Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
Skip to content

Kempsey Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Kempsey Shire indicate a 1.2% decrease in population under working age, a 45.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kempsey Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kempsey Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,8386.31,7695.71,8985.7+60
5 to 9 1,8766.41,9176.22,0676.2+191
10 to 14 1,9726.81,9326.32,1146.3+142
15 to 19 1,8906.51,7355.61,8275.5-63
20 to 24 1,3794.71,3944.51,4854.4+106
25 to 29 1,2654.31,3774.51,4504.3+185
30 to 34 1,2974.51,3814.51,4584.4+161
35 to 39 1,4955.11,4564.71,6084.8+114
40 to 44 1,6965.81,5585.11,7385.2+42
45 to 49 2,0196.91,6815.51,8485.5-171
50 to 54 2,2387.71,8956.22,0236.0-215
55 to 59 2,2587.82,1156.92,2126.6-47
60 to 64 2,2437.72,3427.62,3747.1+131
65 to 69 1,7806.12,3327.62,3567.0+576
70 to 74 1,3974.82,0626.72,2226.6+826
75 to 79 9713.31,6815.51,9375.8+966
80 to 84 7842.71,1453.71,5064.5+722
85 and over7332.51,0073.31,3344.0+602
Total persons29,128100.030,779100.033,457100.0+4,329

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 1,334 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 1,506 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,937 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 2,222 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 2,356 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,374 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,212 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,023 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,848 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,738 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,608 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,458 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,450 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,485 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,827 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,114 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,067 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,898 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,145 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,681 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,062 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,332 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 2,342 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,115 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,895 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,681 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,558 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,456 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,381 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,377 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,394 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,735 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,932 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,917 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,769 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 733 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 784 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 971 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,780 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 2,243 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 2,258 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 2,238 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 2,019 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,696 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,495 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,297 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 1,265 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 1,379 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,890 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,972 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,876 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,838
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 328 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 361 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 256 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 160 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 96 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 128 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 167 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 180 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 77 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 73 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 91 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 92 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 182 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 150 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 130 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 274 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 362 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 710 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 666 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 552 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: -143 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -343 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -337 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -138 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 15 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -155 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: -40 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: -69
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Kempsey Shire was ages 55 to 59 , which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 710 and account for 5.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 2,342 persons.

v17.08.15-1.0.0