Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Kempsey Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Kempsey Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,499 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Kempsey ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--1,9191,9011,9522,032
Deaths--1,7101,7631,9322,105
Natural increase/decrease--20913821-73
Net migration--7031,1311,4691,703
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--0755050

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 292 2035 forecast population change: 300 2034 forecast population change: 295 2033 forecast population change: 296 2032 forecast population change: 316 2031 forecast population change: 266 2030 forecast population change: 266 2029 forecast population change: 318 2028 forecast population change: 258 2027 forecast population change: 246 2026 forecast population change: 211 2025 forecast population change: 232 2024 forecast population change: 212 2023 forecast population change: 297 2022 forecast population change: 196 2021 forecast population change: 107 2020 forecast population change: 120 2019 forecast population change: 106 2018 forecast population change: 166 2017 forecast population change: 194
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -22 2035 Natural increase: -19 2034 Natural increase: -14 2033 Natural increase: -10 2032 Natural increase: -7 2031 Natural increase: -4 2030 Natural increase: 0 2029 Natural increase: 4 2028 Natural increase: 8 2027 Natural increase: 12 2026 Natural increase: 19 2025 Natural increase: 22 2024 Natural increase: 29 2023 Natural increase: 33 2022 Natural increase: 35 2021 Natural increase: 40 2020 Natural increase: 43 2019 Natural increase: 47 2018 Natural increase: 44 2017 Natural increase: 34 2036 Total deaths: 435 2035 Total deaths: 429 2034 Total deaths: 421 2033 Total deaths: 413 2032 Total deaths: 407 2031 Total deaths: 401 2030 Total deaths: 394 2029 Total deaths: 386 2028 Total deaths: 379 2027 Total deaths: 372 2026 Total deaths: 364 2025 Total deaths: 359 2024 Total deaths: 351 2023 Total deaths: 346 2022 Total deaths: 343 2021 Total deaths: 339 2020 Total deaths: 338 2019 Total deaths: 338 2018 Total deaths: 342 2017 Total deaths: 352 2036 Total births: 413 2035 Total births: 410 2034 Total births: 406 2033 Total births: 403 2032 Total births: 400 2031 Total births: 397 2030 Total births: 394 2029 Total births: 390 2028 Total births: 387 2027 Total births: 384 2026 Total births: 383 2025 Total births: 381 2024 Total births: 380 2023 Total births: 379 2022 Total births: 378 2021 Total births: 380 2020 Total births: 382 2019 Total births: 384 2018 Total births: 386 2017 Total births: 387 2036 Natural increase: -22 2035 Natural increase: -19 2034 Natural increase: -14 2033 Natural increase: -10 2032 Natural increase: -7 2031 Natural increase: -4 2030 Natural increase: 0 2029 Natural increase: 4 2028 Natural increase: 8 2027 Natural increase: 12 2026 Natural increase: 19 2025 Natural increase: 22 2024 Natural increase: 29 2023 Natural increase: 33 2022 Natural increase: 35 2021 Natural increase: 40 2020 Natural increase: 43 2019 Natural increase: 47 2018 Natural increase: 44 2017 Natural increase: 34 2036 Total deaths: 435 2035 Total deaths: 429 2034 Total deaths: 421 2033 Total deaths: 413 2032 Total deaths: 407 2031 Total deaths: 401 2030 Total deaths: 394 2029 Total deaths: 386 2028 Total deaths: 379 2027 Total deaths: 372 2026 Total deaths: 364 2025 Total deaths: 359 2024 Total deaths: 351 2023 Total deaths: 346 2022 Total deaths: 343 2021 Total deaths: 339 2020 Total deaths: 338 2019 Total deaths: 338 2018 Total deaths: 342 2017 Total deaths: 352 2036 Total births: 413 2035 Total births: 410 2034 Total births: 406 2033 Total births: 403 2032 Total births: 400 2031 Total births: 397 2030 Total births: 394 2029 Total births: 390 2028 Total births: 387 2027 Total births: 384 2026 Total births: 383 2025 Total births: 381 2024 Total births: 380 2023 Total births: 379 2022 Total births: 378 2021 Total births: 380 2020 Total births: 382 2019 Total births: 384 2018 Total births: 386 2017 Total births: 387
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 350 2035 Total net migration: 355 2034 Total net migration: 345 2033 Total net migration: 343 2032 Total net migration: 309 2031 Total net migration: 307 2030 Total net migration: 303 2029 Total net migration: 301 2028 Total net migration: 287 2027 Total net migration: 271 2026 Total net migration: 230 2025 Total net migration: 249 2024 Total net migration: 223 2023 Total net migration: 228 2022 Total net migration: 201 2021 Total net migration: 108 2020 Total net migration: 119 2019 Total net migration: 103 2018 Total net migration: 167 2017 Total net migration: 206 2036 Total out migration: 2,393 2035 Total out migration: 2,371 2034 Total out migration: 2,347 2033 Total out migration: 2,324 2032 Total out migration: 2,304 2031 Total out migration: 2,285 2030 Total out migration: 2,264 2029 Total out migration: 2,246 2028 Total out migration: 2,228 2027 Total out migration: 2,213 2026 Total out migration: 2,200 2025 Total out migration: 2,186 2024 Total out migration: 2,171 2023 Total out migration: 2,160 2022 Total out migration: 2,150 2021 Total out migration: 2,146 2020 Total out migration: 2,144 2019 Total out migration: 2,145 2018 Total out migration: 2,137 2017 Total out migration: 2,125 2036 Total in migration: 2,743 2035 Total in migration: 2,727 2034 Total in migration: 2,692 2033 Total in migration: 2,667 2032 Total in migration: 2,614 2031 Total in migration: 2,591 2030 Total in migration: 2,566 2029 Total in migration: 2,547 2028 Total in migration: 2,515 2027 Total in migration: 2,484 2026 Total in migration: 2,430 2025 Total in migration: 2,435 2024 Total in migration: 2,394 2023 Total in migration: 2,388 2022 Total in migration: 2,351 2021 Total in migration: 2,254 2020 Total in migration: 2,263 2019 Total in migration: 2,248 2018 Total in migration: 2,304 2017 Total in migration: 2,330 2036 Total net migration: 350 2035 Total net migration: 355 2034 Total net migration: 345 2033 Total net migration: 343 2032 Total net migration: 309 2031 Total net migration: 307 2030 Total net migration: 303 2029 Total net migration: 301 2028 Total net migration: 287 2027 Total net migration: 271 2026 Total net migration: 230 2025 Total net migration: 249 2024 Total net migration: 223 2023 Total net migration: 228 2022 Total net migration: 201 2021 Total net migration: 108 2020 Total net migration: 119 2019 Total net migration: 103 2018 Total net migration: 167 2017 Total net migration: 206 2036 Total out migration: 2,393 2035 Total out migration: 2,371 2034 Total out migration: 2,347 2033 Total out migration: 2,324 2032 Total out migration: 2,304 2031 Total out migration: 2,285 2030 Total out migration: 2,264 2029 Total out migration: 2,246 2028 Total out migration: 2,228 2027 Total out migration: 2,213 2026 Total out migration: 2,200 2025 Total out migration: 2,186 2024 Total out migration: 2,171 2023 Total out migration: 2,160 2022 Total out migration: 2,150 2021 Total out migration: 2,146 2020 Total out migration: 2,144 2019 Total out migration: 2,145 2018 Total out migration: 2,137 2017 Total out migration: 2,125 2036 Total in migration: 2,743 2035 Total in migration: 2,727 2034 Total in migration: 2,692 2033 Total in migration: 2,667 2032 Total in migration: 2,614 2031 Total in migration: 2,591 2030 Total in migration: 2,566 2029 Total in migration: 2,547 2028 Total in migration: 2,515 2027 Total in migration: 2,484 2026 Total in migration: 2,430 2025 Total in migration: 2,435 2024 Total in migration: 2,394 2023 Total in migration: 2,388 2022 Total in migration: 2,351 2021 Total in migration: 2,254 2020 Total in migration: 2,263 2019 Total in migration: 2,248 2018 Total in migration: 2,304 2017 Total in migration: 2,330
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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