Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
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Nillumbik Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Nillumbik Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Nillumbik Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Gain of established families (0-14 and 30-44 years), many of whom are second or third home buyers
  • Significant loss of young adults (18-29 years) as children leave the family home to access education opportunities, employment or affordable housing opportunities elsewhere
  • Loss of empty-nesters and retirees (50-74 years).
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 52 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -416 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -466 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -425 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 655 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 990 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 470 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -679 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -999 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 521 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 658 0 2016 to 2021: 73 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: -78 0 2016 to 2021: -210 0 2016 to 2021: -389 0 2016 to 2021: -495 0 2016 to 2021: -504 0 2016 to 2021: -211 0 2016 to 2021: 69 0 2016 to 2021: 582 0 2016 to 2021: 980 0 2016 to 2021: 410 0 2016 to 2021: -881 0 2016 to 2021: -1,086 0 2016 to 2021: -124 0 2016 to 2021: 378 0 2016 to 2021: 594 0 2016 to 2021: 620 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 50 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 26 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -19 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -127 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -322 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -439 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -543 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -352 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -31 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 300 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 789 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 480 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -948 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,408 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -245 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 215 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 352 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 396 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 52 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -155 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -237 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -416 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -466 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -425 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -162 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 185 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 655 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 990 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 470 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -679 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -999 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -64 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 521 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 658 0 2016 to 2021: 73 0 2016 to 2021: 11 0 2016 to 2021: -78 0 2016 to 2021: -210 0 2016 to 2021: -389 0 2016 to 2021: -495 0 2016 to 2021: -504 0 2016 to 2021: -211 0 2016 to 2021: 69 0 2016 to 2021: 582 0 2016 to 2021: 980 0 2016 to 2021: 410 0 2016 to 2021: -881 0 2016 to 2021: -1,086 0 2016 to 2021: -124 0 2016 to 2021: 378 0 2016 to 2021: 594 0 2016 to 2021: 620 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 50 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 26 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -19 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -127 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -322 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -439 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -543 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -352 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -31 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 300 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 789 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 480 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -948 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,408 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -245 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 215 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 352 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 396
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
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