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City of Coffs HarbourPopulation forecast

City of Coffs Harbour

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Coffs Harbour indicate a 34.2% increase in population under working age, a 11.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Coffs Harbour is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Coffs Harbour - Total persons202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)4,1525.36,8427.47,6787.2+3,526
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)6,9668.88,9379.710,67610.0+3,710
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)5,9117.56,3846.98,2367.7+2,325
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)5,3616.86,6377.27,5187.1+2,157
Young workforce (25 to 34)8,99611.410,94711.812,41111.6+3,415
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)14,14218.017,09818.520,00218.8+5,860
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)9,97612.710,44711.312,19111.4+2,215
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)10,71813.610,48911.311,34410.6+626
Seniors (70 to 84)10,23213.012,32913.313,34812.5+3,116
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,2842.92,3652.63,1713.0+887
Total persons78,738100.092,475100.0106,575100.0+27,837
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Coffs Harbour was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 2,956 and account for 18.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 17,098 persons.

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