Glenelg ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Glenelg Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Glenelg Shire will increase by an average of 60 dwellings per annum to 11,239 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Glenelg Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Glenelg ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Glenelg Shire+1,192+11.9
Casterton+40+4.3
Glenelg Rural+150+6.3
Heywood+80+9.3
Portland (Central)+223+9.4
Portland (South)+442+17.5
Portland Surrounds+257+26.4

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 11,239 2035 Total dwellings: 11,179 2034 Total dwellings: 11,119 2033 Total dwellings: 11,059 2032 Total dwellings: 10,999 2031 Total dwellings: 10,939 2030 Total dwellings: 10,879 2029 Total dwellings: 10,819 2028 Total dwellings: 10,757 2027 Total dwellings: 10,694 2026 Total dwellings: 10,631 2025 Total dwellings: 10,566 2024 Total dwellings: 10,501 2023 Total dwellings: 10,439 2022 Total dwellings: 10,377 2021 Total dwellings: 10,316 2020 Total dwellings: 10,256 2019 Total dwellings: 10,197 2018 Total dwellings: 10,139 2017 Total dwellings: 10,089 2036 Total dwellings: 11,239 2035 Total dwellings: 11,179 2034 Total dwellings: 11,119 2033 Total dwellings: 11,059 2032 Total dwellings: 10,999 2031 Total dwellings: 10,939 2030 Total dwellings: 10,879 2029 Total dwellings: 10,819 2028 Total dwellings: 10,757 2027 Total dwellings: 10,694 2026 Total dwellings: 10,631 2025 Total dwellings: 10,566 2024 Total dwellings: 10,501 2023 Total dwellings: 10,439 2022 Total dwellings: 10,377 2021 Total dwellings: 10,316 2020 Total dwellings: 10,256 2019 Total dwellings: 10,197 2018 Total dwellings: 10,139 2017 Total dwellings: 10,089 2036 Forecast development: 60 2035 Forecast development: 60 2034 Forecast development: 60 2033 Forecast development: 60 2032 Forecast development: 60 2031 Forecast development: 60 2030 Forecast development: 60 2029 Forecast development: 62 2028 Forecast development: 63 2027 Forecast development: 63 2026 Forecast development: 65 2025 Forecast development: 65 2024 Forecast development: 62 2023 Forecast development: 62 2022 Forecast development: 61 2021 Forecast development: 60 2020 Forecast development: 59 2019 Forecast development: 58 2018 Forecast development: 50 2017 Forecast development: 42
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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