: 2,429 2030 forecast population change: 2,249 2029 forecast population change: 2,257 2028 forecast population change: 2,299 2027 forecast population change: 2,249 2026 forecast population change: 2,311 2025 forecast population change: 2,199 2024 forecast population change: 2,182 2023 forecast population change: 2,167 2022 forecast population change: 2,140 2021 forecast population change: 2,180 2020 forecast population change: 2,043 2019 forecast population change: 1,981 2018 forecast population change: 1,995 2017 forecast population change: 1,693 2016 forecast population change: 2,253 2015 forecast population change: 2,222 2014 forecast population change: 2,196 2013 forecast population change: 1,955 2012 forecast population change: 2,212
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,516 2035 Natural increase: 1,512 2034 Natural increase: 1,509 2033 Natural increase: 1,513 2032 Natural increase: 1,511 2031 Natural increase: 1,516 2030 Natural increase: 1,520 2029 Natural increase: 1,524 2028 Natural increase: 1,531 2027 Natural increase: 1,536 2026 Natural increase: 1,543 2025 Natural increase: 1,550 2024 Natural increase: 1,556 2023 Natural increase: 1,565 2022 Natural increase: 1,576 2021 Natural increase: 1,586 2020 Natural increase: 1,603 2019 Natural increase: 1,627 2018 Natural increase: 1,655 2017 Natural increase: 1,695 2016 Natural increase: 1,723 2015 Natural increase: 1,755 2014 Natural increase: 1,659 2013 Natural increase: 1,730 2012 Natural increase: 1,696 2036 Total deaths: 2,387 2035 Total deaths: 2,360 2034 Total deaths: 2,330 2033 Total deaths: 2,295 2032 Total deaths: 2,263 2031 Total deaths: 2,227 2030 Total deaths: 2,193 2029 Total deaths: 2,159 2028 Total deaths: 2,121 2027 Total deaths: 2,086 2026 Total deaths: 2,052 2025 Total deaths: 2,017 2024 Total deaths: 1,985 2023 Total deaths: 1,953 2022 Total deaths: 1,921 2021 Total deaths: 1,893 2020 Total deaths: 1,864 2019 Total deaths: 1,836 2018 Total deaths: 1,805 2017 Total deaths: 1,771 2016 Total deaths: 1,747 2015 Total deaths: 1,716 2014 Total deaths: 1,806 2013 Total deaths: 1,775 2012 Total deaths: 1,748 2036 Total births: 3,904 2035 Total births: 3,872 2034 Total births: 3,840 2033 Total births: 3,808 2032 Total births: 3,774 2031 Total births: 3,742 2030 Total births: 3,713 2029 Total births: 3,683 2028 Total births: 3,652 2027 Total births: 3,622 2026 Total births: 3,595 2025 Total births: 3,567 2024 Total births: 3,541 2023 Total births: 3,518 2022 Total births: 3,497 2021 Total births: 3,479 2020 Total births: 3,468 2019 Total births: 3,462 2018 Total births: 3,459 2017 Total births: 3,466 2016 Total births: 3,470 2015 Total births: 3,471 2014 Total births: 3,466 2013 Total births: 3,505 2012 Total births: 3,444 2036 Natural increase: 1,516 2035 Natural increase: 1,512 2034 Natural increase: 1,509 2033 Natural increase: 1,513 2032 Natural increase: 1,511 2031 Natural increase: 1,516 2030 Natural increase: 1,520 2029 Natural increase: 1,524 2028 Natural increase: 1,531 2027 Natural increase: 1,536 2026 Natural increase: 1,543 2025 Natural increase: 1,550 2024 Natural increase: 1,556 2023 Natural increase: 1,565 2022 Natural increase: 1,576 2021 Natural increase: 1,586 2020 Natural increase: 1,603 2019 Natural increase: 1,627 2018 Natural increase: 1,655 2017 Natural increase: 1,695 2016 Natural increase: 1,723 2015 Natural increase: 1,755 2014 Natural increase: 1,659 2013 Natural increase: 1,730 2012 Natural increase: 1,696 2036 Total deaths: 2,387 2035 Total deaths: 2,360 2034 Total deaths: 2,330 2033 Total deaths: 2,295 2032 Total deaths: 2,263 2031 Total deaths: 2,227 2030 Total deaths: 2,193 2029 Total deaths: 2,159 2028 Total deaths: 2,121 2027 Total deaths: 2,086 2026 Total deaths: 2,052 2025 Total deaths: 2,017 2024 Total deaths: 1,985 2023 Total deaths: 1,953 2022 Total deaths: 1,921 2021 Total deaths: 1,893 2020 Total deaths: 1,864 2019 Total deaths: 1,836 2018 Total deaths: 1,805 2017 Total deaths: 1,771 2016 Total deaths: 1,747 2015 Total deaths: 1,716 2014 Total deaths: 1,806 2013 Total deaths: 1,775 2012 Total deaths: 1,748 2036 Total births: 3,904 2035 Total births: 3,872 2034 Total births: 3,840 2033 Total births: 3,808 2032 Total births: 3,774 2031 Total births: 3,742 2030 Total births: 3,713 2029 Total births: 3,683 2028 Total births: 3,652 2027 Total births: 3,622 2026 Total births: 3,595 2025 Total births: 3,567 2024 Total births: 3,541 2023 Total births: 3,518 2022 Total births: 3,497 2021 Total births: 3,479 2020 Total births: 3,468 2019 Total births: 3,462 2018 Total births: 3,459 2017 Total births: 3,466 2016 Total births: 3,470 2015 Total births: 3,471 2014 Total births: 3,466 2013 Total births: 3,505 2012 Total births: 3,444
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 828 2035 Total net migration: 830 2034 Total net migration: 872 2033 Total net migration: 821 2032 Total net migration: 862 2031 Total net migration: 834 2030 Total net migration: 729 2029 Total net migration: 733 2028 Total net migration: 768 2027 Total net migration: 713 2026 Total net migration: 618 2025 Total net migration: 649 2024 Total net migration: 626 2023 Total net migration: 602 2022 Total net migration: 564 2021 Total net migration: 494 2020 Total net migration: 439 2019 Total net migration: 354 2018 Total net migration: 341 2017 Total net migration: -2 2016 Total net migration: 256 2015 Total net migration: 467 2014 Total net migration: 411 2013 Total net migration: 683 2012 Total net migration: 496 2036 Total out migration: 24,930 2035 Total out migration: 24,746 2034 Total out migration: 24,556 2033 Total out migration: 24,367 2032 Total out migration: 24,174 2031 Total out migration: 23,985 2030 Total out migration: 23,802 2029 Total out migration: 23,622 2028 Total out migration: 23,433 2027 Total out migration: 23,253 2026 Total out migration: 23,083 2025 Total out migration: 22,912 2024 Total out migration: 22,748 2023 Total out migration: 22,589 2022 Total out migration: 22,443 2021 Total out migration: 22,304 2020 Total out migration: 22,178 2019 Total out migration: 22,056 2018 Total out migration: 21,939 2017 Total out migration: 21,869 2016 Total out migration: 21,782 2015 Total out migration: 21,689 2014 Total out migration: 21,561 2013 Total out migration: 21,540 2012 Total out migration: 21,883 2036 Total in migration: 25,758 2035 Total in migration: 25,575 2034 Total in migration: 25,428 2033 Total in migration: 25,188 2032 Total in migration: 25,037 2031 Total in migration: 24,819 2030 Total in migration: 24,531 2029 Total in migration: 24,355 2028 Total in migration: 24,201 2027 Total in migration: 23,966 2026 Total in migration: 23,701 2025 Total in migration: 23,561 2024 Total in migration: 23,374 2023 Total in migration: 23,192 2022 Total in migration: 23,007 2021 Total in migration: 22,798 2020 Total in migration: 22,618 2019 Total in migration: 22,410 2018 Total in migration: 22,280 2017 Total in migration: 21,867 2016 Total in migration: 22,038 2015 Total in migration: 22,157 2014 Total in migration: 21,971 2013 Total in migration: 22,223 2012 Total in migration: 22,378 2036 Total net migration: 828 2035 Total net migration: 830 2034 Total net migration: 872 2033 Total net migration: 821 2032 Total net migration: 862 2031 Total net migration: 834 2030 Total net migration: 729 2029 Total net migration: 733 2028 Total net migration: 768 2027 Total net migration: 713 2026 Total net migration: 618 2025 Total net migration: 649 2024 Total net migration: 626 2023 Total net migration: 602 2022 Total net migration: 564 2021 Total net migration: 494 2020 Total net migration: 439 2019 Total net migration: 354 2018 Total net migration: 341 2017 Total net migration: -2 2016 Total net migration: 256 2015 Total net migration: 467 2014 Total net migration: 411 2013 Total net migration: 683 2012 Total net migration: 496 2036 Total out migration: 24,930 2035 Total out migration: 24,746 2034 Total out migration: 24,556 2033 Total out migration: 24,367 2032 Total out migration: 24,174 2031 Total out migration: 23,985 2030 Total out migration: 23,802 2029 Total out migration: 23,622 2028 Total out migration: 23,433 2027 Total out migration: 23,253 2026 Total out migration: 23,083 2025 Total out migration: 22,912 2024 Total out migration: 22,748 2023 Total out migration: 22,589 2022 Total out migration: 22,443 2021 Total out migration: 22,304 2020 Total out migration: 22,178 2019 Total out migration: 22,056 2018 Total out migration: 21,939 2017 Total out migration: 21,869 2016 Total out migration: 21,782 2015 Total out migration: 21,689 2014 Total out migration: 21,561 2013 Total out migration: 21,540 2012 Total out migration: 21,883 2036 Total in migration: 25,758 2035 Total in migration: 25,575 2034 Total in migration: 25,428 2033 Total in migration: 25,188 2032 Total in migration: 25,037 2031 Total in migration: 24,819 2030 Total in migration: 24,531 2029 Total in migration: 24,355 2028 Total in migration: 24,201 2027 Total in migration: 23,966 2026 Total in migration: 23,701 2025 Total in migration: 23,561 2024 Total in migration: 23,374 2023 Total in migration: 23,192 2022 Total in migration: 23,007 2021 Total in migration: 22,798 2020 Total in migration: 22,618 2019 Total in migration: 22,410 2018 Total in migration: 22,280 2017 Total in migration: 21,867 2016 Total in migration: 22,038 2015 Total in migration: 22,157 2014 Total in migration: 21,971 2013 Total in migration: 22,223 2012 Total in migration: 22,378
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
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