City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 75.7% increase in population under working age, a 204.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 82.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201120262041Change between 2011 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 10,2489.116,9028.029,2067.8+18,958
5 to 9 9,0658.017,3248.230,3568.1+21,291
10 to 14 7,9897.113,7346.526,7777.1+18,788
15 to 19 7,4876.614,2106.723,7086.3+16,221
20 to 24 7,9867.114,9847.124,8266.6+16,840
25 to 29 9,4028.317,5428.328,5597.6+19,157
30 to 34 10,5409.418,8968.932,4608.7+21,920
35 to 39 10,2369.117,2458.131,0478.3+20,811
40 to 44 8,7327.814,7887.026,7507.1+18,018
45 to 49 7,0536.313,4466.323,6976.3+16,644
50 to 54 6,3245.612,1445.720,7015.5+14,377
55 to 59 5,7255.110,5184.918,1724.8+12,447
60 to 64 4,5574.08,5554.015,5244.1+10,967
65 to 69 2,8192.57,1943.413,0773.5+10,258
70 to 74 1,7711.65,9922.810,9312.9+9,160
75 to 79 1,2291.14,4752.18,6842.3+7,455
80 to 84 8290.72,6791.36,1871.7+5,358
85 and over6530.61,8740.94,0371.1+3,384
Total persons112,645100.0212,501100.0374,700100.0+262,055

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 4,037 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 6,187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 8,684 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 10,931 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 13,077 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 15,524 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 18,172 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 20,701 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 23,697 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 26,750 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 31,047 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 32,460 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 28,559 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 24,826 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 23,708 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 26,777 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 30,356 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 29,206 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,874 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,679 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,475 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,992 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,194 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,555 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,518 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 12,144 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 13,446 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 14,788 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 17,245 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 18,896 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,542 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 14,984 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 14,210 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 13,734 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 17,324 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 16,902 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 653 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 829 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,771 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,819 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 4,557 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 5,725 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 6,324 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 7,053 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 8,732 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 10,236 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 10,540 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 9,402 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 7,986 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 7,487 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 7,989 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 9,065 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 10,248
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 2,162 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 3,508 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 4,209 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 4,939 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 5,883 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 6,969 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 7,654 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 8,557 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 10,251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 11,962 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 13,802 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 13,564 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 11,018 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 9,842 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 9,498 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 13,043 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 13,032 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 12,304 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,221 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,850 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 3,246 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 4,221 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 4,375 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 3,998 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 4,793 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 5,820 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 6,393 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 6,056 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 7,009 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 8,356 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 8,140 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 6,998 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 6,723 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 5,745 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 8,259 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 6,654
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 30 to 34 , which accounted for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 8,356 and account for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 18,896 persons.

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