Kempsey ShirePopulation forecast
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Kempsey Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Kempsey Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 1,418 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Kempsey ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,8281,8681,8921,9381,986
Deaths1,5651,6201,7241,8822,042
Natural increase/decrease26324816956-56
Net migration-743841,0101,3341,593
Change in persons in non-private dwellings1150755050

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, January 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 278 2035 forecast population change: 290 2034 forecast population change: 272 2033 forecast population change: 272 2032 forecast population change: 307 2031 forecast population change: 247 2030 forecast population change: 233 2029 forecast population change: 309 2028 forecast population change: 238 2027 forecast population change: 232 2026 forecast population change: 222 2025 forecast population change: 212 2024 forecast population change: 196 2023 forecast population change: 279 2022 forecast population change: 159 2021 forecast population change: 98 2020 forecast population change: 75 2019 forecast population change: 70 2018 forecast population change: 95 2017 forecast population change: 113 2016 forecast population change: -6 2015 forecast population change: -48 2014 forecast population change: 20 2013 forecast population change: 68 2012 forecast population change: 100
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: -19 2035 Natural increase: -16 2034 Natural increase: -11 2033 Natural increase: -6 2032 Natural increase: -3 2031 Natural increase: 2 2030 Natural increase: 6 2029 Natural increase: 12 2028 Natural increase: 16 2027 Natural increase: 21 2026 Natural increase: 25 2025 Natural increase: 30 2024 Natural increase: 34 2023 Natural increase: 38 2022 Natural increase: 41 2021 Natural increase: 45 2020 Natural increase: 47 2019 Natural increase: 50 2018 Natural increase: 52 2017 Natural increase: 53 2016 Natural increase: 53 2015 Natural increase: 53 2014 Natural increase: 55 2013 Natural increase: 53 2012 Natural increase: 48 2036 Total births: 402 2035 Total births: 399 2034 Total births: 397 2033 Total births: 395 2032 Total births: 393 2031 Total births: 391 2030 Total births: 390 2029 Total births: 388 2028 Total births: 386 2027 Total births: 384 2026 Total births: 382 2025 Total births: 380 2024 Total births: 379 2023 Total births: 377 2022 Total births: 375 2021 Total births: 375 2020 Total births: 375 2019 Total births: 375 2018 Total births: 373 2017 Total births: 371 2016 Total births: 370 2015 Total births: 370 2014 Total births: 367 2013 Total births: 366 2012 Total births: 355 2036 Total deaths: 421 2035 Total deaths: 416 2034 Total deaths: 408 2033 Total deaths: 401 2032 Total deaths: 396 2031 Total deaths: 389 2030 Total deaths: 384 2029 Total deaths: 376 2028 Total deaths: 370 2027 Total deaths: 363 2026 Total deaths: 357 2025 Total deaths: 351 2024 Total deaths: 344 2023 Total deaths: 339 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 330 2020 Total deaths: 327 2019 Total deaths: 324 2018 Total deaths: 321 2017 Total deaths: 318 2016 Total deaths: 317 2015 Total deaths: 316 2014 Total deaths: 312 2013 Total deaths: 312 2012 Total deaths: 307 2036 Natural increase: -19 2035 Natural increase: -16 2034 Natural increase: -11 2033 Natural increase: -6 2032 Natural increase: -3 2031 Natural increase: 2 2030 Natural increase: 6 2029 Natural increase: 12 2028 Natural increase: 16 2027 Natural increase: 21 2026 Natural increase: 25 2025 Natural increase: 30 2024 Natural increase: 34 2023 Natural increase: 38 2022 Natural increase: 41 2021 Natural increase: 45 2020 Natural increase: 47 2019 Natural increase: 50 2018 Natural increase: 52 2017 Natural increase: 53 2016 Natural increase: 53 2015 Natural increase: 53 2014 Natural increase: 55 2013 Natural increase: 53 2012 Natural increase: 48 2036 Total births: 402 2035 Total births: 399 2034 Total births: 397 2033 Total births: 395 2032 Total births: 393 2031 Total births: 391 2030 Total births: 390 2029 Total births: 388 2028 Total births: 386 2027 Total births: 384 2026 Total births: 382 2025 Total births: 380 2024 Total births: 379 2023 Total births: 377 2022 Total births: 375 2021 Total births: 375 2020 Total births: 375 2019 Total births: 375 2018 Total births: 373 2017 Total births: 371 2016 Total births: 370 2015 Total births: 370 2014 Total births: 367 2013 Total births: 366 2012 Total births: 355 2036 Total deaths: 421 2035 Total deaths: 416 2034 Total deaths: 408 2033 Total deaths: 401 2032 Total deaths: 396 2031 Total deaths: 389 2030 Total deaths: 384 2029 Total deaths: 376 2028 Total deaths: 370 2027 Total deaths: 363 2026 Total deaths: 357 2025 Total deaths: 351 2024 Total deaths: 344 2023 Total deaths: 339 2022 Total deaths: 334 2021 Total deaths: 330 2020 Total deaths: 327 2019 Total deaths: 324 2018 Total deaths: 321 2017 Total deaths: 318 2016 Total deaths: 317 2015 Total deaths: 316 2014 Total deaths: 312 2013 Total deaths: 312 2012 Total deaths: 307
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 330 2035 Total net migration: 339 2034 Total net migration: 316 2033 Total net migration: 313 2032 Total net migration: 295 2031 Total net migration: 280 2030 Total net migration: 263 2029 Total net migration: 283 2028 Total net migration: 259 2027 Total net migration: 248 2026 Total net migration: 234 2025 Total net migration: 219 2024 Total net migration: 199 2023 Total net migration: 203 2022 Total net migration: 155 2021 Total net migration: 90 2020 Total net migration: 64 2019 Total net migration: 56 2018 Total net migration: 78 2017 Total net migration: 95 2016 Total net migration: -24 2015 Total net migration: -67 2014 Total net migration: -1 2013 Total net migration: 3 2012 Total net migration: 15 2036 Total out migration: 2,341 2035 Total out migration: 2,321 2034 Total out migration: 2,300 2033 Total out migration: 2,279 2032 Total out migration: 2,262 2031 Total out migration: 2,243 2030 Total out migration: 2,226 2029 Total out migration: 2,208 2028 Total out migration: 2,191 2027 Total out migration: 2,177 2026 Total out migration: 2,161 2025 Total out migration: 2,146 2024 Total out migration: 2,134 2023 Total out migration: 2,120 2022 Total out migration: 2,113 2021 Total out migration: 2,111 2020 Total out migration: 2,111 2019 Total out migration: 2,111 2018 Total out migration: 2,105 2017 Total out migration: 2,097 2016 Total out migration: 2,102 2015 Total out migration: 2,117 2014 Total out migration: 2,123 2013 Total out migration: 2,125 2012 Total out migration: 2,198 2036 Total in migration: 2,671 2035 Total in migration: 2,661 2034 Total in migration: 2,616 2033 Total in migration: 2,592 2032 Total in migration: 2,557 2031 Total in migration: 2,523 2030 Total in migration: 2,489 2029 Total in migration: 2,491 2028 Total in migration: 2,450 2027 Total in migration: 2,425 2026 Total in migration: 2,395 2025 Total in migration: 2,365 2024 Total in migration: 2,332 2023 Total in migration: 2,323 2022 Total in migration: 2,268 2021 Total in migration: 2,201 2020 Total in migration: 2,176 2019 Total in migration: 2,167 2018 Total in migration: 2,183 2017 Total in migration: 2,192 2016 Total in migration: 2,078 2015 Total in migration: 2,050 2014 Total in migration: 2,122 2013 Total in migration: 2,128 2012 Total in migration: 2,212 2036 Total net migration: 330 2035 Total net migration: 339 2034 Total net migration: 316 2033 Total net migration: 313 2032 Total net migration: 295 2031 Total net migration: 280 2030 Total net migration: 263 2029 Total net migration: 283 2028 Total net migration: 259 2027 Total net migration: 248 2026 Total net migration: 234 2025 Total net migration: 219 2024 Total net migration: 199 2023 Total net migration: 203 2022 Total net migration: 155 2021 Total net migration: 90 2020 Total net migration: 64 2019 Total net migration: 56 2018 Total net migration: 78 2017 Total net migration: 95 2016 Total net migration: -24 2015 Total net migration: -67 2014 Total net migration: -1 2013 Total net migration: 3 2012 Total net migration: 15 2036 Total out migration: 2,341 2035 Total out migration: 2,321 2034 Total out migration: 2,300 2033 Total out migration: 2,279 2032 Total out migration: 2,262 2031 Total out migration: 2,243 2030 Total out migration: 2,226 2029 Total out migration: 2,208 2028 Total out migration: 2,191 2027 Total out migration: 2,177 2026 Total out migration: 2,161 2025 Total out migration: 2,146 2024 Total out migration: 2,134 2023 Total out migration: 2,120 2022 Total out migration: 2,113 2021 Total out migration: 2,111 2020 Total out migration: 2,111 2019 Total out migration: 2,111 2018 Total out migration: 2,105 2017 Total out migration: 2,097 2016 Total out migration: 2,102 2015 Total out migration: 2,117 2014 Total out migration: 2,123 2013 Total out migration: 2,125 2012 Total out migration: 2,198 2036 Total in migration: 2,671 2035 Total in migration: 2,661 2034 Total in migration: 2,616 2033 Total in migration: 2,592 2032 Total in migration: 2,557 2031 Total in migration: 2,523 2030 Total in migration: 2,489 2029 Total in migration: 2,491 2028 Total in migration: 2,450 2027 Total in migration: 2,425 2026 Total in migration: 2,395 2025 Total in migration: 2,365 2024 Total in migration: 2,332 2023 Total in migration: 2,323 2022 Total in migration: 2,268 2021 Total in migration: 2,201 2020 Total in migration: 2,176 2019 Total in migration: 2,167 2018 Total in migration: 2,183 2017 Total in migration: 2,192 2016 Total in migration: 2,078 2015 Total in migration: 2,050 2014 Total in migration: 2,122 2013 Total in migration: 2,128 2012 Total in migration: 2,212
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
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