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Shire of GinginPopulation forecast

Upper Coastal

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Upper Coastal is forecast to grow from 1,735 in 2021 to 1,831 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 1.87 to 1.85 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in the Shire of Gingin. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

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Forecast population, households and dwellings
Upper CoastalForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population1,5591,6301,6871,7521,8101,861
Change in population (5yrs)--7157655852
Average annual change--0.89%0.69%0.76%0.65%0.56%
Households787812842882918952
Average household size1.871.891.891.871.861.85
Population in non private dwellings889298102103105
Dwellings1,7351,7631,7831,8111,8211,831
Dwelling occupancy rate45.3646.0647.2248.7050.4151.99
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Upper Coastal was estimated to be 1,559 people. It is expected to increase by over 128 people to 1,687 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 0.79%. This is based on an increase of over 55 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household rising from 1.87 to 1.89 by 2031.

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