Hume City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Hume City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Hume City indicate a 63.6% increase in population under working age, a 91.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 52.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hume City - Total persons201120262041Change between 2011 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,9207.423,2638.429,3008.1+16,380
5 to 9 12,8357.421,2577.727,2517.5+14,416
10 to 14 13,1627.619,1556.925,0216.9+11,859
15 to 19 13,5137.818,2596.623,9476.6+10,434
20 to 24 13,9318.019,8357.225,1086.9+11,177
25 to 29 13,3607.722,3578.127,1617.5+13,801
30 to 34 12,8227.423,1058.428,1057.8+15,283
35 to 39 12,3547.121,5867.826,9387.4+14,584
40 to 44 13,1987.619,2166.924,9136.9+11,715
45 to 49 12,6607.317,4276.323,5816.5+10,921
50 to 54 10,9736.315,2895.521,2785.9+10,305
55 to 59 9,1365.213,8825.018,7295.2+9,593
60 to 64 7,7644.511,9664.315,9964.4+8,232
65 to 69 5,6923.39,8853.613,4983.7+7,806
70 to 74 4,0732.37,6942.811,3913.1+7,318
75 to 79 2,9121.75,9112.19,1622.5+6,250
80 to 84 1,8641.13,6901.36,2441.7+4,380
85 and over1,1230.62,8211.04,6421.3+3,519
Total persons174,292100.0276,597100.0362,266100.0+187,974

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 4,642 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 6,244 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 9,162 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 11,391 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 13,498 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 15,996 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 18,729 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 21,278 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 23,581 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 24,913 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 26,938 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 28,105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 27,161 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 25,108 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 23,947 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 25,021 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 27,251 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 29,300 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,821 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,690 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 5,911 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,694 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,885 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 11,966 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 13,882 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 15,289 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 17,427 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 19,216 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 21,586 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 23,105 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 22,357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 19,835 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 18,259 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 19,155 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 21,257 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 23,263 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,123 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,864 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 2,912 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 4,073 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 5,692 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 7,764 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 9,136 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 10,973 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 12,660 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 13,198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 12,354 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 12,822 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 13,360 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 13,931 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 13,513 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 13,162 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 12,835 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 12,920
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,821 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 2,554 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 3,251 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 3,698 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 3,614 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 4,030 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 4,847 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 5,989 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 6,154 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 5,698 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 5,353 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 5,000 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 4,805 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 5,274 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 5,688 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 5,865 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 5,993 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 6,038 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,698 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 1,826 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 2,999 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 3,621 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 4,193 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 4,202 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 4,746 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 4,316 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 4,767 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 6,018 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 9,232 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 10,283 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 8,997 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 5,904 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 4,746 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 5,993 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 8,422 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 10,343
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Hume City was ages 20 to 24 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 10,343 and account for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 23,263 persons.

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