City of KnoxPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Knox

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Knox is 40-44 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Knox depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Attraction of families (0-18 and 30-39 years), with some new development opportunities in parts of the City and the regeneration of other parts as areas continue to move through the suburb lifecycle, with older 'empty-nester' households moving out of the family home and providing a supply of older dwellings for families to move into, so regenerating the area
  • Loss of empty nesters and retirees (50-69 years)
  • Increasing loss of older people through migration over the period (70+ years), as people age within the community and older retirees form an increasingly large proportion of the population. Migration of older persons is triggered by the wish to down-size, or to move into retirement complexes; there will also be a sizeable proportion of people of advanced years moving into aged-care
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -213 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -444 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -705 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -585 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -292 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 214 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 520 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 461 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 707 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 567 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 264 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 132 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -150 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -364 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -631 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -615 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -244 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 237 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 938 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 884 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 626 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 32 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 281 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 800 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 797 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 349 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 301 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 20 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -179 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -213 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -444 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -705 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -585 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -292 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 214 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 520 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 461 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 707 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 567 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 225 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 264 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 132 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -52 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -150 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -364 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -631 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -615 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -244 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 237 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 938 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 884 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 626 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 32 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 281 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 800 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 797 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 349 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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