City of GosnellsPopulation forecast
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City of Gosnells

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Gosnells is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Gosnells depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions: influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas, namely Canning Vale (North), Canning Vale (South), Southern River (East) and Southern River (West), are expected to attract predominantly young couples, young and established families
  • Gain in young adults (18-24 years) in established areas such as Maddington, Huntingdale and Kenwick
  • Gain in mature and older families in the rural residential areas of the City
  • Loss of empty-nesters (55-64 years)
  • Relatively little net change through migration in older age groups (70+ years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -221 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -268 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 127 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,605 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,037 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,274 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 518 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -45 0 2016 to 2021: -71 0 2016 to 2021: -69 0 2016 to 2021: -146 0 2016 to 2021: -201 0 2016 to 2021: -208 0 2016 to 2021: 34 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: 237 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 570 0 2016 to 2021: 1,627 0 2016 to 2021: 1,953 0 2016 to 2021: 1,390 0 2016 to 2021: 359 0 2016 to 2021: 168 0 2016 to 2021: 352 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -72 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -51 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -138 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -227 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -182 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 84 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 301 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 279 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 363 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 540 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,352 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,643 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,230 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 513 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 398 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 479 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -134 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -131 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -221 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -268 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 127 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 27 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -17 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,605 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,037 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 1,274 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 115 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 518 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -45 0 2016 to 2021: -71 0 2016 to 2021: -69 0 2016 to 2021: -146 0 2016 to 2021: -201 0 2016 to 2021: -208 0 2016 to 2021: 34 0 2016 to 2021: 164 0 2016 to 2021: 237 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 570 0 2016 to 2021: 1,627 0 2016 to 2021: 1,953 0 2016 to 2021: 1,390 0 2016 to 2021: 359 0 2016 to 2021: 168 0 2016 to 2021: 352 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -72 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -31 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -51 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -17 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -138 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -227 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -182 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 84 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 301 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 279 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 363 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 540 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 1,352 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 1,643 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 1,230 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 513 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 398 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 479
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, January 2016.
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