Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Nillumbik Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Nillumbik Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Nillumbik Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Gain of established families (0-14 and 30-44 years), many of whom are second or third home buyers
  • Significant loss of young adults (18-29 years) as children leave the family home to access education opportunities, employment or affordable housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50-74 years).
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -167 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -241 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -416 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -470 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -436 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -188 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 177 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 657 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 960 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 500 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -702 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,008 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 416 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 672 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 727 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -80 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -227 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -388 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -489 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -507 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -225 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 601 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 906 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 438 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -868 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -1,121 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -121 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 285 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 432 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 581 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -167 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -241 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -416 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -470 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -436 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -188 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 177 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 657 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 960 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 500 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -702 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,008 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -111 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 416 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 672 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 727 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 77 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 17 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -80 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -227 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -388 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -489 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -507 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -225 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 601 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 906 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 438 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -868 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -1,121 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -121 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 285 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 432 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 581
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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