City of Hobsons BayPopulation forecast
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Hobsons Bay City

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Hobsons Bay City indicate a 24.1% increase in population under working age, a 38.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hobsons Bay City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Hobsons Bay City - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,9336.87,1826.97,8356.9+1,901
5 to 9 4,8765.66,3946.26,9216.1+2,045
10 to 14 4,7675.55,7575.56,1595.4+1,392
15 to 19 5,0255.75,4295.25,8715.2+846
20 to 24 5,8816.76,0595.86,6975.9+816
25 to 29 6,5837.57,3747.18,0327.1+1,449
30 to 34 6,6467.68,0917.88,7007.7+2,053
35 to 39 6,9367.98,0067.78,5657.6+1,629
40 to 44 6,9638.07,7117.48,1987.2+1,234
45 to 49 6,5517.57,2176.97,6906.8+1,139
50 to 54 6,0376.96,7506.57,1036.3+1,067
55 to 59 4,9835.76,0745.86,3895.6+1,406
60 to 64 4,3134.95,3945.25,8165.1+1,502
65 to 69 3,2363.74,7734.65,2334.6+1,997
70 to 74 2,7473.13,8873.74,5484.0+1,800
75 to 79 2,4572.83,2013.13,8673.4+1,410
80 to 84 1,8682.12,2862.22,9472.6+1,079
85 and over1,5871.82,2652.22,7382.4+1,151
Total persons87,391100.0103,848100.0113,309100.0+25,918

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,738 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,947 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,867 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,548 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 5,233 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 5,816 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 6,389 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 7,103 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,690 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,198 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 8,565 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 8,700 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 8,032 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 6,697 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,871 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 6,159 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 6,921 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,835 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,265 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,286 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,201 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,887 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,773 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 5,394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 6,074 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,750 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 7,217 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,711 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 8,006 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 8,091 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 7,374 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 6,059 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,429 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,757 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 6,394 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 7,182 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,587 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,868 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 2,457 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 2,747 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 3,236 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 4,313 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 4,983 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 6,037 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 6,551 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 6,963 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 6,936 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 6,646 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 6,583 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 5,881 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 5,025 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 4,767 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 4,876 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 5,933
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 661 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 666 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 661 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 460 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 421 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 315 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 354 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 473 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 487 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 560 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 609 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 658 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 638 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 443 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 402 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 528 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 652 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 678 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 418 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 1,140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,537 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,081 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 713 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 667 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 747 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 1,070 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,444 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 790 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 404 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 990 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 1,517 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 1,249
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Hobsons Bay City was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 8.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69 , which is expected to increase by 1,537 and account for 4.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 8,091 persons.

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