Corangamite ShirePopulation forecast
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Corangamite Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Corangamite Shire indicate a 12.9% decrease in population under working age, a 28.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.8% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Corangamite Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Corangamite Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,1046.79695.98885.4-215
5 to 9 1,0626.41,0076.19275.6-135
10 to 14 1,2387.59896.09425.7-296
15 to 19 1,2027.39815.98975.4-306
20 to 24 7234.47624.67364.4+13
25 to 29 6784.17614.67194.3+41
30 to 34 8144.97764.77214.3-93
35 to 39 8975.47824.77634.6-134
40 to 44 1,0846.68865.48585.2-227
45 to 49 1,2277.41,0246.29705.8-257
50 to 54 1,2317.41,1206.81,0786.5-153
55 to 59 1,0826.51,1777.11,1476.9+65
60 to 64 1,0356.31,2237.41,1957.2+160
65 to 69 9245.61,1356.91,2027.2+277
70 to 74 7544.69515.81,1386.9+383
75 to 79 6263.88064.91,0026.0+376
80 to 84 4572.86273.87854.7+328
85 and over3862.35083.16253.8+240
Total persons16,526100.016,485100.016,594100.0+68

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 625 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 785 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,002 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,138 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,195 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,147 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,078 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 970 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 858 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 763 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 721 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 719 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 736 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 897 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 942 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 927 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 888 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 508 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 627 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 806 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 951 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,135 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,223 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,177 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,120 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,024 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 886 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 782 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 776 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 761 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 762 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 981 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 989 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,007 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 969 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 386 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 457 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 626 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 754 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 924 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,035 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 1,082 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 1,231 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,084 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 897 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 814 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 678 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 723 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,202 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,238 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,062 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,104
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 158 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 197 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 187 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -41 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -54 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -28 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -19 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -55 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -42 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -26 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -84 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -47 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -80 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -80 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 170 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 179 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 197 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 211 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 188 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -111 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -203 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -199 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: -115 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: -38 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 83 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -222 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: -249 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: -55 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: -135
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Corangamite Shire was ages 10 to 14 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 65 to 69 , which is expected to increase by 211 and account for 6.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 1,223 persons.

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