Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
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Nillumbik Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Nillumbik Shire will increase by an average of 188 dwellings per annum to 25,979 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Nillumbik Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Nillumbik ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Nillumbik Shire+4,688+22.0
Diamond Creek+1,413+36.7
Eltham (Central)+1,458+46.2
Eltham (East)+46+3.5
Eltham (Edendale)+110+10.5
Eltham (South)+158+13.3
Eltham North+145+9.5
Greensborough+169+9.3
Hurstbridge+143+11.3
Kangaroo Ground - Wattle Glen+139+12.6
North Warrandyte+77+7.4
Plenty - Yarrambat+518+44.3
Research+83+9.1
Rural East+101+8.3
Rural North West+128+19.6

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 25,979 2035 Total dwellings: 25,793 2034 Total dwellings: 25,606 2033 Total dwellings: 25,428 2032 Total dwellings: 25,249 2031 Total dwellings: 25,064 2030 Total dwellings: 24,883 2029 Total dwellings: 24,697 2028 Total dwellings: 24,517 2027 Total dwellings: 24,333 2026 Total dwellings: 24,149 2025 Total dwellings: 23,952 2024 Total dwellings: 23,750 2023 Total dwellings: 23,535 2022 Total dwellings: 23,316 2021 Total dwellings: 23,094 2020 Total dwellings: 22,875 2019 Total dwellings: 22,669 2018 Total dwellings: 22,463 2017 Total dwellings: 22,261 2016 Total dwellings: 22,103 2015 Total dwellings: 21,947 2014 Total dwellings: 21,752 2013 Total dwellings: 21,618 2012 Total dwellings: 21,501 2036 Total dwellings: 25,979 2035 Total dwellings: 25,793 2034 Total dwellings: 25,606 2033 Total dwellings: 25,428 2032 Total dwellings: 25,249 2031 Total dwellings: 25,064 2030 Total dwellings: 24,883 2029 Total dwellings: 24,697 2028 Total dwellings: 24,517 2027 Total dwellings: 24,333 2026 Total dwellings: 24,149 2025 Total dwellings: 23,952 2024 Total dwellings: 23,750 2023 Total dwellings: 23,535 2022 Total dwellings: 23,316 2021 Total dwellings: 23,094 2020 Total dwellings: 22,875 2019 Total dwellings: 22,669 2018 Total dwellings: 22,463 2017 Total dwellings: 22,261 2016 Total dwellings: 22,103 2015 Total dwellings: 21,947 2014 Total dwellings: 21,752 2013 Total dwellings: 21,618 2012 Total dwellings: 21,501 2036 Forecast development: 186 2035 Forecast development: 187 2034 Forecast development: 178 2033 Forecast development: 179 2032 Forecast development: 185 2031 Forecast development: 181 2030 Forecast development: 186 2029 Forecast development: 180 2028 Forecast development: 184 2027 Forecast development: 184 2026 Forecast development: 197 2025 Forecast development: 202 2024 Forecast development: 215 2023 Forecast development: 219 2022 Forecast development: 222 2021 Forecast development: 219 2020 Forecast development: 206 2019 Forecast development: 206 2018 Forecast development: 202 2017 Forecast development: 158 2016 Forecast development: 156 2015 Forecast development: 195 2014 Forecast development: 134 2013 Forecast development: 117 2012 Forecast development: 210
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
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