Glenelg ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Glenelg Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Glenelg Shire indicate a 2.9% increase in population under working age, a 28.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Glenelg Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Glenelg Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,0445.31,0535.21,0655.1+21
5 to 9 1,0575.41,1475.71,1705.6+113
10 to 14 1,1836.01,1795.81,2155.8+31
15 to 19 1,2276.29684.81,0264.9-200
20 to 24 9714.97633.87813.7-190
25 to 29 8284.29014.58584.1+30
30 to 34 9414.81,0155.01,0004.8+58
35 to 39 9634.91,0945.41,1535.5+190
40 to 44 1,2206.21,1315.61,1935.7-27
45 to 49 1,3476.81,1355.61,2175.8-130
50 to 54 1,6038.11,3156.51,2906.1-313
55 to 59 1,5988.11,4677.31,3726.5-226
60 to 64 1,5207.71,6148.01,4717.0-50
65 to 69 1,3967.11,5757.81,5367.3+140
70 to 74 9875.01,4317.11,5417.3+554
75 to 79 7904.01,1295.61,3086.2+519
80 to 84 5062.66753.39744.6+468
85 and over5422.75993.08213.9+279
Total persons19,723100.020,192100.020,989100.0+1,266

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 821 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 974 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,308 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,541 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,536 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,471 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,372 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,290 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,217 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,193 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,153 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,000 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 858 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 781 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,026 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,215 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,170 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,065 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 599 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 675 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,129 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,431 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,575 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,614 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,467 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,315 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,135 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,131 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,094 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,015 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 901 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 763 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 968 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,179 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 542 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 506 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 790 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 987 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,396 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,520 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,598 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,603 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 963 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 941 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 828 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 971 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,183 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,057 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,044
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 299 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 111 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -39 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -144 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -95 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -25 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 81 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 61 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 59 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -15 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -43 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 18 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 58 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 36 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 12 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 339 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 443 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -131 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -288 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -211 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -89 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 131 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -208 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -258 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 90 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 9
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Glenelg Shire was ages 50 to 54 , which accounted for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 443 and account for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 1,614 persons.

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