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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Melton indicate a 52.6% increase in population under working age, a 70.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 59.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Melton - Total persons202120312051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)14,9238.223,9168.332,5007.4+17,577
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)21,42511.831,95511.146,13610.5+24,711
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)15,5478.623,6628.235,9028.2+20,355
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)15,8318.725,2148.736,4288.3+20,597
Young workforce (25 to 34)29,15816.147,90516.665,13614.8+35,978
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)43,27223.970,25524.4104,25723.7+60,985
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)18,22810.127,9509.747,48410.8+29,256
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)12,8577.118,2466.333,0117.5+20,154
Seniors (70 to 84)8,8814.915,8225.531,1307.1+22,249
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,1010.63,2551.18,1591.9+7,058
Total persons181,223100.0288,179100.0440,142100.0+258,919
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Melton was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 23.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 26,983 and account for 24.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 70,255 persons.

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