Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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Fraser Coast Regional Council

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Fraser Coast Regional Council indicate a 22.4% increase in population under working age, a 59.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Fraser Coast Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fraser Coast Regional Council - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,7025.87,0405.78,2515.6+2,549
5 to 9 6,0676.27,7046.39,1416.2+3,074
10 to 14 6,7626.97,9426.59,5496.5+2,787
15 to 19 5,9846.16,7725.58,1445.6+2,160
20 to 24 4,4114.55,1104.26,0234.1+1,612
25 to 29 4,1844.35,0154.15,7123.9+1,529
30 to 34 4,5984.75,6104.66,4884.4+1,890
35 to 39 5,5675.76,4195.27,6535.2+2,086
40 to 44 6,0416.26,9165.68,3025.7+2,261
45 to 49 6,3646.57,0755.78,5115.8+2,147
50 to 54 6,7866.97,5296.18,8856.1+2,099
55 to 59 6,8737.08,1396.69,4436.4+2,570
60 to 64 7,7247.99,0407.310,4397.1+2,716
65 to 69 6,8447.09,2157.510,7157.3+3,871
70 to 74 5,4195.58,2426.79,9716.8+4,553
75 to 79 3,7473.86,8665.68,3335.7+4,585
80 to 84 2,5302.64,6483.86,0104.1+3,480
85 and over2,0612.13,8023.14,8903.3+2,829
Total persons97,664100.0123,084100.0146,461100.0+48,797

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,890 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 6,010 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 8,333 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,971 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,715 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 10,439 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 9,443 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,885 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 8,511 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,302 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 7,653 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 6,488 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,712 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 6,023 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 8,144 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,549 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 9,141 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 8,251 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,802 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,648 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,866 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 8,242 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,215 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,040 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 8,139 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,529 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 7,075 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 6,916 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 6,419 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 5,610 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 5,015 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 5,110 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 6,772 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 7,942 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 7,704 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 7,040 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 2,061 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 2,530 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 3,747 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 5,419 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 6,844 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 7,724 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 6,873 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 6,786 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 6,364 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 6,041 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 5,567 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 4,598 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 4,184 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 4,411 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 5,984 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,762 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 6,067 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 5,702
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,088 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,362 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,467 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,730 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,500 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,399 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,305 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,356 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,436 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,386 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,233 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 877 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 697 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 914 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,372 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,607 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,437 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,211 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,741 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 2,118 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 3,118 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 2,371 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,317 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 1,266 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 743 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 711 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 875 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 852 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 831 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 699 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 788 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 1,637 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 1,338
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Fraser Coast Regional Council was ages 60 to 64 , which accounted for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 3,118 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 9,215 persons.

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