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Gosford City

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Gosford City is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2011 to 2016.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Gosford City depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • A consistent pattern of migration throughout the period 2011-2026
  • Significant attraction of young and mature families (0-14 and 30-44 years)
  • Significant loss of young adults (18-24 years) as children leave the family home to access education opportunities, employment or affordable housing opportunities elsewhere, or younger first-time home-buyers leave to access affordable family housing with the intention of starting a family
  • Slight loss of middle-aged couples (15-19 and 45-59 years), probably 'empty-nesters' down-sizing
  • Gain of empty nesters and retirees (60-69 years)
  • Loss of older persons aged 70+, some of whom will be moving into aged care facilites or moving closer to family and/or support services
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -93 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -439 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 93 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 717 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,290 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 764 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -373 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -430 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 409 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 306 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 462 0 2016 to 2021: -126 0 2016 to 2021: -129 0 2016 to 2021: -130 0 2016 to 2021: -197 0 2016 to 2021: 201 0 2016 to 2021: 321 0 2016 to 2021: 75 0 2016 to 2021: 139 0 2016 to 2021: 62 0 2016 to 2021: 789 0 2016 to 2021: 1,400 0 2016 to 2021: 939 0 2016 to 2021: 135 0 2016 to 2021: -506 0 2016 to 2021: -401 0 2016 to 2021: 390 0 2016 to 2021: 377 0 2016 to 2021: 568 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -186 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -156 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 48 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 54 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 223 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 381 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 61 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -100 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 89 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 540 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,411 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 998 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 28 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,070 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -765 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 393 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 294 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 452 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -93 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -314 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -439 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -247 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 93 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 220 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 163 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 717 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,290 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 764 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -373 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -430 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 409 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 306 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 462 0 2016 to 2021: -126 0 2016 to 2021: -129 0 2016 to 2021: -130 0 2016 to 2021: -197 0 2016 to 2021: 201 0 2016 to 2021: 321 0 2016 to 2021: 75 0 2016 to 2021: 139 0 2016 to 2021: 62 0 2016 to 2021: 789 0 2016 to 2021: 1,400 0 2016 to 2021: 939 0 2016 to 2021: 135 0 2016 to 2021: -506 0 2016 to 2021: -401 0 2016 to 2021: 390 0 2016 to 2021: 377 0 2016 to 2021: 568 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: -186 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -156 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 48 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 54 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: 223 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 381 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 61 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -100 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 89 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 540 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 1,411 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 998 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 28 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -1,070 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -765 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 393 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 294 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 452
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
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