Hume City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Hume City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Hume City is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Hume City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial population gain over the forecast period owing to significant new housing opportunities across the City, especially in the growth areas of Craigieburn, Sunbury, Greenvale, Kalkallo (Cloverton) and Mickleham (Merrifield)
  • Significant gain of young and established families (0-17 and 20-49 years)
  • Very little net change through migration in older age groups (55+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -25 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -183 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -209 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -170 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -75 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,378 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,188 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,557 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,470 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,558 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 771 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,035 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,640 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -154 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 359 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 934 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,779 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,629 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 3,945 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,998 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,913 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,369 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,826 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,896 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 2,632 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -25 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -183 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -95 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -209 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -186 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -170 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -75 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 703 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 695 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,378 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 3,188 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,557 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,470 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,558 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 771 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,035 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 1,640 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -45 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 60 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -154 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -55 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 359 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 934 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,779 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,629 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 3,945 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 4,998 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 3,913 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 2,369 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1,826 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 1,896 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 2,632
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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