Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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Kempsey Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kempsey Shire will increase by an average of 115 dwellings per annum to 16,438 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kempsey Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2011 to 2036
Kempsey ShireChange in dwellings between 2011 and 2036
Areanumber%
Kempsey Shire+2,882+21.3
Aldavilla - Euroka - Yarravel+244+27.3
Crescent Head - Kundabung+220+18.1
East Kempsey+97+9.0
Frederickton and District+174+20.9
Rural West – Bellbrook+80+6.1
Smithtown - Gladstone and District+25+2.2
South Kempsey+138+13.5
South West Rocks - Jerseyville+1,521+50.4
Stuarts Point and District+73+9.1
West Kempsey - Greenhill+310+14.0

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2016.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 16,438 2035 Total dwellings: 16,281 2034 Total dwellings: 16,129 2033 Total dwellings: 15,974 2032 Total dwellings: 15,821 2031 Total dwellings: 15,677 2030 Total dwellings: 15,534 2029 Total dwellings: 15,393 2028 Total dwellings: 15,249 2027 Total dwellings: 15,106 2026 Total dwellings: 14,965 2025 Total dwellings: 14,826 2024 Total dwellings: 14,694 2023 Total dwellings: 14,569 2022 Total dwellings: 14,451 2021 Total dwellings: 14,347 2020 Total dwellings: 14,254 2019 Total dwellings: 14,167 2018 Total dwellings: 14,088 2017 Total dwellings: 13,999 2016 Total dwellings: 13,902 2015 Total dwellings: 13,837 2014 Total dwellings: 13,764 2013 Total dwellings: 13,687 2012 Total dwellings: 13,621 2036 Total dwellings: 16,438 2035 Total dwellings: 16,281 2034 Total dwellings: 16,129 2033 Total dwellings: 15,974 2032 Total dwellings: 15,821 2031 Total dwellings: 15,677 2030 Total dwellings: 15,534 2029 Total dwellings: 15,393 2028 Total dwellings: 15,249 2027 Total dwellings: 15,106 2026 Total dwellings: 14,965 2025 Total dwellings: 14,826 2024 Total dwellings: 14,694 2023 Total dwellings: 14,569 2022 Total dwellings: 14,451 2021 Total dwellings: 14,347 2020 Total dwellings: 14,254 2019 Total dwellings: 14,167 2018 Total dwellings: 14,088 2017 Total dwellings: 13,999 2016 Total dwellings: 13,902 2015 Total dwellings: 13,837 2014 Total dwellings: 13,764 2013 Total dwellings: 13,687 2012 Total dwellings: 13,621 2036 Forecast development: 157 2035 Forecast development: 152 2034 Forecast development: 155 2033 Forecast development: 153 2032 Forecast development: 144 2031 Forecast development: 143 2030 Forecast development: 141 2029 Forecast development: 144 2028 Forecast development: 143 2027 Forecast development: 141 2026 Forecast development: 139 2025 Forecast development: 132 2024 Forecast development: 125 2023 Forecast development: 118 2022 Forecast development: 104 2021 Forecast development: 93 2020 Forecast development: 87 2019 Forecast development: 79 2018 Forecast development: 89 2017 Forecast development: 97 2016 Forecast development: 65 2015 Forecast development: 73 2014 Forecast development: 77 2013 Forecast development: 66 2012 Forecast development: 65
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
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