City of MandurahPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Mandurah

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Mandurah indicate a 30.1% increase in population under working age, a 32.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 23.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Mandurah is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Mandurah - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,0376.16,8626.57,3466.1+2,309
5 to 9 5,3046.46,7396.47,2926.1+1,988
10 to 14 4,8725.96,1865.97,0915.9+2,219
15 to 19 4,9926.05,9155.66,7585.6+1,766
20 to 24 4,7275.75,4145.16,1255.1+1,398
25 to 29 4,6915.65,5665.35,9765.0+1,285
30 to 34 4,8815.95,9925.76,3315.3+1,450
35 to 39 4,4975.46,4516.16,9635.8+2,466
40 to 44 5,0676.16,4276.17,1786.0+2,111
45 to 49 5,2776.46,1405.87,4356.2+2,158
50 to 54 5,3406.46,2736.07,3506.1+2,010
55 to 59 5,1576.26,4466.17,2126.0+2,055
60 to 64 5,1646.26,7696.47,5506.3+2,386
65 to 69 5,5006.66,5136.27,5536.3+2,053
70 to 74 4,5635.55,8295.57,1696.0+2,606
75 to 79 3,6124.35,0554.86,0275.0+2,415
80 to 84 2,3582.83,5453.44,5523.8+2,194
85 and over2,0602.53,0392.93,9693.3+1,909
Total persons83,099100.0105,160100.0119,877100.0+36,778

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,969 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 4,552 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 6,027 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 7,169 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 7,553 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 7,550 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 7,212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 7,350 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,435 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 7,178 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 6,963 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 6,331 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,976 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 6,125 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 6,758 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 7,091 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 7,292 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,346 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,039 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,545 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 5,055 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,829 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,513 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 6,769 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 6,446 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,140 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 6,427 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 6,451 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 5,992 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 5,566 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 5,414 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,915 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 6,186 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,739 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,862 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,060 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,358 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 3,612 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 4,563 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 5,500 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 5,164 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 5,157 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 5,340 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,277 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,067 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 4,497 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,881 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,691 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,727 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,992 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,872 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 5,304 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,037
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 930 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 972 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,341 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,040 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 781 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 765 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,078 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,296 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 751 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 512 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 410 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 711 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 842 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 904 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 553 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 484 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 979 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,443 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,266 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,605 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,289 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 933 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,360 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,954 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,111 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 875 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 687 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 923 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,314 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,435 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,825
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Mandurah was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 6.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 1,954 and account for 6.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 6,862 persons.

v17.10.06-1.0.0