Mitchell Shire Council Population forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Mitchell Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mitchell Shire indicate a 65.6% increase in population under working age, a 62.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 46.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mitchell Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 3,0577.34,9387.87,1887.8+4,131
5 to 9 3,0047.25,0297.97,2697.9+4,265
10 to 14 2,7756.74,6637.36,8287.4+4,053
15 to 19 2,9427.14,0986.56,0056.5+3,063
20 to 24 2,6286.33,5445.65,2755.7+2,647
25 to 29 2,7046.54,0026.35,5966.1+2,893
30 to 34 2,8306.84,4227.06,2986.9+3,467
35 to 39 2,4806.04,6327.36,7377.3+4,257
40 to 44 2,7916.74,5277.16,7257.3+3,934
45 to 49 2,9097.03,8516.16,0936.6+3,185
50 to 54 2,8706.93,7355.95,5486.0+2,678
55 to 59 2,6346.33,5525.64,7915.2+2,157
60 to 64 2,3355.63,2855.24,3274.7+1,992
65 to 69 2,0635.02,8814.53,8994.2+1,836
70 to 74 1,4603.52,3703.73,2923.6+1,832
75 to 79 9402.31,9163.02,6902.9+1,751
80 to 84 6421.51,1711.81,8702.0+1,227
85 and over5711.48571.41,3971.5+826
Total persons41,635100.063,473100.091,830100.0+50,195

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,870 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,690 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,292 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,899 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,327 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,791 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 5,548 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 6,093 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 6,725 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 6,737 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 6,298 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,596 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 5,275 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 6,005 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 6,828 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 7,269 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,188 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 857 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,171 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,370 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,881 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,285 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,552 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,735 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,851 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 4,527 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,632 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,422 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,002 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,544 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,098 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,663 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,029 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 4,938 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 571 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 940 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,460 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,063 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,634 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,870 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,909 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,791 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,480 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,830 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,704 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,628 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,942 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,775 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 3,004 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,057
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 540 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 699 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 774 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 922 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,019 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,042 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,813 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,243 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 2,105 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,875 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,594 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,731 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,907 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,165 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 2,240 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2,250 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 287 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 529 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 976 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 910 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 817 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 950 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 917 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 865 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 942 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,736 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,592 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,298 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 916 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 1,156 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,888 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 2,025 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,881
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mitchell Shire was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 2,152 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,029 persons.

v18.01.03-1.0.2