Mitchell Shire Council Population forecast
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Mitchell Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Mitchell Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Mitchell Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the 2011-2026 period with an increase in the number of people moving into the Shire over time as residential opportunities, particularly in Wallan and Beveridge, become available
  • Significant gain of young and mature families (0-14 and 25-44 years)
  • Minor loss of young adults (18-24 years) early in the forecast period. Over time the volume of assumed growth means that Mitchell Shire is assumed to gain young adults in the medium to long term.
  • Minor gain of older adults and retirees (50-69 years), attracted to both the semi-rural lifestyle but also new housing opportunities in regional towns.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 200 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 116 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 248 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 308 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 449 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 544 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 692 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 979 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,104 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,046 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 560 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 509 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 867 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,158 0 2016 to 2021: 181 0 2016 to 2021: 64 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: 77 0 2016 to 2021: 120 0 2016 to 2021: 226 0 2016 to 2021: 241 0 2016 to 2021: 374 0 2016 to 2021: 417 0 2016 to 2021: 612 0 2016 to 2021: 870 0 2016 to 2021: 916 0 2016 to 2021: 788 0 2016 to 2021: 341 0 2016 to 2021: 47 0 2016 to 2021: 477 0 2016 to 2021: 767 0 2016 to 2021: 949 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 140 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 55 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 80 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 83 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 117 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 176 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 183 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 217 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 261 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 310 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 620 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 631 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 522 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 177 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -110 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 252 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 510 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 624 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 200 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 37 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 77 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 116 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 248 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 308 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 449 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 544 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 692 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 979 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,104 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,046 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 560 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 509 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 867 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,158 0 2016 to 2021: 181 0 2016 to 2021: 64 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: 77 0 2016 to 2021: 120 0 2016 to 2021: 226 0 2016 to 2021: 241 0 2016 to 2021: 374 0 2016 to 2021: 417 0 2016 to 2021: 612 0 2016 to 2021: 870 0 2016 to 2021: 916 0 2016 to 2021: 788 0 2016 to 2021: 341 0 2016 to 2021: 47 0 2016 to 2021: 477 0 2016 to 2021: 767 0 2016 to 2021: 949 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 140 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 55 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 80 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 83 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 117 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 176 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 183 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 217 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 261 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 310 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 620 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 631 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 522 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 177 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -110 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 252 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 510 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 624
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2015.
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