Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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Colac Otway Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Colac Otway Shire is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Colac Otway Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Stable migration profile across the 2011-2026 period
  • Overall a dual housing market with gains of families with children aged 0-9 years, as well as older adults and retirees (45-64 years)
  • Small gain of frail elderly (85 years and over)
  • In common with most regional areas of Australia, large loss of young adults moving away for employment and education purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 65 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 147 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -81 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 79 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 98 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 4 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -39 0 2016 to 2021: -1 0 2016 to 2021: 57 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: 82 0 2016 to 2021: 44 0 2016 to 2021: 89 0 2016 to 2021: 150 0 2016 to 2021: 105 0 2016 to 2021: 2 0 2016 to 2021: -98 0 2016 to 2021: -255 0 2016 to 2021: -7 0 2016 to 2021: 75 0 2016 to 2021: 90 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 32 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -4 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 0 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 45 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 41 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 37 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 150 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -39 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -129 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -268 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -13 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 62 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 51 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 41 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -40 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 65 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 88 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 61 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 85 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 147 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -81 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -269 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -21 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 79 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 98 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 4 0 2016 to 2021: -12 0 2016 to 2021: -39 0 2016 to 2021: -1 0 2016 to 2021: 57 0 2016 to 2021: 65 0 2016 to 2021: 82 0 2016 to 2021: 44 0 2016 to 2021: 89 0 2016 to 2021: 150 0 2016 to 2021: 105 0 2016 to 2021: 2 0 2016 to 2021: -98 0 2016 to 2021: -255 0 2016 to 2021: -7 0 2016 to 2021: 75 0 2016 to 2021: 90 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 32 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -4 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 0 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -10 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: 53 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 45 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 41 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 49 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 37 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 150 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 104 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -39 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -129 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: -268 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -13 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 62 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 51
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
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