Greater Hume ShirePopulation forecast
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Greater Hume Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Greater Hume Shire indicate a 8.9% increase in population under working age, a 43.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Greater Hume Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greater Hume Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 6116.17156.57726.6+161
5 to 9 7077.07817.18537.3+146
10 to 14 7887.87977.38807.5+92
15 to 19 7277.26405.87116.0-15
20 to 24 3973.94494.14884.1+91
25 to 29 4714.75044.65354.5+64
30 to 34 4284.35825.36185.3+190
35 to 39 5465.46265.76905.9+144
40 to 44 6336.36295.76945.9+60
45 to 49 7377.36165.67016.0-36
50 to 54 7717.76485.97116.0-60
55 to 59 7417.46976.47076.0-34
60 to 64 7547.57657.07256.2-29
65 to 69 6046.07426.87136.1+108
70 to 74 4294.36405.86705.7+242
75 to 79 2652.65054.65464.6+281
80 to 84 2512.53353.13983.4+148
85 and over2062.02912.73513.0+145
Total persons10,066100.010,960100.011,765100.0+1,699

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2014.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 546 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 670 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 713 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 725 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 707 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 711 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 701 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 694 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 690 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 618 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 535 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 488 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 711 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 880 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 853 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 772 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 291 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 335 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 505 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 640 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 742 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 765 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 697 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 648 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 616 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 629 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 626 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 582 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 504 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 449 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 640 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 797 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 781 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 715 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 206 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 251 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 265 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 429 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 604 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 754 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 741 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 771 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 737 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 633 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 546 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 428 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 471 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 397 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 727 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 788 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 707 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 611
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2014.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 60 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 41 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 31 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -29 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -40 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 63 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 65 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 64 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 71 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 72 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 137 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: -44 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -123 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -122 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 154 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 32 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 53 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -87 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 74 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 104
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2014.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Greater Hume Shire was ages 10 to 14 , which accounted for 7.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 240 and account for 4.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 797 persons.

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