City of MeltonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Melton

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Melton is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Melton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable and similar migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Substantial new housing opportunities across the City, especially in the Plumpton, Rockbank and Rockbank North Growth Areas, Toolern, Melton West, Brookfield, Diggers Rest and the Mt Atkinson PSP section of Southern Rural, all which are expected to attract predominantly young couples, young and maturing families
  • Strong migration gain to the City of Melton is expected throughout the 2011-2036 period
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group 0 2021 to 2026: 465 0 2021 to 2026: 349 0 2021 to 2026: 356 0 2021 to 2026: 435 0 2021 to 2026: 544 0 2021 to 2026: 675 0 2021 to 2026: 757 0 2021 to 2026: 902 0 2021 to 2026: 1,213 0 2021 to 2026: 985 0 2021 to 2026: 2,161 0 2021 to 2026: 4,718 0 2021 to 2026: 6,309 0 2021 to 2026: 4,706 0 2021 to 2026: 1,915 0 2021 to 2026: 1,127 0 2021 to 2026: 1,955 0 2021 to 2026: 3,892 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 380 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 285 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 316 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 271 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 427 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 572 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 766 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 759 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 521 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,541 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 3,300 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,464 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,391 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,597 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 765 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 814 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 2,351 0 2021 to 2026: 465 0 2021 to 2026: 349 0 2021 to 2026: 356 0 2021 to 2026: 435 0 2021 to 2026: 544 0 2021 to 2026: 675 0 2021 to 2026: 757 0 2021 to 2026: 902 0 2021 to 2026: 1,213 0 2021 to 2026: 985 0 2021 to 2026: 2,161 0 2021 to 2026: 4,718 0 2021 to 2026: 6,309 0 2021 to 2026: 4,706 0 2021 to 2026: 1,915 0 2021 to 2026: 1,127 0 2021 to 2026: 1,955 0 2021 to 2026: 3,892 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 380 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 285 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 316 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 271 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 241 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 427 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 572 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 766 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 759 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 521 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,541 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 3,300 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,464 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,391 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,597 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 765 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 814 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 2,351
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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