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City of MonashPopulation forecast

Wheelers Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Wheelers Hill indicate a 22.2% increase in population under working age, a 0.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Monash is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Wheelers Hill - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47193.41,0364.31,0994.3+380
5 to 91,1205.41,3025.41,4045.4+284
10 to 141,2606.01,4496.01,6076.2+347
15 to 191,2506.01,5276.31,6346.3+384
20 to 241,1505.51,3945.81,4845.7+334
25 to 299224.41,2785.31,3525.2+430
30 to 348694.21,2845.31,3465.2+477
35 to 391,1335.41,5346.31,6256.3+492
40 to 441,2375.91,6816.91,8157.0+578
45 to 491,3436.41,6706.91,8357.1+492
50 to 541,4056.71,4586.01,6836.5+278
55 to 591,2145.81,2765.31,4605.7+246
60 to 641,1915.71,2525.21,2985.0+107
65 to 691,2866.21,1984.91,2514.8-35
70 to 741,3966.71,2175.01,2734.9-123
75 to 791,1795.71,2135.01,1864.6+7
80 to 849954.81,1864.91,1374.4+142
85 and over1,1855.71,2635.21,3395.2+154
Total persons20,854100.024,219100.025,830100.0+4,976
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Wheelers Hill was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 444 and account for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,681 persons.

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