Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Nillumbik Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Nillumbik Shire will increase by an average of 194 dwellings per annum to 25,881 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Nillumbik Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Nillumbik ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Nillumbik Shire+3,876+17.6
Diamond Creek+1,213+29.0
Eltham (Central)+1,272+39.0
Eltham (East)+43+3.2
Eltham (Edendale)+74+6.8
Eltham (South)+134+11.3
Eltham North+122+7.7
Greensborough+87+4.7
Hurstbridge+112+8.8
Kangaroo Ground - Wattle Glen+113+11.1
North Warrandyte+65+6.2
Plenty - Yarrambat+398+30.7
Research+67+7.1
Rural East+73+5.9
Rural North West+103+15.5

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 25,881 2035 Total dwellings: 25,695 2034 Total dwellings: 25,508 2033 Total dwellings: 25,330 2032 Total dwellings: 25,151 2031 Total dwellings: 24,966 2030 Total dwellings: 24,785 2029 Total dwellings: 24,599 2028 Total dwellings: 24,419 2027 Total dwellings: 24,235 2026 Total dwellings: 24,051 2025 Total dwellings: 23,854 2024 Total dwellings: 23,652 2023 Total dwellings: 23,437 2022 Total dwellings: 23,218 2021 Total dwellings: 22,996 2020 Total dwellings: 22,777 2019 Total dwellings: 22,571 2018 Total dwellings: 22,365 2017 Total dwellings: 22,163 2036 Total dwellings: 25,881 2035 Total dwellings: 25,695 2034 Total dwellings: 25,508 2033 Total dwellings: 25,330 2032 Total dwellings: 25,151 2031 Total dwellings: 24,966 2030 Total dwellings: 24,785 2029 Total dwellings: 24,599 2028 Total dwellings: 24,419 2027 Total dwellings: 24,235 2026 Total dwellings: 24,051 2025 Total dwellings: 23,854 2024 Total dwellings: 23,652 2023 Total dwellings: 23,437 2022 Total dwellings: 23,218 2021 Total dwellings: 22,996 2020 Total dwellings: 22,777 2019 Total dwellings: 22,571 2018 Total dwellings: 22,365 2017 Total dwellings: 22,163 2036 Forecast development: 186 2035 Forecast development: 187 2034 Forecast development: 178 2033 Forecast development: 179 2032 Forecast development: 185 2031 Forecast development: 181 2030 Forecast development: 186 2029 Forecast development: 180 2028 Forecast development: 184 2027 Forecast development: 184 2026 Forecast development: 197 2025 Forecast development: 202 2024 Forecast development: 215 2023 Forecast development: 219 2022 Forecast development: 222 2021 Forecast development: 219 2020 Forecast development: 206 2019 Forecast development: 206 2018 Forecast development: 202 2017 Forecast development: 158
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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