Colac Otway ShirePopulation forecast
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Colac Otway Shire

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Colac Otway Shire is forecast for the period from 2032 to 2036, which is expected to have a net increase of 778 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Colac Otway ShireForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births1,2961,2841,2681,2661,292
Deaths1,0901,1321,1721,2211,276
Natural increase/decrease206152964517
Net migration155396438623761
Change in persons in non-private dwellings003000

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2014.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 159 2035 forecast population change: 163 2034 forecast population change: 154 2033 forecast population change: 148 2032 forecast population change: 154 2031 forecast population change: 144 2030 forecast population change: 141 2029 forecast population change: 134 2028 forecast population change: 135 2027 forecast population change: 114 2026 forecast population change: 116 2025 forecast population change: 115 2024 forecast population change: 106 2023 forecast population change: 95 2022 forecast population change: 132 2021 forecast population change: 124 2020 forecast population change: 115 2019 forecast population change: 101 2018 forecast population change: 110 2017 forecast population change: 97 2016 forecast population change: 111 2015 forecast population change: 89 2014 forecast population change: 42 2013 forecast population change: 50 2012 forecast population change: 69
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 3 2035 Natural increase: 3 2034 Natural increase: 3 2033 Natural increase: 4 2032 Natural increase: 4 2031 Natural increase: 5 2030 Natural increase: 7 2029 Natural increase: 9 2028 Natural increase: 11 2027 Natural increase: 13 2026 Natural increase: 15 2025 Natural increase: 16 2024 Natural increase: 19 2023 Natural increase: 22 2022 Natural increase: 24 2021 Natural increase: 25 2020 Natural increase: 28 2019 Natural increase: 31 2018 Natural increase: 33 2017 Natural increase: 35 2016 Natural increase: 37 2015 Natural increase: 38 2014 Natural increase: 39 2013 Natural increase: 42 2012 Natural increase: 50 2036 Total births: 261 2035 Total births: 260 2034 Total births: 258 2033 Total births: 257 2032 Total births: 256 2031 Total births: 255 2030 Total births: 254 2029 Total births: 253 2028 Total births: 252 2027 Total births: 252 2026 Total births: 252 2025 Total births: 253 2024 Total births: 253 2023 Total births: 254 2022 Total births: 255 2021 Total births: 256 2020 Total births: 256 2019 Total births: 257 2018 Total births: 257 2017 Total births: 258 2016 Total births: 257 2015 Total births: 257 2014 Total births: 257 2013 Total births: 257 2012 Total births: 267 2036 Total deaths: 259 2035 Total deaths: 257 2034 Total deaths: 255 2033 Total deaths: 253 2032 Total deaths: 251 2031 Total deaths: 249 2030 Total deaths: 246 2029 Total deaths: 244 2028 Total deaths: 242 2027 Total deaths: 240 2026 Total deaths: 238 2025 Total deaths: 236 2024 Total deaths: 234 2023 Total deaths: 232 2022 Total deaths: 231 2021 Total deaths: 230 2020 Total deaths: 228 2019 Total deaths: 226 2018 Total deaths: 224 2017 Total deaths: 223 2016 Total deaths: 221 2015 Total deaths: 219 2014 Total deaths: 219 2013 Total deaths: 215 2012 Total deaths: 216 2036 Natural increase: 3 2035 Natural increase: 3 2034 Natural increase: 3 2033 Natural increase: 4 2032 Natural increase: 4 2031 Natural increase: 5 2030 Natural increase: 7 2029 Natural increase: 9 2028 Natural increase: 11 2027 Natural increase: 13 2026 Natural increase: 15 2025 Natural increase: 16 2024 Natural increase: 19 2023 Natural increase: 22 2022 Natural increase: 24 2021 Natural increase: 25 2020 Natural increase: 28 2019 Natural increase: 31 2018 Natural increase: 33 2017 Natural increase: 35 2016 Natural increase: 37 2015 Natural increase: 38 2014 Natural increase: 39 2013 Natural increase: 42 2012 Natural increase: 50 2036 Total births: 261 2035 Total births: 260 2034 Total births: 258 2033 Total births: 257 2032 Total births: 256 2031 Total births: 255 2030 Total births: 254 2029 Total births: 253 2028 Total births: 252 2027 Total births: 252 2026 Total births: 252 2025 Total births: 253 2024 Total births: 253 2023 Total births: 254 2022 Total births: 255 2021 Total births: 256 2020 Total births: 256 2019 Total births: 257 2018 Total births: 257 2017 Total births: 258 2016 Total births: 257 2015 Total births: 257 2014 Total births: 257 2013 Total births: 257 2012 Total births: 267 2036 Total deaths: 259 2035 Total deaths: 257 2034 Total deaths: 255 2033 Total deaths: 253 2032 Total deaths: 251 2031 Total deaths: 249 2030 Total deaths: 246 2029 Total deaths: 244 2028 Total deaths: 242 2027 Total deaths: 240 2026 Total deaths: 238 2025 Total deaths: 236 2024 Total deaths: 234 2023 Total deaths: 232 2022 Total deaths: 231 2021 Total deaths: 230 2020 Total deaths: 228 2019 Total deaths: 226 2018 Total deaths: 224 2017 Total deaths: 223 2016 Total deaths: 221 2015 Total deaths: 219 2014 Total deaths: 219 2013 Total deaths: 215 2012 Total deaths: 216
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: 156 2035 Total net migration: 160 2034 Total net migration: 152 2033 Total net migration: 144 2032 Total net migration: 149 2031 Total net migration: 138 2030 Total net migration: 133 2029 Total net migration: 125 2028 Total net migration: 124 2027 Total net migration: 101 2026 Total net migration: 102 2025 Total net migration: 98 2024 Total net migration: 87 2023 Total net migration: 73 2022 Total net migration: 78 2021 Total net migration: 98 2020 Total net migration: 88 2019 Total net migration: 71 2018 Total net migration: 77 2017 Total net migration: 62 2016 Total net migration: 75 2015 Total net migration: 51 2014 Total net migration: 3 2013 Total net migration: 8 2012 Total net migration: 19 2036 Total out migration: 1,865 2035 Total out migration: 1,852 2034 Total out migration: 1,840 2033 Total out migration: 1,829 2032 Total out migration: 1,814 2031 Total out migration: 1,803 2030 Total out migration: 1,793 2029 Total out migration: 1,784 2028 Total out migration: 1,775 2027 Total out migration: 1,760 2026 Total out migration: 1,754 2025 Total out migration: 1,748 2024 Total out migration: 1,743 2023 Total out migration: 1,741 2022 Total out migration: 1,727 2021 Total out migration: 1,721 2020 Total out migration: 1,716 2019 Total out migration: 1,713 2018 Total out migration: 1,708 2017 Total out migration: 1,695 2016 Total out migration: 1,690 2015 Total out migration: 1,687 2014 Total out migration: 1,690 2013 Total out migration: 1,690 2012 Total out migration: 1,695 2036 Total in migration: 2,021 2035 Total in migration: 2,012 2034 Total in migration: 1,992 2033 Total in migration: 1,973 2032 Total in migration: 1,963 2031 Total in migration: 1,941 2030 Total in migration: 1,926 2029 Total in migration: 1,909 2028 Total in migration: 1,899 2027 Total in migration: 1,862 2026 Total in migration: 1,856 2025 Total in migration: 1,846 2024 Total in migration: 1,830 2023 Total in migration: 1,813 2022 Total in migration: 1,805 2021 Total in migration: 1,820 2020 Total in migration: 1,803 2019 Total in migration: 1,784 2018 Total in migration: 1,785 2017 Total in migration: 1,756 2016 Total in migration: 1,764 2015 Total in migration: 1,739 2014 Total in migration: 1,693 2013 Total in migration: 1,697 2012 Total in migration: 1,714 2036 Total net migration: 156 2035 Total net migration: 160 2034 Total net migration: 152 2033 Total net migration: 144 2032 Total net migration: 149 2031 Total net migration: 138 2030 Total net migration: 133 2029 Total net migration: 125 2028 Total net migration: 124 2027 Total net migration: 101 2026 Total net migration: 102 2025 Total net migration: 98 2024 Total net migration: 87 2023 Total net migration: 73 2022 Total net migration: 78 2021 Total net migration: 98 2020 Total net migration: 88 2019 Total net migration: 71 2018 Total net migration: 77 2017 Total net migration: 62 2016 Total net migration: 75 2015 Total net migration: 51 2014 Total net migration: 3 2013 Total net migration: 8 2012 Total net migration: 19 2036 Total out migration: 1,865 2035 Total out migration: 1,852 2034 Total out migration: 1,840 2033 Total out migration: 1,829 2032 Total out migration: 1,814 2031 Total out migration: 1,803 2030 Total out migration: 1,793 2029 Total out migration: 1,784 2028 Total out migration: 1,775 2027 Total out migration: 1,760 2026 Total out migration: 1,754 2025 Total out migration: 1,748 2024 Total out migration: 1,743 2023 Total out migration: 1,741 2022 Total out migration: 1,727 2021 Total out migration: 1,721 2020 Total out migration: 1,716 2019 Total out migration: 1,713 2018 Total out migration: 1,708 2017 Total out migration: 1,695 2016 Total out migration: 1,690 2015 Total out migration: 1,687 2014 Total out migration: 1,690 2013 Total out migration: 1,690 2012 Total out migration: 1,695 2036 Total in migration: 2,021 2035 Total in migration: 2,012 2034 Total in migration: 1,992 2033 Total in migration: 1,973 2032 Total in migration: 1,963 2031 Total in migration: 1,941 2030 Total in migration: 1,926 2029 Total in migration: 1,909 2028 Total in migration: 1,899 2027 Total in migration: 1,862 2026 Total in migration: 1,856 2025 Total in migration: 1,846 2024 Total in migration: 1,830 2023 Total in migration: 1,813 2022 Total in migration: 1,805 2021 Total in migration: 1,820 2020 Total in migration: 1,803 2019 Total in migration: 1,784 2018 Total in migration: 1,785 2017 Total in migration: 1,756 2016 Total in migration: 1,764 2015 Total in migration: 1,739 2014 Total in migration: 1,693 2013 Total in migration: 1,697 2012 Total in migration: 1,714
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2014.
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