Greater Taree City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Greater Taree City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Greater Taree City is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Greater Taree City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Migration profile from 2006-2011 based on modelling to match 2011 Census based Estimated Resident Population (ERP) by age
  • Significant new housing opportunities across the City, particularly in the new town of Brimbin, Taree and in the coastal areas;
  • These developments are expected to attract a range of household types predominantly families and empty-nesters / retirees
  • Major loss of young adults leaving the City to find tertiary education and employment opportunities elsewhere
  • No significant attraction of the City to persons aged 70 and over
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 56 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -109 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -42 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 179 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 450 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 687 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 604 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 518 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 492 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 621 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 717 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 497 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -454 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 154 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 598 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 774 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: -54 0 2016 to 2021: -68 0 2016 to 2021: -54 0 2016 to 2021: 160 0 2016 to 2021: 399 0 2016 to 2021: 567 0 2016 to 2021: 548 0 2016 to 2021: 411 0 2016 to 2021: 483 0 2016 to 2021: 592 0 2016 to 2021: 694 0 2016 to 2021: 408 0 2016 to 2021: -188 0 2016 to 2021: -503 0 2016 to 2021: 97 0 2016 to 2021: 523 0 2016 to 2021: 693 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -62 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -70 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 71 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 255 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 389 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 340 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 280 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 316 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 412 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 374 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 135 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -439 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -867 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -60 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 258 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 404 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 56 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -109 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -42 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 179 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 450 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 687 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 604 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 518 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 492 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 621 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 717 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 497 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 31 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -454 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 154 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 598 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 774 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: -54 0 2016 to 2021: -68 0 2016 to 2021: -54 0 2016 to 2021: 160 0 2016 to 2021: 399 0 2016 to 2021: 567 0 2016 to 2021: 548 0 2016 to 2021: 411 0 2016 to 2021: 483 0 2016 to 2021: 592 0 2016 to 2021: 694 0 2016 to 2021: 408 0 2016 to 2021: -188 0 2016 to 2021: -503 0 2016 to 2021: 97 0 2016 to 2021: 523 0 2016 to 2021: 693 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 15 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -62 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -70 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 71 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 255 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 389 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 340 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 280 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 316 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 412 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 374 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 135 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -439 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -867 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -60 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 258 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 404
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2012.
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