City of MeltonPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Melton indicate a 41.4% increase in population under working age, a 96.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 54.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Melton - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,3968.717,3477.929,6737.8+17,277
5 to 9 12,3768.717,8038.130,8688.1+18,492
10 to 14 10,3297.314,4926.627,2687.1+16,939
15 to 19 9,2686.514,7446.724,1336.3+14,865
20 to 24 9,4116.615,5207.125,2726.6+15,861
25 to 29 10,6447.518,0398.229,1487.6+18,504
30 to 34 11,9538.419,2998.832,9888.6+21,035
35 to 39 12,0858.517,6508.031,5568.3+19,471
40 to 44 11,5108.115,1836.927,2157.1+15,705
45 to 49 9,4946.713,8486.324,1426.3+14,648
50 to 54 7,7955.512,9415.921,1515.5+13,356
55 to 59 6,7394.810,8254.918,5794.9+11,840
60 to 64 6,0734.38,7994.015,9054.2+9,832
65 to 69 4,8713.47,3283.313,5993.6+8,728
70 to 74 3,0112.16,2272.811,1932.9+8,182
75 to 79 1,7911.34,7352.28,8912.3+7,100
80 to 84 1,1080.82,7641.36,2771.6+5,169
85 and over8950.61,8990.94,1301.1+3,235
Total persons141,749100.0219,443100.0381,987100.0+240,238

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 4,130 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 6,277 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 8,891 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 11,193 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 13,599 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 15,905 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 18,579 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 21,151 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 24,142 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 27,215 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 31,556 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 32,988 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 29,148 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 25,272 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 24,133 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 27,268 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 30,868 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 29,673 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,899 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,764 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,735 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 6,227 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 7,328 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 8,799 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 10,825 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 12,941 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 13,848 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,183 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 17,650 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 19,299 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 18,039 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 15,520 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 14,744 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 14,492 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 17,803 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 17,347 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 895 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,108 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,791 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,011 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,871 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,073 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 6,739 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 7,795 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 9,494 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 11,510 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 12,085 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 11,953 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 10,644 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 9,411 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 9,268 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 10,329 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 12,376 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 12,396
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 2,231 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 3,512 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 4,156 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 4,967 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 6,271 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 7,106 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 7,754 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 8,210 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 10,294 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 12,032 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 13,906 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 13,688 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 11,109 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 9,753 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 9,389 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 12,776 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 13,065 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 12,326 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,004 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,656 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,944 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 3,216 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 2,457 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 2,726 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 4,086 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 5,146 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 4,354 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 3,673 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 5,565 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 7,346 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 7,395 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 6,109 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 5,476 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 4,163 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 5,427 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 4,951
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Melton was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29 , which is expected to increase by 7,395 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 19,299 persons.

v17.09.22-1.0.2