City of MelvillePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Melville

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Melville is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melville depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions:

  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-19 and 30-49 years)
  • Loss of young adults (20-29 years) seeking affordable accommodation in areas closer to education and employment
  • Loss of empty-nesters and early retirees (50-65 years)
  • Little net change through migration in older persons (70+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -318 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -182 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 880 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,178 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 551 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -728 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 94 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,308 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 836 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -175 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -369 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -380 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -200 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 448 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,253 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,369 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 406 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -726 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,307 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 778 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 604 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 453 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 49 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -174 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -318 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -281 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -182 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 322 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 880 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,178 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 551 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -728 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 94 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,308 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 836 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 352 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 83 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 12 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -175 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -369 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -380 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -200 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 448 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,253 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,369 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 406 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -726 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,307 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 778 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 604 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 453
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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