Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Nillumbik Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Nillumbik Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,078 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Nillumbik ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--2,8642,9553,0413,182
Deaths--1,5171,8202,1482,457
Natural increase/decrease--1,3471,135893725
Net migration---6633905941,267
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--165878787

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 446 2035 forecast population change: 430 2034 forecast population change: 389 2033 forecast population change: 355 2032 forecast population change: 458 2031 forecast population change: 335 2030 forecast population change: 359 2029 forecast population change: 274 2028 forecast population change: 255 2027 forecast population change: 352 2026 forecast population change: 294 2025 forecast population change: 308 2024 forecast population change: 328 2023 forecast population change: 301 2022 forecast population change: 381 2021 forecast population change: 260 2020 forecast population change: 218 2019 forecast population change: 154 2018 forecast population change: 149 2017 forecast population change: 67
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 139 2035 Natural increase: 141 2034 Natural increase: 143 2033 Natural increase: 148 2032 Natural increase: 153 2031 Natural increase: 162 2030 Natural increase: 169 2029 Natural increase: 177 2028 Natural increase: 187 2027 Natural increase: 197 2026 Natural increase: 208 2025 Natural increase: 218 2024 Natural increase: 228 2023 Natural increase: 237 2022 Natural increase: 245 2021 Natural increase: 254 2020 Natural increase: 262 2019 Natural increase: 271 2018 Natural increase: 276 2017 Natural increase: 284 2036 Total deaths: 512 2035 Total deaths: 502 2034 Total deaths: 492 2033 Total deaths: 481 2032 Total deaths: 470 2031 Total deaths: 455 2030 Total deaths: 442 2029 Total deaths: 430 2028 Total deaths: 417 2027 Total deaths: 404 2026 Total deaths: 390 2025 Total deaths: 377 2024 Total deaths: 364 2023 Total deaths: 351 2022 Total deaths: 339 2021 Total deaths: 326 2020 Total deaths: 314 2019 Total deaths: 302 2018 Total deaths: 293 2017 Total deaths: 282 2036 Total births: 651 2035 Total births: 643 2034 Total births: 636 2033 Total births: 629 2032 Total births: 623 2031 Total births: 617 2030 Total births: 612 2029 Total births: 607 2028 Total births: 604 2027 Total births: 601 2026 Total births: 598 2025 Total births: 595 2024 Total births: 591 2023 Total births: 587 2022 Total births: 584 2021 Total births: 580 2020 Total births: 576 2019 Total births: 573 2018 Total births: 569 2017 Total births: 566 2036 Natural increase: 139 2035 Natural increase: 141 2034 Natural increase: 143 2033 Natural increase: 148 2032 Natural increase: 153 2031 Natural increase: 162 2030 Natural increase: 169 2029 Natural increase: 177 2028 Natural increase: 187 2027 Natural increase: 197 2026 Natural increase: 208 2025 Natural increase: 218 2024 Natural increase: 228 2023 Natural increase: 237 2022 Natural increase: 245 2021 Natural increase: 254 2020 Natural increase: 262 2019 Natural increase: 271 2018 Natural increase: 276 2017 Natural increase: 284 2036 Total deaths: 512 2035 Total deaths: 502 2034 Total deaths: 492 2033 Total deaths: 481 2032 Total deaths: 470 2031 Total deaths: 455 2030 Total deaths: 442 2029 Total deaths: 430 2028 Total deaths: 417 2027 Total deaths: 404 2026 Total deaths: 390 2025 Total deaths: 377 2024 Total deaths: 364 2023 Total deaths: 351 2022 Total deaths: 339 2021 Total deaths: 326 2020 Total deaths: 314 2019 Total deaths: 302 2018 Total deaths: 293 2017 Total deaths: 282 2036 Total births: 651 2035 Total births: 643 2034 Total births: 636 2033 Total births: 629 2032 Total births: 623 2031 Total births: 617 2030 Total births: 612 2029 Total births: 607 2028 Total births: 604 2027 Total births: 601 2026 Total births: 598 2025 Total births: 595 2024 Total births: 591 2023 Total births: 587 2022 Total births: 584 2021 Total births: 580 2020 Total births: 576 2019 Total births: 573 2018 Total births: 569 2017 Total births: 566
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 307 2035 Total net migration: 289 2034 Total net migration: 245 2033 Total net migration: 207 2032 Total net migration: 218 2031 Total net migration: 173 2030 Total net migration: 190 2029 Total net migration: 96 2028 Total net migration: 68 2027 Total net migration: 67 2026 Total net migration: 86 2025 Total net migration: 90 2024 Total net migration: 101 2023 Total net migration: 65 2022 Total net migration: 49 2021 Total net migration: 6 2020 Total net migration: -44 2019 Total net migration: -116 2018 Total net migration: -186 2017 Total net migration: -322 2036 Total out migration: 5,472 2035 Total out migration: 5,437 2034 Total out migration: 5,404 2033 Total out migration: 5,377 2032 Total out migration: 5,348 2031 Total out migration: 5,319 2030 Total out migration: 5,290 2029 Total out migration: 5,270 2028 Total out migration: 5,255 2027 Total out migration: 5,239 2026 Total out migration: 5,220 2025 Total out migration: 5,203 2024 Total out migration: 5,184 2023 Total out migration: 5,171 2022 Total out migration: 5,157 2021 Total out migration: 5,150 2020 Total out migration: 5,143 2019 Total out migration: 5,147 2018 Total out migration: 5,157 2017 Total out migration: 5,199 2036 Total in migration: 5,779 2035 Total in migration: 5,727 2034 Total in migration: 5,650 2033 Total in migration: 5,584 2032 Total in migration: 5,566 2031 Total in migration: 5,492 2030 Total in migration: 5,480 2029 Total in migration: 5,367 2028 Total in migration: 5,323 2027 Total in migration: 5,306 2026 Total in migration: 5,306 2025 Total in migration: 5,293 2024 Total in migration: 5,284 2023 Total in migration: 5,235 2022 Total in migration: 5,206 2021 Total in migration: 5,156 2020 Total in migration: 5,099 2019 Total in migration: 5,031 2018 Total in migration: 4,971 2017 Total in migration: 4,877 2036 Total net migration: 307 2035 Total net migration: 289 2034 Total net migration: 245 2033 Total net migration: 207 2032 Total net migration: 218 2031 Total net migration: 173 2030 Total net migration: 190 2029 Total net migration: 96 2028 Total net migration: 68 2027 Total net migration: 67 2026 Total net migration: 86 2025 Total net migration: 90 2024 Total net migration: 101 2023 Total net migration: 65 2022 Total net migration: 49 2021 Total net migration: 6 2020 Total net migration: -44 2019 Total net migration: -116 2018 Total net migration: -186 2017 Total net migration: -322 2036 Total out migration: 5,472 2035 Total out migration: 5,437 2034 Total out migration: 5,404 2033 Total out migration: 5,377 2032 Total out migration: 5,348 2031 Total out migration: 5,319 2030 Total out migration: 5,290 2029 Total out migration: 5,270 2028 Total out migration: 5,255 2027 Total out migration: 5,239 2026 Total out migration: 5,220 2025 Total out migration: 5,203 2024 Total out migration: 5,184 2023 Total out migration: 5,171 2022 Total out migration: 5,157 2021 Total out migration: 5,150 2020 Total out migration: 5,143 2019 Total out migration: 5,147 2018 Total out migration: 5,157 2017 Total out migration: 5,199 2036 Total in migration: 5,779 2035 Total in migration: 5,727 2034 Total in migration: 5,650 2033 Total in migration: 5,584 2032 Total in migration: 5,566 2031 Total in migration: 5,492 2030 Total in migration: 5,480 2029 Total in migration: 5,367 2028 Total in migration: 5,323 2027 Total in migration: 5,306 2026 Total in migration: 5,306 2025 Total in migration: 5,293 2024 Total in migration: 5,284 2023 Total in migration: 5,235 2022 Total in migration: 5,206 2021 Total in migration: 5,156 2020 Total in migration: 5,099 2019 Total in migration: 5,031 2018 Total in migration: 4,971 2017 Total in migration: 4,877
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
v17.11.15-1.0.1