Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Kempsey Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Kempsey Shire will increase by an average of 127 dwellings per annum to 16,332 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Kempsey Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Kempsey ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Kempsey Shire+2,536+18.4
Aldavilla - Euroka - Yarravel+207+22.0
Crescent Head - Kundabung+181+15.2
East Kempsey+82+8.1
Frederickton and District+147+17.3
Rural West – Bellbrook+70+5.5
Smithtown - Gladstone and District+20+1.8
South Kempsey+109+10.5
South West Rocks - Jerseyville+1,410+45.4
Stuarts Point and District+63+7.4
West Kempsey - Greenhill+247+10.4

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 16,332 2035 Total dwellings: 16,175 2034 Total dwellings: 16,023 2033 Total dwellings: 15,868 2032 Total dwellings: 15,715 2031 Total dwellings: 15,571 2030 Total dwellings: 15,428 2029 Total dwellings: 15,287 2028 Total dwellings: 15,143 2027 Total dwellings: 15,000 2026 Total dwellings: 14,859 2025 Total dwellings: 14,720 2024 Total dwellings: 14,588 2023 Total dwellings: 14,463 2022 Total dwellings: 14,345 2021 Total dwellings: 14,241 2020 Total dwellings: 14,148 2019 Total dwellings: 14,061 2018 Total dwellings: 13,982 2017 Total dwellings: 13,893 2036 Total dwellings: 16,332 2035 Total dwellings: 16,175 2034 Total dwellings: 16,023 2033 Total dwellings: 15,868 2032 Total dwellings: 15,715 2031 Total dwellings: 15,571 2030 Total dwellings: 15,428 2029 Total dwellings: 15,287 2028 Total dwellings: 15,143 2027 Total dwellings: 15,000 2026 Total dwellings: 14,859 2025 Total dwellings: 14,720 2024 Total dwellings: 14,588 2023 Total dwellings: 14,463 2022 Total dwellings: 14,345 2021 Total dwellings: 14,241 2020 Total dwellings: 14,148 2019 Total dwellings: 14,061 2018 Total dwellings: 13,982 2017 Total dwellings: 13,893 2036 Forecast development: 157 2035 Forecast development: 152 2034 Forecast development: 155 2033 Forecast development: 153 2032 Forecast development: 144 2031 Forecast development: 143 2030 Forecast development: 141 2029 Forecast development: 144 2028 Forecast development: 143 2027 Forecast development: 141 2026 Forecast development: 139 2025 Forecast development: 132 2024 Forecast development: 125 2023 Forecast development: 118 2022 Forecast development: 104 2021 Forecast development: 93 2020 Forecast development: 87 2019 Forecast development: 79 2018 Forecast development: 89 2017 Forecast development: 97
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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