Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Colac Otway Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Colac Otway Shire will increase by an average of 100 dwellings per annum to 13,830 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Colac Otway Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Colac Otway ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Colac Otway Shire+1,998+16.9
Colac - Central+126+6.8
Colac - East+201+15.8
Colac - West+379+27.9
Elliminyt+444+38.9
Great Ocean Road - Otways+589+18.6
Rural North+139+9.2
Rural South+120+7.9

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 13,830 2035 Total dwellings: 13,723 2034 Total dwellings: 13,616 2033 Total dwellings: 13,509 2032 Total dwellings: 13,402 2031 Total dwellings: 13,294 2030 Total dwellings: 13,190 2029 Total dwellings: 13,086 2028 Total dwellings: 12,984 2027 Total dwellings: 12,884 2026 Total dwellings: 12,788 2025 Total dwellings: 12,691 2024 Total dwellings: 12,594 2023 Total dwellings: 12,497 2022 Total dwellings: 12,401 2021 Total dwellings: 12,304 2020 Total dwellings: 12,208 2019 Total dwellings: 12,112 2018 Total dwellings: 12,017 2017 Total dwellings: 11,925 2036 Total dwellings: 13,830 2035 Total dwellings: 13,723 2034 Total dwellings: 13,616 2033 Total dwellings: 13,509 2032 Total dwellings: 13,402 2031 Total dwellings: 13,294 2030 Total dwellings: 13,190 2029 Total dwellings: 13,086 2028 Total dwellings: 12,984 2027 Total dwellings: 12,884 2026 Total dwellings: 12,788 2025 Total dwellings: 12,691 2024 Total dwellings: 12,594 2023 Total dwellings: 12,497 2022 Total dwellings: 12,401 2021 Total dwellings: 12,304 2020 Total dwellings: 12,208 2019 Total dwellings: 12,112 2018 Total dwellings: 12,017 2017 Total dwellings: 11,925 2036 Forecast development: 107 2035 Forecast development: 107 2034 Forecast development: 107 2033 Forecast development: 107 2032 Forecast development: 108 2031 Forecast development: 104 2030 Forecast development: 104 2029 Forecast development: 102 2028 Forecast development: 100 2027 Forecast development: 96 2026 Forecast development: 97 2025 Forecast development: 97 2024 Forecast development: 97 2023 Forecast development: 96 2022 Forecast development: 97 2021 Forecast development: 96 2020 Forecast development: 96 2019 Forecast development: 95 2018 Forecast development: 92 2017 Forecast development: 93
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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