Glenelg ShirePopulation forecast
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Glenelg Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for Glenelg Shire indicate a 6.8% decrease in population under working age, a 34.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Glenelg Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Glenelg Shire - Total persons201120212036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,0855.51,0645.31,0975.2+12
5 to 9 1,1976.01,1595.81,2095.7+12
10 to 14 1,4187.21,2266.21,2716.0-147
15 to 19 1,3656.91,0665.41,0875.2-277
20 to 24 8504.38674.48063.8-44
25 to 29 9524.89434.79024.3-50
30 to 34 9794.91,0215.11,0775.1+97
35 to 39 1,2596.41,1876.01,2616.0+2
40 to 44 1,3396.81,1705.91,2646.0-75
45 to 49 1,5327.71,2516.31,2556.0-277
50 to 54 1,5167.61,3306.71,2846.1-232
55 to 59 1,5297.71,5177.61,3436.4-186
60 to 64 1,3676.91,4917.51,3946.6+26
65 to 69 1,0605.31,4667.41,4466.9+387
70 to 74 8554.31,2596.31,4386.8+584
75 to 79 6203.18604.31,2275.8+607
80 to 84 5052.55562.89184.4+413
85 and over3942.04772.47663.6+372
Total persons19,822100.019,910100.021,046100.0+1,225

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 766 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 918 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,438 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,446 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,394 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,343 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,284 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 1,255 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 1,264 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 1,261 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,077 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 902 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 806 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 1,087 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,271 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 1,209 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 1,097 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021: 477 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021: 556 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021: 860 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021: 1,259 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021: 1,466 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021: 1,491 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021: 1,517 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021: 1,330 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021: 1,251 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021: 1,170 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021: 1,187 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021: 1,021 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021: 943 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021: 867 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021: 1,066 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021: 1,226 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021: 1,159 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 394 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 505 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 620 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 855 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 1,060 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,367 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 1,529 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 1,516 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,532 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,339 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,259 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 979 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 952 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 850 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,365 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,418 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,197 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,085
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2036: 290 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2036: 362 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2036: 367 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2036: -98 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2036: -173 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2036: -46 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2036: 94 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2036: 56 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2036: -40 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2036: -61 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2036: 21 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2036: 46 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2036: 50 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2021: 82 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2021: 51 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2021: 240 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2021: 405 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2021: 406 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2021: 124 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2021: -13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2021: -185 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2021: -281 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2021: -169 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2021: -72 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2021: 42 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2021: -10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2021: 17 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2021: -298 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2021: -192 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2021: -37 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2021: -21
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Glenelg Shire was ages 45 to 49 , which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69 , which is expected to increase by 406 and account for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 1,517 persons.

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