Corangamite ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Corangamite Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Corangamite Shire indicate a 3.1% decrease in population under working age, a 18.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.3% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Corangamite Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Corangamite Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9165.79555.88855.3-30
5 to 9 1,0876.79976.19235.6-164
10 to 14 1,0106.39685.99445.7-65
15 to 19 1,0446.59715.99025.4-142
20 to 24 8025.07344.57304.4-71
25 to 29 7254.57444.57164.3-9
30 to 34 6994.37534.67154.3+16
35 to 39 7844.97874.87614.6-23
40 to 44 8835.58735.38505.1-34
45 to 49 1,1006.89896.09695.8-131
50 to 54 1,2207.61,0646.51,0756.5-146
55 to 59 1,2357.71,1687.11,1256.8-109
60 to 64 1,1166.91,2107.41,1537.0+37
65 to 69 1,0946.81,1737.21,1987.2+104
70 to 74 8215.19876.01,1276.8+306
75 to 79 6664.18885.41,0366.3+370
80 to 84 4813.06223.88084.9+327
85 and over4532.85113.16564.0+203
Total persons16,135100.016,395100.016,574100.0+439

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 656 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 808 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,036 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,127 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,198 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,153 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 1,125 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 1,075 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 969 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 850 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 761 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 715 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 716 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 730 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 902 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 944 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 923 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 885 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 511 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 622 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 888 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 987 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,173 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,210 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,168 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,064 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 989 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 873 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 787 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 753 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 744 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 734 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 971 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 968 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 997 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 955 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 453 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 481 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 666 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 821 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,094 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,116 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,235 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,220 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,100 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 883 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 784 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 699 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 725 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 802 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,044 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,010 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,087 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 916
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 145 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 186 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 149 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -57 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: -20 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -23 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -26 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -38 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: -29 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -4 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -69 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: -24 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -74 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -70 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 141 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 222 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 166 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 79 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 95 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -67 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -156 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -111 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -10 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 3 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -67 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -73 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -42 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -90 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 40
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Corangamite Shire was ages 55 to 59 , which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 222 and account for 5.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 1,210 persons.

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