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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

Mordialloc Planning Area

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Mordialloc Planning Area is forecast to grow from 6,100 in 2021 to 6,880 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.50 to 2.46 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the City of Kingston. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Mordialloc Planning AreaForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population14,65715,29615,53815,86616,266
Change in population (5yrs)--639242328400
Average annual change--0.86%0.31%0.42%0.50%
Households5,7665,9626,1086,3006,505
Average household size2.502.532.502.472.46
Population in non private dwellings216216245274294
Dwellings6,1006,3056,4636,6646,880
Dwelling occupancy rate94.5294.5694.5194.5494.55
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Mordialloc Planning Area was estimated to be 14,657 people. It is expected to increase by over 881 people to 15,538 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.17%. This is based on an increase of over 342 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.50 to 2.50 by 2026.

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