City of MelvillePopulation forecast
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City of Melville

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Melville is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melville depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions:

  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-19 and 30-49 years)
  • Loss of young adults (20-29 years) seeking affordable accommodation in areas closer to education and employment
  • Loss of empty-nesters and early retirees (50-65 years)
  • Little net change through migration in older persons (70+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -100 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 33 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -188 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -375 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -415 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -388 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -300 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 816 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,113 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 422 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -887 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,345 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 831 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 565 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 260 0 2016 to 2021: -136 0 2016 to 2021: 60 0 2016 to 2021: 15 0 2016 to 2021: -169 0 2016 to 2021: -369 0 2016 to 2021: -443 0 2016 to 2021: -325 0 2016 to 2021: -134 0 2016 to 2021: 346 0 2016 to 2021: 1,068 0 2016 to 2021: 1,373 0 2016 to 2021: 533 0 2016 to 2021: -920 0 2016 to 2021: -74 0 2016 to 2021: 1,318 0 2016 to 2021: 962 0 2016 to 2021: 766 0 2016 to 2021: 432 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -113 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 46 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -79 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -345 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -452 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -364 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -216 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 860 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,349 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 545 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -1,205 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -777 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,098 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 860 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 660 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 469 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -100 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 33 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -188 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -375 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -415 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -388 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -300 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 208 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 816 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,113 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 422 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -887 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -65 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,345 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 831 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 565 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 260 0 2016 to 2021: -136 0 2016 to 2021: 60 0 2016 to 2021: 15 0 2016 to 2021: -169 0 2016 to 2021: -369 0 2016 to 2021: -443 0 2016 to 2021: -325 0 2016 to 2021: -134 0 2016 to 2021: 346 0 2016 to 2021: 1,068 0 2016 to 2021: 1,373 0 2016 to 2021: 533 0 2016 to 2021: -920 0 2016 to 2021: -74 0 2016 to 2021: 1,318 0 2016 to 2021: 962 0 2016 to 2021: 766 0 2016 to 2021: 432 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -113 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 46 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 1 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -79 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -345 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -452 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -364 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -216 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 254 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 860 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,349 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 545 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -1,205 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -777 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,098 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 860 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 660 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 469
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2015.
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