Shire of GinginPopulation forecast
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Shire of Gingin

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in the Shire of Gingin is forecast to grow from 3,660 in 2011 to 4,644 in 2021, with the average household size falling from 2.46 to 2.45 by 2021.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Shire of Gingin. The period 2011 to 2021, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Shire of GinginForecast year
Summary201120162021202620312036
Population4,8225,3685,8936,5717,3058,053
Change in population (5yrs)--546525678734748
Average annual change--2.17%1.88%2.20%2.14%1.97%
Households1,9522,1772,3742,6612,9703,280
Average household size2.462.462.462.452.442.44
Population in non private dwellings161646464646
Dwellings3,6603,8684,1774,6445,1445,644
Dwelling occupancy rate53.3356.2856.8457.3057.7458.11

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2016.

Forecast population, households and average household size
Forecast population, households and average household size 2036 Average household size: 2.44 2035 Average household size: 2.44 2034 Average household size: 2.44 2033 Average household size: 2.44 2032 Average household size: 2.44 2031 Average household size: 2.44 2030 Average household size: 2.44 2029 Average household size: 2.45 2028 Average household size: 2.45 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.45 2025 Average household size: 2.45 2024 Average household size: 2.46 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.46 2021 Average household size: 2.46 2020 Average household size: 2.46 2019 Average household size: 2.46 2018 Average household size: 2.46 2017 Average household size: 2.46 2016 Average household size: 2.46 2015 Average household size: 2.46 2014 Average household size: 2.45 2013 Average household size: 2.45 2012 Average household size: 2.46 2011 Average household size: 2.46 2036 Average household size: 2.44 2035 Average household size: 2.44 2034 Average household size: 2.44 2033 Average household size: 2.44 2032 Average household size: 2.44 2031 Average household size: 2.44 2030 Average household size: 2.44 2029 Average household size: 2.45 2028 Average household size: 2.45 2027 Average household size: 2.45 2026 Average household size: 2.45 2025 Average household size: 2.45 2024 Average household size: 2.46 2023 Average household size: 2.46 2022 Average household size: 2.46 2021 Average household size: 2.46 2020 Average household size: 2.46 2019 Average household size: 2.46 2018 Average household size: 2.46 2017 Average household size: 2.46 2016 Average household size: 2.46 2015 Average household size: 2.46 2014 Average household size: 2.45 2013 Average household size: 2.45 2012 Average household size: 2.46 2036 Households: 3,283 2035 Households: 3,220 2034 Households: 3,158 2033 Households: 3,095 2032 Households: 3,033 2031 Households: 2,971 2030 Households: 2,909 2029 Households: 2,847 2028 Households: 2,785 2027 Households: 2,723 2026 Households: 2,662 2025 Households: 2,600 2024 Households: 2,540 2023 Households: 2,483 2022 Households: 2,427 2021 Households: 2,374 2020 Households: 2,324 2019 Households: 2,280 2018 Households: 2,241 2017 Households: 2,207 2016 Households: 2,179 2015 Households: 2,152 2014 Households: 2,101 2013 Households: 2,056 2012 Households: 2,004 2011 Households: 1,952 2036 Total population: 8,053 2035 Total population: 7,903 2034 Total population: 7,754 2033 Total population: 7,603 2032 Total population: 7,454 2031 Total population: 7,305 2030 Total population: 7,155 2029 Total population: 7,008 2028 Total population: 6,863 2027 Total population: 6,715 2026 Total population: 6,571 2025 Total population: 6,427 2024 Total population: 6,285 2023 Total population: 6,150 2022 Total population: 6,021 2021 Total population: 5,893 2020 Total population: 5,737 2019 Total population: 5,626 2018 Total population: 5,527 2017 Total population: 5,439 2016 Total population: 5,368 2015 Total population: 5,310 2014 Total population: 5,168 2013 Total population: 5,057 2012 Total population: 4,944 2011 Total population: 4,822
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the total population of the Shire of Gingin was estimated to be 4,822 people. It is expected to increase by over 1,700 people to 6,571 by 2021, at an average annual growth rate of 3.14%. This is based on an increase of over 700 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.46 to 2.45 by 2021.

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