Mitchell Shire Council Population forecast
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Mitchell Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mitchell Shire indicate a 85.8% increase in population under working age, a 118.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 67.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mitchell Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,4176.94,7907.76,9027.7+4,485
5 to 9 2,5367.24,8537.86,9677.8+4,431
10 to 14 2,7057.74,5877.46,6227.4+3,917
15 to 19 2,7377.84,0466.55,8456.6+3,107
20 to 24 2,2126.33,5475.75,1735.8+2,960
25 to 29 2,1016.03,8796.25,4526.1+3,351
30 to 34 1,9725.64,2336.86,0086.7+4,036
35 to 39 2,4356.94,3987.16,3917.2+3,956
40 to 44 2,6737.64,3387.06,4347.2+3,761
45 to 49 2,6367.53,9086.35,8986.6+3,262
50 to 54 2,4977.13,7936.15,4636.1+2,965
55 to 59 2,1636.23,5705.74,8745.5+2,711
60 to 64 1,9515.63,3165.34,3994.9+2,448
65 to 69 1,4084.02,8604.63,8814.4+2,474
70 to 74 9842.82,2813.73,2343.6+2,249
75 to 79 7392.11,8062.92,5812.9+1,842
80 to 84 5221.51,1061.81,7782.0+1,256
85 and over4171.28201.31,3131.5+896
Total persons35,105100.062,130100.089,214100.0+54,109

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,313 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,778 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 2,581 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,234 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,881 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,399 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,874 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 5,463 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,898 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 6,434 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 6,391 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 6,008 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,452 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 5,173 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,845 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 6,622 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 6,967 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,902 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 820 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,106 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,806 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,281 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,860 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,316 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,570 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,793 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,908 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 4,338 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,398 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,233 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 3,879 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,547 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,046 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,587 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,853 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 4,790 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 417 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 522 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 739 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 984 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,408 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,951 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,163 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,497 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,636 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 2,673 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 2,435 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,972 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 2,101 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 2,212 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 2,737 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 2,705 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 2,536 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 2,417
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 493 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 672 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 775 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 953 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,084 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,304 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,670 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,990 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,097 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,993 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,775 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,573 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,625 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,798 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,035 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 2,114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 2,112 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 403 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 584 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 1,067 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,297 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,452 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,365 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,407 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 1,295 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 1,272 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 1,665 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 1,963 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 2,261 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 1,779 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 1,335 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 1,309 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 1,882 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 2,317 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 2,373
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Mitchell Shire was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 2,373 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 4,853 persons.

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