Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Fraser Coast Regional

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Fraser Coast Regional indicate a 25.7% increase in population under working age, a 30.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 13.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Fraser Coast Regional is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Fraser Coast Regional - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 5,2125.16,9345.68,1805.6+2,967
5 to 9 6,2156.07,6306.29,0806.2+2,865
10 to 14 6,2716.17,6796.29,4786.4+3,207
15 to 19 5,6915.56,6505.48,0715.5+2,380
20 to 24 4,6204.54,9704.05,9164.0+1,296
25 to 29 4,5564.44,9354.05,6843.9+1,128
30 to 34 4,7264.65,5494.56,4584.4+1,732
35 to 39 5,0104.96,4165.27,5705.1+2,560
40 to 44 5,9465.86,8845.68,2365.6+2,290
45 to 49 6,2926.16,9185.68,5025.8+2,210
50 to 54 6,7776.67,5336.18,8966.0+2,119
55 to 59 7,5577.38,1886.69,4506.4+1,893
60 to 64 7,9217.79,1607.410,6087.2+2,687
65 to 69 8,8498.69,5057.710,9267.4+2,077
70 to 74 7,0336.88,4926.910,1776.9+3,143
75 to 79 4,8334.77,4406.08,5685.8+3,735
80 to 84 2,9512.94,8874.06,1634.2+3,212
85 and over2,4922.43,8533.15,1373.5+2,646
Total persons102,953100.0123,623100.0147,099100.0+44,146

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,137 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 6,163 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 8,568 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 10,177 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 10,926 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 10,608 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 9,450 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 8,896 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 8,502 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 8,236 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 7,570 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 6,458 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,684 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 5,916 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 8,071 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 9,478 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 9,080 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 8,180 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,853 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,887 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 7,440 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 8,492 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 9,505 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 9,160 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 8,188 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 7,533 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,918 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 6,884 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 6,416 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 5,549 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,935 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,970 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 6,650 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 7,679 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 7,630 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,934 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,492 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 2,951 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,833 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 7,033 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,849 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 7,921 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,557 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 6,777 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 6,292 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 5,946 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 5,010 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,726 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,556 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 4,620 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 5,691 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 6,271 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 6,215 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,212
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 1,285 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,276 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,128 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 1,421 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,448 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 1,261 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,362 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,584 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 1,352 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,154 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 909 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 749 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 946 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,422 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,799 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,450 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,245 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,361 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,936 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 2,607 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,458 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 655 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,238 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 632 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 756 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 626 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 937 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,407 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 823 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 379 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 350 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 959 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,408 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,415 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,722
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Fraser Coast Regional was ages 65 to 69 , which accounted for 8.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 2,607 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 9,505 persons.

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