City of MandurahPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Mandurah

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Mandurah is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 11,817 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of MandurahForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--5,9566,5676,9117,155
Deaths--4,1644,6135,1435,568
Natural increase/decrease--1,7921,9531,7681,587
Net migration--9,7268,0905,9735,109
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--300200160120

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 1,359 2035 forecast population change: 1,355 2034 forecast population change: 1,439 2033 forecast population change: 1,340 2032 forecast population change: 1,323 2031 forecast population change: 1,483 2030 forecast population change: 1,478 2029 forecast population change: 1,555 2028 forecast population change: 1,690 2027 forecast population change: 1,694 2026 forecast population change: 1,816 2025 forecast population change: 1,972 2024 forecast population change: 2,078 2023 forecast population change: 2,134 2022 forecast population change: 2,243 2021 forecast population change: 2,323 2020 forecast population change: 2,271 2019 forecast population change: 2,437 2018 forecast population change: 2,332 2017 forecast population change: 2,455
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 310 2035 Natural increase: 312 2034 Natural increase: 314 2033 Natural increase: 322 2032 Natural increase: 329 2031 Natural increase: 336 2030 Natural increase: 344 2029 Natural increase: 353 2028 Natural increase: 363 2027 Natural increase: 371 2026 Natural increase: 380 2025 Natural increase: 386 2024 Natural increase: 393 2023 Natural increase: 398 2022 Natural increase: 397 2021 Natural increase: 391 2020 Natural increase: 380 2019 Natural increase: 363 2018 Natural increase: 346 2017 Natural increase: 312 2036 Total deaths: 1,142 2035 Total deaths: 1,129 2034 Total deaths: 1,115 2033 Total deaths: 1,099 2032 Total deaths: 1,083 2031 Total deaths: 1,067 2030 Total deaths: 1,049 2029 Total deaths: 1,030 2028 Total deaths: 1,009 2027 Total deaths: 989 2026 Total deaths: 967 2025 Total deaths: 946 2024 Total deaths: 922 2023 Total deaths: 899 2022 Total deaths: 879 2021 Total deaths: 859 2020 Total deaths: 844 2019 Total deaths: 829 2018 Total deaths: 816 2017 Total deaths: 815 2036 Total births: 1,452 2035 Total births: 1,441 2034 Total births: 1,429 2033 Total births: 1,421 2032 Total births: 1,413 2031 Total births: 1,403 2030 Total births: 1,393 2029 Total births: 1,383 2028 Total births: 1,372 2027 Total births: 1,360 2026 Total births: 1,347 2025 Total births: 1,332 2024 Total births: 1,315 2023 Total births: 1,297 2022 Total births: 1,276 2021 Total births: 1,250 2020 Total births: 1,224 2019 Total births: 1,193 2018 Total births: 1,163 2017 Total births: 1,127 2036 Natural increase: 310 2035 Natural increase: 312 2034 Natural increase: 314 2033 Natural increase: 322 2032 Natural increase: 329 2031 Natural increase: 336 2030 Natural increase: 344 2029 Natural increase: 353 2028 Natural increase: 363 2027 Natural increase: 371 2026 Natural increase: 380 2025 Natural increase: 386 2024 Natural increase: 393 2023 Natural increase: 398 2022 Natural increase: 397 2021 Natural increase: 391 2020 Natural increase: 380 2019 Natural increase: 363 2018 Natural increase: 346 2017 Natural increase: 312 2036 Total deaths: 1,142 2035 Total deaths: 1,129 2034 Total deaths: 1,115 2033 Total deaths: 1,099 2032 Total deaths: 1,083 2031 Total deaths: 1,067 2030 Total deaths: 1,049 2029 Total deaths: 1,030 2028 Total deaths: 1,009 2027 Total deaths: 989 2026 Total deaths: 967 2025 Total deaths: 946 2024 Total deaths: 922 2023 Total deaths: 899 2022 Total deaths: 879 2021 Total deaths: 859 2020 Total deaths: 844 2019 Total deaths: 829 2018 Total deaths: 816 2017 Total deaths: 815 2036 Total births: 1,452 2035 Total births: 1,441 2034 Total births: 1,429 2033 Total births: 1,421 2032 Total births: 1,413 2031 Total births: 1,403 2030 Total births: 1,393 2029 Total births: 1,383 2028 Total births: 1,372 2027 Total births: 1,360 2026 Total births: 1,347 2025 Total births: 1,332 2024 Total births: 1,315 2023 Total births: 1,297 2022 Total births: 1,276 2021 Total births: 1,250 2020 Total births: 1,224 2019 Total births: 1,193 2018 Total births: 1,163 2017 Total births: 1,127
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 1,009 2035 Total net migration: 1,043 2034 Total net migration: 1,085 2033 Total net migration: 978 2032 Total net migration: 994 2031 Total net migration: 1,107 2030 Total net migration: 1,133 2029 Total net migration: 1,162 2028 Total net migration: 1,247 2027 Total net migration: 1,324 2026 Total net migration: 1,396 2025 Total net migration: 1,506 2024 Total net migration: 1,646 2023 Total net migration: 1,697 2022 Total net migration: 1,846 2021 Total net migration: 1,892 2020 Total net migration: 1,891 2019 Total net migration: 2,034 2018 Total net migration: 1,896 2017 Total net migration: 2,013 2036 Total out migration: 9,250 2035 Total out migration: 9,158 2034 Total out migration: 9,061 2033 Total out migration: 8,971 2032 Total out migration: 8,881 2031 Total out migration: 8,775 2030 Total out migration: 8,672 2029 Total out migration: 8,569 2028 Total out migration: 8,453 2027 Total out migration: 8,323 2026 Total out migration: 8,193 2025 Total out migration: 8,060 2024 Total out migration: 7,909 2023 Total out migration: 7,755 2022 Total out migration: 7,572 2021 Total out migration: 7,382 2020 Total out migration: 7,200 2019 Total out migration: 7,003 2018 Total out migration: 6,816 2017 Total out migration: 6,633 2036 Total in migration: 10,259 2035 Total in migration: 10,202 2034 Total in migration: 10,145 2033 Total in migration: 9,949 2032 Total in migration: 9,875 2031 Total in migration: 9,882 2030 Total in migration: 9,806 2029 Total in migration: 9,731 2028 Total in migration: 9,700 2027 Total in migration: 9,647 2026 Total in migration: 9,589 2025 Total in migration: 9,566 2024 Total in migration: 9,554 2023 Total in migration: 9,451 2022 Total in migration: 9,418 2021 Total in migration: 9,274 2020 Total in migration: 9,092 2019 Total in migration: 9,037 2018 Total in migration: 8,712 2017 Total in migration: 8,646 2036 Total net migration: 1,009 2035 Total net migration: 1,043 2034 Total net migration: 1,085 2033 Total net migration: 978 2032 Total net migration: 994 2031 Total net migration: 1,107 2030 Total net migration: 1,133 2029 Total net migration: 1,162 2028 Total net migration: 1,247 2027 Total net migration: 1,324 2026 Total net migration: 1,396 2025 Total net migration: 1,506 2024 Total net migration: 1,646 2023 Total net migration: 1,697 2022 Total net migration: 1,846 2021 Total net migration: 1,892 2020 Total net migration: 1,891 2019 Total net migration: 2,034 2018 Total net migration: 1,896 2017 Total net migration: 2,013 2036 Total out migration: 9,250 2035 Total out migration: 9,158 2034 Total out migration: 9,061 2033 Total out migration: 8,971 2032 Total out migration: 8,881 2031 Total out migration: 8,775 2030 Total out migration: 8,672 2029 Total out migration: 8,569 2028 Total out migration: 8,453 2027 Total out migration: 8,323 2026 Total out migration: 8,193 2025 Total out migration: 8,060 2024 Total out migration: 7,909 2023 Total out migration: 7,755 2022 Total out migration: 7,572 2021 Total out migration: 7,382 2020 Total out migration: 7,200 2019 Total out migration: 7,003 2018 Total out migration: 6,816 2017 Total out migration: 6,633 2036 Total in migration: 10,259 2035 Total in migration: 10,202 2034 Total in migration: 10,145 2033 Total in migration: 9,949 2032 Total in migration: 9,875 2031 Total in migration: 9,882 2030 Total in migration: 9,806 2029 Total in migration: 9,731 2028 Total in migration: 9,700 2027 Total in migration: 9,647 2026 Total in migration: 9,589 2025 Total in migration: 9,566 2024 Total in migration: 9,554 2023 Total in migration: 9,451 2022 Total in migration: 9,418 2021 Total in migration: 9,274 2020 Total in migration: 9,092 2019 Total in migration: 9,037 2018 Total in migration: 8,712 2017 Total in migration: 8,646
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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