City of Hobsons BayPopulation forecast
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Hobsons Bay City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Hobsons Bay City indicate a 18.3% increase in population under working age, a 30.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hobsons Bay City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hobsons Bay City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,9336.86,8996.87,2326.7+1,298
5 to 9 4,8765.66,1066.16,5576.1+1,681
10 to 14 4,7675.55,4235.45,8805.5+1,113
15 to 19 5,0255.75,2555.25,5925.2+567
20 to 24 5,8816.75,9145.96,2475.8+367
25 to 29 6,5837.57,2397.27,4306.9+847
30 to 34 6,6467.67,9377.98,0597.5+1,413
35 to 39 6,9367.97,8967.88,1147.6+1,178
40 to 44 6,9638.07,6177.67,9057.4+941
45 to 49 6,5517.57,1307.17,4987.0+947
50 to 54 6,0376.96,6086.66,9346.5+897
55 to 59 4,9835.75,9785.96,2095.8+1,225
60 to 64 4,3134.95,2935.25,5855.2+1,272
65 to 69 3,2363.74,6454.65,0004.7+1,764
70 to 74 2,7473.13,7543.74,3224.0+1,575
75 to 79 2,4572.83,0653.03,6483.4+1,190
80 to 84 1,8682.12,1212.12,6972.5+829
85 and over1,5871.81,9541.92,3342.2+747
Total persons87,391100.0100,833100.0107,243100.0+19,852

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,334 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,697 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,648 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,322 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 5,000 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 5,585 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 6,209 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 6,934 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,498 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 7,905 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 8,114 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 8,059 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 7,430 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 6,247 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,592 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 5,880 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 6,557 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,232 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 1,954 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,121 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,065 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,754 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,645 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 5,293 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 5,978 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,608 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 7,130 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,617 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 7,896 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 7,937 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 7,239 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 5,914 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,255 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,423 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,899 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 2,457 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 2,747 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 3,236 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 4,313 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 4,983 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 6,037 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 6,551 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 6,963 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 6,936 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 6,646 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 6,583 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 5,881 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 5,025 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 4,767 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 4,876 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 5,933
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 380 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 576 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 582 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 568 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 355 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 231 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 326 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 368 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 288 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 218 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 122 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 337 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 457 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 451 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 367 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 608 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,409 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 979 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 994 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 572 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 579 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 654 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 960 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 656 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 1,229 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 966
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Hobsons Bay City was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69 , which is expected to increase by 1,409 and account for 4.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 7,937 persons.

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