City of MorelandPopulation forecast
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Moreland City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Moreland City Council indicate a 45.3% increase in population under working age, a 15.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 41.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Moreland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Moreland City Council - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,7926.314,2556.714,6736.4+4,881
5 to 9 7,8805.111,5525.412,1085.3+4,228
10 to 14 6,7624.49,7004.510,4364.6+3,674
15 to 19 7,2774.710,6415.011,5005.0+4,223
20 to 24 13,2608.617,0208.017,6497.7+4,389
25 to 29 16,61410.822,75610.722,84510.0+6,231
30 to 34 15,2579.922,81910.722,91610.0+7,659
35 to 39 12,8858.419,5219.120,0858.8+7,200
40 to 44 11,2647.315,9017.517,0267.4+5,762
45 to 49 9,6606.313,4516.315,0546.6+5,394
50 to 54 8,3775.411,4105.313,1305.7+4,753
55 to 59 6,7804.49,8274.611,2404.9+4,460
60 to 64 5,7953.88,2723.99,4704.1+3,675
65 to 69 4,8223.16,9973.38,1743.6+3,352
70 to 74 5,0473.35,7662.77,0363.1+1,989
75 to 79 4,9603.24,9122.35,9912.6+1,031
80 to 84 4,2802.83,9531.94,7452.1+465
85 and over3,5332.34,5982.24,7302.1+1,197
Total persons154,245100.0213,352100.0228,807100.0+74,562

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,730 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,745 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,991 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 7,036 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 8,174 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 9,470 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 11,240 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 13,130 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 15,054 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 17,026 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 20,085 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 22,916 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 22,845 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,649 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 11,500 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 10,436 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 12,108 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 14,673 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,598 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,953 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,912 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,766 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,997 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,272 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,827 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 11,410 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 13,451 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,901 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 19,521 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 22,819 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 22,756 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 17,020 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 10,641 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,700 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 11,552 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 14,255 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 3,533 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 4,280 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 4,960 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 5,047 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 4,822 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 5,795 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 6,780 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 8,377 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 9,660 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 11,264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 12,885 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 15,257 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 16,614 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 13,260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 7,277 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,762 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 7,880 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 9,792
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 133 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 792 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,079 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,269 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,177 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,198 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,413 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,719 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,603 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,125 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 564 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 98 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 89 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 628 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 859 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 736 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 555 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 418 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: -327 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: -48 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 719 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 2,175 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 2,477 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 3,047 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 3,033 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 3,791 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 4,637 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 6,636 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 7,562 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 6,142 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 3,760 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 3,364 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 2,938 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 3,672 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 4,463
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Moreland City Council was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 7,562 and account for 10.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 22,819 persons.

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