Shire of GinginPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Shire of Gingin

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Shire of Gingin will increase by an average of 89 dwellings per annum to 5,698 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Shire of Gingin. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Shire of GinginChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Shire of Gingin+1,776+45.3
Lower Coastal+737+63.4
Rural - Gingin+488+44.9
Upper Coastal+551+33.0

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 5,698 2035 Total dwellings: 5,598 2034 Total dwellings: 5,498 2033 Total dwellings: 5,398 2032 Total dwellings: 5,298 2031 Total dwellings: 5,198 2030 Total dwellings: 5,098 2029 Total dwellings: 4,998 2028 Total dwellings: 4,898 2027 Total dwellings: 4,798 2026 Total dwellings: 4,698 2025 Total dwellings: 4,598 2024 Total dwellings: 4,500 2023 Total dwellings: 4,406 2022 Total dwellings: 4,316 2021 Total dwellings: 4,231 2020 Total dwellings: 4,153 2019 Total dwellings: 4,083 2018 Total dwellings: 4,021 2017 Total dwellings: 3,967 2036 Total dwellings: 5,698 2035 Total dwellings: 5,598 2034 Total dwellings: 5,498 2033 Total dwellings: 5,398 2032 Total dwellings: 5,298 2031 Total dwellings: 5,198 2030 Total dwellings: 5,098 2029 Total dwellings: 4,998 2028 Total dwellings: 4,898 2027 Total dwellings: 4,798 2026 Total dwellings: 4,698 2025 Total dwellings: 4,598 2024 Total dwellings: 4,500 2023 Total dwellings: 4,406 2022 Total dwellings: 4,316 2021 Total dwellings: 4,231 2020 Total dwellings: 4,153 2019 Total dwellings: 4,083 2018 Total dwellings: 4,021 2017 Total dwellings: 3,967 2036 Forecast development: 100 2035 Forecast development: 100 2034 Forecast development: 100 2033 Forecast development: 100 2032 Forecast development: 100 2031 Forecast development: 100 2030 Forecast development: 100 2029 Forecast development: 100 2028 Forecast development: 100 2027 Forecast development: 100 2026 Forecast development: 100 2025 Forecast development: 98 2024 Forecast development: 94 2023 Forecast development: 90 2022 Forecast development: 85 2021 Forecast development: 78 2020 Forecast development: 70 2019 Forecast development: 62 2018 Forecast development: 54 2017 Forecast development: 45
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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