Shire of NillumbikPopulation forecast
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Nillumbik Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Nillumbik Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 2,250 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Nillumbik ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births2,8922,7972,9193,0173,152
Deaths1,2511,5251,8192,1462,449
Natural increase/decrease1,6411,2721,100871703
Net migration-1,825-2595848141,460
Change in persons in non-private dwellings85165878787

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 469 2035 forecast population change: 469 2034 forecast population change: 421 2033 forecast population change: 399 2032 forecast population change: 493 2031 forecast population change: 366 2030 forecast population change: 370 2029 forecast population change: 325 2028 forecast population change: 312 2027 forecast population change: 398 2026 forecast population change: 363 2025 forecast population change: 341 2024 forecast population change: 359 2023 forecast population change: 311 2022 forecast population change: 397 2021 forecast population change: 328 2020 forecast population change: 261 2019 forecast population change: 210 2018 forecast population change: 209 2017 forecast population change: 170 2016 forecast population change: 49 2015 forecast population change: 81 2014 forecast population change: -105 2013 forecast population change: -217 2012 forecast population change: 93
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 135 2035 Natural increase: 136 2034 Natural increase: 139 2033 Natural increase: 144 2032 Natural increase: 150 2031 Natural increase: 157 2030 Natural increase: 165 2029 Natural increase: 173 2028 Natural increase: 183 2027 Natural increase: 192 2026 Natural increase: 202 2025 Natural increase: 211 2024 Natural increase: 220 2023 Natural increase: 229 2022 Natural increase: 237 2021 Natural increase: 244 2020 Natural increase: 250 2019 Natural increase: 256 2018 Natural increase: 259 2017 Natural increase: 262 2016 Natural increase: 267 2015 Natural increase: 267 2014 Natural increase: 322 2013 Natural increase: 371 2012 Natural increase: 414 2036 Total deaths: 510 2035 Total deaths: 501 2034 Total deaths: 490 2033 Total deaths: 480 2032 Total deaths: 468 2031 Total deaths: 455 2030 Total deaths: 442 2029 Total deaths: 430 2028 Total deaths: 416 2027 Total deaths: 404 2026 Total deaths: 390 2025 Total deaths: 377 2024 Total deaths: 364 2023 Total deaths: 350 2022 Total deaths: 338 2021 Total deaths: 325 2020 Total deaths: 315 2019 Total deaths: 303 2018 Total deaths: 295 2017 Total deaths: 286 2016 Total deaths: 278 2015 Total deaths: 271 2014 Total deaths: 251 2013 Total deaths: 229 2012 Total deaths: 221 2036 Total births: 644 2035 Total births: 637 2034 Total births: 630 2033 Total births: 624 2032 Total births: 618 2031 Total births: 612 2030 Total births: 607 2029 Total births: 603 2028 Total births: 599 2027 Total births: 596 2026 Total births: 592 2025 Total births: 588 2024 Total births: 584 2023 Total births: 580 2022 Total births: 575 2021 Total births: 570 2020 Total births: 565 2019 Total births: 560 2018 Total births: 554 2017 Total births: 549 2016 Total births: 545 2015 Total births: 538 2014 Total births: 574 2013 Total births: 600 2012 Total births: 635 2036 Natural increase: 135 2035 Natural increase: 136 2034 Natural increase: 139 2033 Natural increase: 144 2032 Natural increase: 150 2031 Natural increase: 157 2030 Natural increase: 165 2029 Natural increase: 173 2028 Natural increase: 183 2027 Natural increase: 192 2026 Natural increase: 202 2025 Natural increase: 211 2024 Natural increase: 220 2023 Natural increase: 229 2022 Natural increase: 237 2021 Natural increase: 244 2020 Natural increase: 250 2019 Natural increase: 256 2018 Natural increase: 259 2017 Natural increase: 262 2016 Natural increase: 267 2015 Natural increase: 267 2014 Natural increase: 322 2013 Natural increase: 371 2012 Natural increase: 414 2036 Total deaths: 510 2035 Total deaths: 501 2034 Total deaths: 490 2033 Total deaths: 480 2032 Total deaths: 468 2031 Total deaths: 455 2030 Total deaths: 442 2029 Total deaths: 430 2028 Total deaths: 416 2027 Total deaths: 404 2026 Total deaths: 390 2025 Total deaths: 377 2024 Total deaths: 364 2023 Total deaths: 350 2022 Total deaths: 338 2021 Total deaths: 325 2020 Total deaths: 315 2019 Total deaths: 303 2018 Total deaths: 295 2017 Total deaths: 286 2016 Total deaths: 278 2015 Total deaths: 271 2014 Total deaths: 251 2013 Total deaths: 229 2012 Total deaths: 221 2036 Total births: 644 2035 Total births: 637 2034 Total births: 630 2033 Total births: 624 2032 Total births: 618 2031 Total births: 612 2030 Total births: 607 2029 Total births: 603 2028 Total births: 599 2027 Total births: 596 2026 Total births: 592 2025 Total births: 588 2024 Total births: 584 2023 Total births: 580 2022 Total births: 575 2021 Total births: 570 2020 Total births: 565 2019 Total births: 560 2018 Total births: 554 2017 Total births: 549 2016 Total births: 545 2015 Total births: 538 2014 Total births: 574 2013 Total births: 600 2012 Total births: 635
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 334 2035 Total net migration: 333 2034 Total net migration: 282 2033 Total net migration: 255 2032 Total net migration: 257 2031 Total net migration: 209 2030 Total net migration: 205 2029 Total net migration: 151 2028 Total net migration: 129 2027 Total net migration: 119 2026 Total net migration: 161 2025 Total net migration: 130 2024 Total net migration: 138 2023 Total net migration: 82 2022 Total net migration: 73 2021 Total net migration: 84 2020 Total net migration: 11 2019 Total net migration: -46 2018 Total net migration: -110 2017 Total net migration: -197 2016 Total net migration: -303 2015 Total net migration: -187 2014 Total net migration: -427 2013 Total net migration: -588 2012 Total net migration: -321 2036 Total out migration: 5,397 2035 Total out migration: 5,358 2034 Total out migration: 5,324 2033 Total out migration: 5,293 2032 Total out migration: 5,261 2031 Total out migration: 5,231 2030 Total out migration: 5,204 2029 Total out migration: 5,182 2028 Total out migration: 5,160 2027 Total out migration: 5,139 2026 Total out migration: 5,113 2025 Total out migration: 5,090 2024 Total out migration: 5,065 2023 Total out migration: 5,049 2022 Total out migration: 5,032 2021 Total out migration: 5,017 2020 Total out migration: 5,008 2019 Total out migration: 5,002 2018 Total out migration: 5,005 2017 Total out migration: 5,022 2016 Total out migration: 5,052 2015 Total out migration: 5,074 2014 Total out migration: 5,113 2013 Total out migration: 5,170 2012 Total out migration: 5,233 2036 Total in migration: 5,731 2035 Total in migration: 5,691 2034 Total in migration: 5,606 2033 Total in migration: 5,548 2032 Total in migration: 5,518 2031 Total in migration: 5,440 2030 Total in migration: 5,409 2029 Total in migration: 5,333 2028 Total in migration: 5,290 2027 Total in migration: 5,258 2026 Total in migration: 5,274 2025 Total in migration: 5,220 2024 Total in migration: 5,204 2023 Total in migration: 5,130 2022 Total in migration: 5,105 2021 Total in migration: 5,101 2020 Total in migration: 5,018 2019 Total in migration: 4,956 2018 Total in migration: 4,895 2017 Total in migration: 4,825 2016 Total in migration: 4,749 2015 Total in migration: 4,888 2014 Total in migration: 4,686 2013 Total in migration: 4,582 2012 Total in migration: 4,912 2036 Total net migration: 334 2035 Total net migration: 333 2034 Total net migration: 282 2033 Total net migration: 255 2032 Total net migration: 257 2031 Total net migration: 209 2030 Total net migration: 205 2029 Total net migration: 151 2028 Total net migration: 129 2027 Total net migration: 119 2026 Total net migration: 161 2025 Total net migration: 130 2024 Total net migration: 138 2023 Total net migration: 82 2022 Total net migration: 73 2021 Total net migration: 84 2020 Total net migration: 11 2019 Total net migration: -46 2018 Total net migration: -110 2017 Total net migration: -197 2016 Total net migration: -303 2015 Total net migration: -187 2014 Total net migration: -427 2013 Total net migration: -588 2012 Total net migration: -321 2036 Total out migration: 5,397 2035 Total out migration: 5,358 2034 Total out migration: 5,324 2033 Total out migration: 5,293 2032 Total out migration: 5,261 2031 Total out migration: 5,231 2030 Total out migration: 5,204 2029 Total out migration: 5,182 2028 Total out migration: 5,160 2027 Total out migration: 5,139 2026 Total out migration: 5,113 2025 Total out migration: 5,090 2024 Total out migration: 5,065 2023 Total out migration: 5,049 2022 Total out migration: 5,032 2021 Total out migration: 5,017 2020 Total out migration: 5,008 2019 Total out migration: 5,002 2018 Total out migration: 5,005 2017 Total out migration: 5,022 2016 Total out migration: 5,052 2015 Total out migration: 5,074 2014 Total out migration: 5,113 2013 Total out migration: 5,170 2012 Total out migration: 5,233 2036 Total in migration: 5,731 2035 Total in migration: 5,691 2034 Total in migration: 5,606 2033 Total in migration: 5,548 2032 Total in migration: 5,518 2031 Total in migration: 5,440 2030 Total in migration: 5,409 2029 Total in migration: 5,333 2028 Total in migration: 5,290 2027 Total in migration: 5,258 2026 Total in migration: 5,274 2025 Total in migration: 5,220 2024 Total in migration: 5,204 2023 Total in migration: 5,130 2022 Total in migration: 5,105 2021 Total in migration: 5,101 2020 Total in migration: 5,018 2019 Total in migration: 4,956 2018 Total in migration: 4,895 2017 Total in migration: 4,825 2016 Total in migration: 4,749 2015 Total in migration: 4,888 2014 Total in migration: 4,686 2013 Total in migration: 4,582 2012 Total in migration: 4,912
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
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