City of MonashPopulation forecast
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City of Monash

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Monash is 15-19 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Monash depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Principal forecast land assumptions for the period 2007-2011 are based on 2011 Census dwelling counts. Post census:
  • Second and third home buying families (aged 0-14, 30-49 years)
  • Gain of tertiary students in their late teens and early twenties (attracted to Monash University)
  • Loss of home leaving young adults and tertiary students who have completed their courses (early to late twenties)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -639 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -71 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -298 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -391 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -441 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -721 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -681 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -598 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 332 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 423 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,341 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -2,790 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,236 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 5,144 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 919 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -348 0 2016 to 2021: -526 0 2016 to 2021: -28 0 2016 to 2021: -248 0 2016 to 2021: -420 0 2016 to 2021: -405 0 2016 to 2021: -645 0 2016 to 2021: -620 0 2016 to 2021: -518 0 2016 to 2021: -267 0 2016 to 2021: 493 0 2016 to 2021: 593 0 2016 to 2021: -1,349 0 2016 to 2021: -2,504 0 2016 to 2021: 3,376 0 2016 to 2021: 4,967 0 2016 to 2021: 958 0 2016 to 2021: 369 0 2016 to 2021: -238 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -782 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -19 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -232 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -393 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -467 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -641 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -555 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -517 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -200 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 339 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 887 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -847 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -2,593 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 3,199 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 4,768 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,024 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 414 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -98 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -639 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -71 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -298 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -391 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -441 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -721 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -681 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -598 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 332 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 423 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,341 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -2,790 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,236 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 5,144 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 919 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 261 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -348 0 2016 to 2021: -526 0 2016 to 2021: -28 0 2016 to 2021: -248 0 2016 to 2021: -420 0 2016 to 2021: -405 0 2016 to 2021: -645 0 2016 to 2021: -620 0 2016 to 2021: -518 0 2016 to 2021: -267 0 2016 to 2021: 493 0 2016 to 2021: 593 0 2016 to 2021: -1,349 0 2016 to 2021: -2,504 0 2016 to 2021: 3,376 0 2016 to 2021: 4,967 0 2016 to 2021: 958 0 2016 to 2021: 369 0 2016 to 2021: -238 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -782 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -19 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -232 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -393 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -467 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -641 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -555 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -517 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -200 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 339 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 887 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -847 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -2,593 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 3,199 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 4,768 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 1,024 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 414 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -98
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2014.
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