Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Kempsey Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Kempsey Shire is forecast to grow from 13,795 in 2016 to 15,570 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.35 to 2.30 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Kempsey Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Kempsey ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population29,45630,14731,29632,64934,148
Change in population (5yrs)--6921,1481,3531,499
Average annual change--0.47%0.75%0.85%0.90%
Households12,11512,51113,05113,66814,315
Average household size2.352.332.312.302.30
Population in non private dwellings1,0431,0431,1181,1681,218
Dwellings13,79514,24014,85815,57016,331
Dwelling occupancy rate87.8287.8687.8487.7887.66

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.30 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.30 2033 Average household size: 2.30 2032 Average household size: 2.30 2031 Average household size: 2.30 2030 Average household size: 2.30 2029 Average household size: 2.31 2028 Average household size: 2.31 2027 Average household size: 2.31 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.32 2023 Average household size: 2.32 2022 Average household size: 2.32 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.33 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.34 2016 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Average household size: 2.30 2035 Average household size: 2.30 2034 Average household size: 2.30 2033 Average household size: 2.30 2032 Average household size: 2.30 2031 Average household size: 2.30 2030 Average household size: 2.30 2029 Average household size: 2.31 2028 Average household size: 2.31 2027 Average household size: 2.31 2026 Average household size: 2.31 2025 Average household size: 2.32 2024 Average household size: 2.32 2023 Average household size: 2.32 2022 Average household size: 2.32 2021 Average household size: 2.33 2020 Average household size: 2.33 2019 Average household size: 2.34 2018 Average household size: 2.34 2017 Average household size: 2.34 2036 Households: 14,315 2035 Households: 14,182 2034 Households: 14,053 2033 Households: 13,921 2032 Households: 13,791 2031 Households: 13,669 2030 Households: 13,548 2029 Households: 13,426 2028 Households: 13,301 2027 Households: 13,177 2026 Households: 13,054 2025 Households: 12,933 2024 Households: 12,818 2023 Households: 12,708 2022 Households: 12,604 2021 Households: 12,513 2020 Households: 12,430 2019 Households: 12,352 2018 Households: 12,281 2017 Households: 12,203 2016 Households: 12,117 2036 Total population: 34,148 2035 Total population: 33,856 2034 Total population: 33,556 2033 Total population: 33,261 2032 Total population: 32,964 2031 Total population: 32,649 2030 Total population: 32,383 2029 Total population: 32,118 2028 Total population: 31,800 2027 Total population: 31,542 2026 Total population: 31,296 2025 Total population: 31,085 2024 Total population: 30,852 2023 Total population: 30,640 2022 Total population: 30,343 2021 Total population: 30,147 2020 Total population: 30,041 2019 Total population: 29,921 2018 Total population: 29,815 2017 Total population: 29,649 2016 Total population: 29,456
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Kempsey Shire was estimated to be 29,456 people. It is expected to increase by over 3,100 people to 32,649 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 1.03%. This is based on an increase of over 1,500 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.35 to 2.30 by 2031.

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