City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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City of Melton

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Melton is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable and similar migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Substantial new housing opportunities across the City, especially in the Plumpton, Rockbank and Rockbank North Growth Areas, Toolern, Melton West, Brookfield, Diggers Rest and the Mt Atkinson PSP section of Southern Rural, all which are expected to attract predominantly young couples, young and maturing families
  • Strong migration gain to the City of Melton is expected throughout the 2011-2036 period
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 443 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 334 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 362 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 438 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 533 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 652 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 744 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 999 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,260 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 981 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 2,089 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 4,572 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,181 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 4,711 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,007 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,291 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 2,024 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 3,818 0 2016 to 2021: 361 0 2016 to 2021: 268 0 2016 to 2021: 302 0 2016 to 2021: 284 0 2016 to 2021: 263 0 2016 to 2021: 438 0 2016 to 2021: 575 0 2016 to 2021: 774 0 2016 to 2021: 910 0 2016 to 2021: 679 0 2016 to 2021: 1,614 0 2016 to 2021: 3,258 0 2016 to 2021: 4,296 0 2016 to 2021: 3,353 0 2016 to 2021: 1,678 0 2016 to 2021: 977 0 2016 to 2021: 1,218 0 2016 to 2021: 2,664 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 269 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 211 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 257 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 191 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 236 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 318 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 512 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 601 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 102 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 770 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,729 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,376 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,974 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 984 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 619 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,830 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 443 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 334 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 362 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 438 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 533 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 652 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 744 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 999 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 1,260 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 981 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 2,089 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 4,572 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 6,181 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 4,711 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 2,007 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 1,291 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 2,024 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 3,818 0 2016 to 2021: 361 0 2016 to 2021: 268 0 2016 to 2021: 302 0 2016 to 2021: 284 0 2016 to 2021: 263 0 2016 to 2021: 438 0 2016 to 2021: 575 0 2016 to 2021: 774 0 2016 to 2021: 910 0 2016 to 2021: 679 0 2016 to 2021: 1,614 0 2016 to 2021: 3,258 0 2016 to 2021: 4,296 0 2016 to 2021: 3,353 0 2016 to 2021: 1,678 0 2016 to 2021: 977 0 2016 to 2021: 1,218 0 2016 to 2021: 2,664 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 269 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 211 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 257 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 321 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 191 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 236 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 318 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 512 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 601 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 102 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 770 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,729 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,376 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,974 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 984 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 619 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 639 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,830
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2017.
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