Northern Beaches CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Northern Beaches Council area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the Northern Beaches Council area is forecast to grow from 102,585 in 2016 to 116,679 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.67 to 2.62 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Northern Beaches Council area. The period 2016 to 2021, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Northern Beaches Council areaForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population266,344275,403285,949297,375309,333
Change in population (5yrs)--9,05910,54611,42611,958
Average annual change--0.67%0.75%0.79%0.79%
Households98,473102,768107,387112,226117,104
Average household size2.672.652.632.622.61
Population in non private dwellings3,4703,5703,7203,8003,800
Dwellings102,585106,940111,676116,679121,722
Dwelling occupancy rate95.9996.1096.1696.1896.21

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.61 2035 Average household size: 2.61 2034 Average household size: 2.61 2033 Average household size: 2.61 2032 Average household size: 2.61 2031 Average household size: 2.62 2030 Average household size: 2.62 2029 Average household size: 2.62 2028 Average household size: 2.62 2027 Average household size: 2.63 2026 Average household size: 2.63 2025 Average household size: 2.63 2024 Average household size: 2.64 2023 Average household size: 2.64 2022 Average household size: 2.64 2021 Average household size: 2.65 2020 Average household size: 2.65 2019 Average household size: 2.65 2018 Average household size: 2.66 2017 Average household size: 2.66 2016 Average household size: 2.67 2036 Average household size: 2.61 2035 Average household size: 2.61 2034 Average household size: 2.61 2033 Average household size: 2.61 2032 Average household size: 2.61 2031 Average household size: 2.62 2030 Average household size: 2.62 2029 Average household size: 2.62 2028 Average household size: 2.62 2027 Average household size: 2.63 2026 Average household size: 2.63 2025 Average household size: 2.63 2024 Average household size: 2.64 2023 Average household size: 2.64 2022 Average household size: 2.64 2021 Average household size: 2.65 2020 Average household size: 2.65 2019 Average household size: 2.65 2018 Average household size: 2.66 2017 Average household size: 2.66 2036 Households: 117,105 2035 Households: 116,139 2034 Households: 115,168 2033 Households: 114,184 2032 Households: 113,206 2031 Households: 112,223 2030 Households: 111,235 2029 Households: 110,277 2028 Households: 109,318 2027 Households: 108,345 2026 Households: 107,383 2025 Households: 106,456 2024 Households: 105,523 2023 Households: 104,604 2022 Households: 103,679 2021 Households: 102,768 2020 Households: 101,888 2019 Households: 101,004 2018 Households: 100,114 2017 Households: 99,241 2016 Households: 98,477 2036 Total population: 309,333 2035 Total population: 306,938 2034 Total population: 304,556 2033 Total population: 302,112 2032 Total population: 299,748 2031 Total population: 297,375 2030 Total population: 294,884 2029 Total population: 292,616 2028 Total population: 290,408 2027 Total population: 288,175 2026 Total population: 285,949 2025 Total population: 283,694 2024 Total population: 281,623 2023 Total population: 279,500 2022 Total population: 277,427 2021 Total population: 275,403 2020 Total population: 273,409 2019 Total population: 271,519 2018 Total population: 269,743 2017 Total population: 267,870 2016 Total population: 266,344
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of the Northern Beaches Council area was estimated to be 266,344 people. It is expected to increase by over 31,000 people to 297,375 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.23%. This is based on an increase of over 13,700 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.67 to 2.62 by 2031.

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