City of MorelandPopulation forecast
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City of Moreland

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Moreland indicate a 37.0% increase in population under working age, a 7.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Moreland is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Moreland - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,7926.313,4066.613,6676.4+3,875
5 to 9 7,8805.110,9185.411,2975.3+3,417
10 to 14 6,7624.49,1524.59,7614.6+2,999
15 to 19 7,2774.710,2265.111,0175.1+3,740
20 to 24 13,2608.616,8138.317,4588.1+4,198
25 to 29 16,61410.821,51610.721,79610.2+5,182
30 to 34 15,2579.921,02110.421,2699.9+6,012
35 to 39 12,8858.418,0308.918,4308.6+5,545
40 to 44 11,2647.315,0187.415,7037.3+4,439
45 to 49 9,6606.312,8286.413,9326.5+4,272
50 to 54 8,3775.410,9745.412,3265.8+3,949
55 to 59 6,7804.49,4554.710,6675.0+3,887
60 to 64 5,7953.87,9654.09,0184.2+3,223
65 to 69 4,8223.16,6633.37,6493.6+2,827
70 to 74 5,0473.35,3752.76,4773.0+1,430
75 to 79 4,9603.24,5792.35,4752.6+515
80 to 84 4,2802.83,6741.84,2862.0+6
85 and over3,5332.33,9822.04,0951.9+562
Total persons154,245100.0201,594100.0214,320100.0+60,075

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2014.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,095 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,286 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 5,475 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 6,477 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 7,649 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 9,018 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 10,667 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 12,326 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 13,932 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 15,703 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 18,430 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 21,269 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 21,796 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 17,458 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 11,017 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,761 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 11,297 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 13,667 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,982 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,674 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,579 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,375 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,663 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 7,965 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,455 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,974 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 12,828 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,018 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 18,030 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 21,021 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 21,516 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 16,813 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 10,226 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 9,152 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,918 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 13,406 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 3,533 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 4,280 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 4,960 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 5,047 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 4,822 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 5,795 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 6,780 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 8,377 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 9,660 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 11,264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 12,885 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 15,257 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 16,614 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 13,260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 7,277 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,762 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 7,880 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 9,792
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2014.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 114 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 612 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 896 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,101 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 986 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,352 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,104 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 685 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 399 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 281 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 645 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 790 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 609 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 379 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 261 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 449 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: -606 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: -381 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 328 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,841 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 2,170 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 2,675 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 2,597 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 3,168 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 3,754 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 5,145 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 5,764 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 4,902 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 3,553 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 2,949 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 2,390 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 3,038 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 3,614
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2014.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Moreland was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 10.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 5,764 and account for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 21,516 persons.

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