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Frankston CityPopulation forecast

Frankston City

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Frankston City is forecast to grow from 58,772 in 2021 to 68,546 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 2.47 to 2.43 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Frankston City. The period 2021 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Frankston CityForecast year
Summary20212026203120362041
Population140,809148,252153,590157,883161,660
Change in population (5yrs)--7,4435,3384,2933,777
Average annual change--1.04%0.71%0.55%0.47%
Households56,13858,85861,21463,35665,332
Average household size2.472.482.472.452.43
Population in non private dwellings2,3362,3952,4652,5902,680
Dwellings58,77261,64364,14866,42968,546
Dwelling occupancy rate95.5295.4895.4395.3795.31
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Frankston City was estimated to be 140,809 people. It is expected to increase by over 12,781 people to 153,590 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.75%. This is based on an increase of over 5,076 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household remaining stable from 2.47 to 2.47 by 2026.

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