Shire of GinginPopulation forecast
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Shire of Gingin

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for the Shire of Gingin indicate a 21.8% increase in population under working age, a 43.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Shire of Gingin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Shire of Gingin - Total persons201120212036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2785.83906.65366.7+258
5 to 9 3336.93856.55376.7+204
10 to 14 3216.73606.14876.0+166
15 to 19 2344.92975.03734.6+139
20 to 24 1823.82334.02993.7+117
25 to 29 1934.02344.03163.9+123
30 to 34 2034.22714.63694.6+166
35 to 39 2966.13335.74435.5+147
40 to 44 4058.43766.45016.2+96
45 to 49 3367.04127.05276.5+191
50 to 54 3437.14788.15847.3+241
55 to 59 3837.94567.76478.0+264
60 to 64 4559.44377.46638.2+208
65 to 69 3417.13856.55777.2+236
70 to 74 2455.13485.94305.3+185
75 to 79 1633.42484.23384.2+175
80 to 84 611.31262.12112.6+150
85 and over501.01252.12152.7+165
Total persons4,822100.05,893100.08,053100.0+3,231

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2016.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 215 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 211 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 338 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 577 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 663 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 647 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 584 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 527 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 501 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 443 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 369 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 316 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 299 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 373 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 487 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 537 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 536 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021: 125 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021: 248 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021: 348 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021: 385 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021: 437 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021: 456 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021: 478 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021: 412 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021: 376 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021: 333 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021: 271 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021: 234 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021: 233 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021: 297 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021: 360 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021: 385 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021: 390 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 50 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 61 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 163 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 245 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 341 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 455 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 383 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 343 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 336 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 405 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 296 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 203 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 193 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 182 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 234 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 321 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 333 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 278
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2036: 86 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2036: 192 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2036: 106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2036: 115 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2036: 125 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2036: 109 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2036: 99 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2036: 82 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2036: 77 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2036: 126 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2036: 146 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2021: 75 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2021: 65 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2021: 85 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2021: 103 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2021: 44 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2021: -18 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2021: 73 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2021: 135 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2021: 76 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2021: -29 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2021: 37 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2021: 68 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2021: 41 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2021: 51 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2021: 63 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2021: 39 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2021: 52 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2021: 112
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Shire of Gingin was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 9.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54 , which is expected to increase by 135 and account for 8.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 478 persons.

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