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Murray Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Murray Shire Council

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Murray Shire Council indicate a 90.1% increase in population under working age, a 56.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 78.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Murray Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Murray Shire Council - Total persons202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49845.32,1696.64,8116.7+3,827
5 to 91,1836.32,2226.85,4617.6+4,278
10 to 141,2776.82,1576.65,6357.8+4,358
15 to 191,1015.91,7255.34,3016.0+3,200
20 to 248594.61,7115.23,3204.6+2,460
25 to 299104.92,0746.33,9425.5+3,032
30 to 349204.92,3387.15,1227.1+4,203
35 to 391,0505.62,3157.15,6917.9+4,641
40 to 441,0555.62,2106.75,7478.0+4,692
45 to 491,1676.21,8255.64,6646.5+3,497
50 to 541,1986.41,6835.13,8485.4+2,650
55 to 591,3187.01,7055.23,4484.8+2,130
60 to 641,2676.81,7925.53,3094.6+2,042
65 to 691,2856.91,8395.63,2424.5+1,957
70 to 741,2576.71,8265.63,1644.4+1,907
75 to 798694.61,4964.62,7583.8+1,888
80 to 845863.11,0433.22,0022.8+1,416
85 and over4092.26972.11,3541.9+944
Total persons18,696100.032,829100.071,820100.0+53,124
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Murray Shire Council was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 1,419 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,338 persons.

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