Gosford City CouncilPopulation forecast
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Kariong

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Kariong is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 50 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
KariongForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births449447443441442
Deaths287300297297299
Natural increase/decrease162147146144143
Net migration-287-241-147-121-93
Change in persons in non-private dwellings00000

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2014.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 11 2035 forecast population change: 9 2034 forecast population change: 10 2033 forecast population change: 10 2032 forecast population change: 10 2031 forecast population change: 4 2030 forecast population change: 7 2029 forecast population change: 3 2028 forecast population change: 3 2027 forecast population change: 5 2026 forecast population change: 2 2025 forecast population change: 0 2024 forecast population change: 1 2023 forecast population change: -1 2022 forecast population change: -4 2021 forecast population change: -12 2020 forecast population change: -17 2019 forecast population change: -17 2018 forecast population change: -21 2017 forecast population change: -26 2016 forecast population change: -25 2015 forecast population change: -17 2014 forecast population change: -8 2013 forecast population change: 14 2012 forecast population change: -89
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 29 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 29 2033 Natural increase: 29 2032 Natural increase: 29 2031 Natural increase: 29 2030 Natural increase: 29 2029 Natural increase: 29 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 29 2026 Natural increase: 29 2025 Natural increase: 29 2024 Natural increase: 29 2023 Natural increase: 29 2022 Natural increase: 29 2021 Natural increase: 29 2020 Natural increase: 30 2019 Natural increase: 30 2018 Natural increase: 29 2017 Natural increase: 29 2016 Natural increase: 28 2015 Natural increase: 26 2014 Natural increase: 23 2013 Natural increase: 11 2012 Natural increase: 74 2036 Total deaths: 60 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 60 2033 Total deaths: 60 2032 Total deaths: 60 2031 Total deaths: 60 2030 Total deaths: 59 2029 Total deaths: 59 2028 Total deaths: 60 2027 Total deaths: 59 2026 Total deaths: 59 2025 Total deaths: 59 2024 Total deaths: 59 2023 Total deaths: 60 2022 Total deaths: 59 2021 Total deaths: 60 2020 Total deaths: 60 2019 Total deaths: 60 2018 Total deaths: 60 2017 Total deaths: 61 2016 Total deaths: 61 2015 Total deaths: 63 2014 Total deaths: 66 2013 Total deaths: 76 2012 Total deaths: 21 2036 Total births: 89 2035 Total births: 89 2034 Total births: 88 2033 Total births: 88 2032 Total births: 88 2031 Total births: 88 2030 Total births: 88 2029 Total births: 88 2028 Total births: 88 2027 Total births: 88 2026 Total births: 88 2025 Total births: 89 2024 Total births: 89 2023 Total births: 89 2022 Total births: 89 2021 Total births: 89 2020 Total births: 89 2019 Total births: 90 2018 Total births: 90 2017 Total births: 89 2016 Total births: 89 2015 Total births: 89 2014 Total births: 89 2013 Total births: 87 2012 Total births: 95 2036 Natural increase: 29 2035 Natural increase: 29 2034 Natural increase: 29 2033 Natural increase: 29 2032 Natural increase: 29 2031 Natural increase: 29 2030 Natural increase: 29 2029 Natural increase: 29 2028 Natural increase: 29 2027 Natural increase: 29 2026 Natural increase: 29 2025 Natural increase: 29 2024 Natural increase: 29 2023 Natural increase: 29 2022 Natural increase: 29 2021 Natural increase: 29 2020 Natural increase: 30 2019 Natural increase: 30 2018 Natural increase: 29 2017 Natural increase: 29 2016 Natural increase: 28 2015 Natural increase: 26 2014 Natural increase: 23 2013 Natural increase: 11 2012 Natural increase: 74 2036 Total deaths: 60 2035 Total deaths: 60 2034 Total deaths: 60 2033 Total deaths: 60 2032 Total deaths: 60 2031 Total deaths: 60 2030 Total deaths: 59 2029 Total deaths: 59 2028 Total deaths: 60 2027 Total deaths: 59 2026 Total deaths: 59 2025 Total deaths: 59 2024 Total deaths: 59 2023 Total deaths: 60 2022 Total deaths: 59 2021 Total deaths: 60 2020 Total deaths: 60 2019 Total deaths: 60 2018 Total deaths: 60 2017 Total deaths: 61 2016 Total deaths: 61 2015 Total deaths: 63 2014 Total deaths: 66 2013 Total deaths: 76 2012 Total deaths: 21 2036 Total births: 89 2035 Total births: 89 2034 Total births: 88 2033 Total births: 88 2032 Total births: 88 2031 Total births: 88 2030 Total births: 88 2029 Total births: 88 2028 Total births: 88 2027 Total births: 88 2026 Total births: 88 2025 Total births: 89 2024 Total births: 89 2023 Total births: 89 2022 Total births: 89 2021 Total births: 89 2020 Total births: 89 2019 Total births: 90 2018 Total births: 90 2017 Total births: 89 2016 Total births: 89 2015 Total births: 89 2014 Total births: 89 2013 Total births: 87 2012 Total births: 95
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -18 2035 Total net migration: -19 2034 Total net migration: -19 2033 Total net migration: -19 2032 Total net migration: -19 2031 Total net migration: -24 2030 Total net migration: -22 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -26 2027 Total net migration: -24 2026 Total net migration: -27 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -29 2023 Total net migration: -30 2022 Total net migration: -33 2021 Total net migration: -41 2020 Total net migration: -47 2019 Total net migration: -47 2018 Total net migration: -50 2017 Total net migration: -55 2016 Total net migration: -53 2015 Total net migration: -43 2014 Total net migration: -31 2013 Total net migration: 3 2012 Total net migration: -163 2036 Total out migration: 545 2035 Total out migration: 545 2034 Total out migration: 544 2033 Total out migration: 543 2032 Total out migration: 542 2031 Total out migration: 542 2030 Total out migration: 542 2029 Total out migration: 542 2028 Total out migration: 542 2027 Total out migration: 541 2026 Total out migration: 541 2025 Total out migration: 542 2024 Total out migration: 542 2023 Total out migration: 543 2022 Total out migration: 544 2021 Total out migration: 546 2020 Total out migration: 548 2019 Total out migration: 551 2018 Total out migration: 553 2017 Total out migration: 553 2016 Total out migration: 554 2015 Total out migration: 554 2014 Total out migration: 553 2013 Total out migration: 551 2012 Total out migration: 550 2036 Total in migration: 527 2035 Total in migration: 525 2034 Total in migration: 525 2033 Total in migration: 525 2032 Total in migration: 524 2031 Total in migration: 518 2030 Total in migration: 520 2029 Total in migration: 516 2028 Total in migration: 516 2027 Total in migration: 518 2026 Total in migration: 514 2025 Total in migration: 513 2024 Total in migration: 514 2023 Total in migration: 513 2022 Total in migration: 511 2021 Total in migration: 504 2020 Total in migration: 501 2019 Total in migration: 504 2018 Total in migration: 503 2017 Total in migration: 497 2016 Total in migration: 501 2015 Total in migration: 511 2014 Total in migration: 522 2013 Total in migration: 554 2012 Total in migration: 386 2036 Total net migration: -18 2035 Total net migration: -19 2034 Total net migration: -19 2033 Total net migration: -19 2032 Total net migration: -19 2031 Total net migration: -24 2030 Total net migration: -22 2029 Total net migration: -25 2028 Total net migration: -26 2027 Total net migration: -24 2026 Total net migration: -27 2025 Total net migration: -29 2024 Total net migration: -29 2023 Total net migration: -30 2022 Total net migration: -33 2021 Total net migration: -41 2020 Total net migration: -47 2019 Total net migration: -47 2018 Total net migration: -50 2017 Total net migration: -55 2016 Total net migration: -53 2015 Total net migration: -43 2014 Total net migration: -31 2013 Total net migration: 3 2012 Total net migration: -163 2036 Total out migration: 545 2035 Total out migration: 545 2034 Total out migration: 544 2033 Total out migration: 543 2032 Total out migration: 542 2031 Total out migration: 542 2030 Total out migration: 542 2029 Total out migration: 542 2028 Total out migration: 542 2027 Total out migration: 541 2026 Total out migration: 541 2025 Total out migration: 542 2024 Total out migration: 542 2023 Total out migration: 543 2022 Total out migration: 544 2021 Total out migration: 546 2020 Total out migration: 548 2019 Total out migration: 551 2018 Total out migration: 553 2017 Total out migration: 553 2016 Total out migration: 554 2015 Total out migration: 554 2014 Total out migration: 553 2013 Total out migration: 551 2012 Total out migration: 550 2036 Total in migration: 527 2035 Total in migration: 525 2034 Total in migration: 525 2033 Total in migration: 525 2032 Total in migration: 524 2031 Total in migration: 518 2030 Total in migration: 520 2029 Total in migration: 516 2028 Total in migration: 516 2027 Total in migration: 518 2026 Total in migration: 514 2025 Total in migration: 513 2024 Total in migration: 514 2023 Total in migration: 513 2022 Total in migration: 511 2021 Total in migration: 504 2020 Total in migration: 501 2019 Total in migration: 504 2018 Total in migration: 503 2017 Total in migration: 497 2016 Total in migration: 501 2015 Total in migration: 511 2014 Total in migration: 522 2013 Total in migration: 554 2012 Total in migration: 386
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
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