Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Kempsey Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Kempsey Shire indicate a 9.2% increase in population under working age, a 23.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.5% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kempsey Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kempsey Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,6735.71,7665.61,9235.6+250
5 to 9 1,8126.21,9726.32,1266.2+315
10 to 14 1,7576.01,9886.42,1606.3+403
15 to 19 1,7015.81,6985.41,8685.5+167
20 to 24 1,4294.91,3634.41,5184.4+88
25 to 29 1,4915.11,3924.41,4584.3-33
30 to 34 1,3664.61,3884.41,4794.3+113
35 to 39 1,3694.61,5394.91,6474.8+278
40 to 44 1,6015.41,6265.21,7725.2+171
45 to 49 1,7175.81,7075.51,9055.6+189
50 to 54 2,0396.91,9506.22,0896.1+50
55 to 59 2,3628.02,1246.82,2626.6-101
60 to 64 2,3417.92,3607.52,4447.2+103
65 to 69 2,3187.92,4117.72,3957.0+77
70 to 74 1,6405.62,1076.72,2546.6+613
75 to 79 1,2024.11,7895.71,9895.8+787
80 to 84 7702.61,1443.71,5254.5+755
85 and over8693.09713.11,3353.9+466
Total persons29,456100.031,296100.034,148100.0+4,693

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,335 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,525 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,989 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,254 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,395 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,444 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,262 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,089 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,905 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,772 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,647 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,479 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,458 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,518 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,160 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,126 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,923 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 971 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,144 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,789 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,107 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,411 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,360 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,124 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,950 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,707 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,626 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,539 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,388 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,392 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,363 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,698 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,988 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,972 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,766 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 869 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 770 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,640 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,318 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,341 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,362 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,039 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,717 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,601 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,369 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,366 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,491 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,429 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,701 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,757 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,812 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,673
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 380 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 200 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -16 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 198 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 108 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 170 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 172 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 157 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 102 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 375 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 587 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 466 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 20 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -89 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -9 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 25 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -99 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -66 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 93
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Kempsey Shire was ages 55 to 59 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 587 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 2,411 persons.

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