City of CockburnPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Cockburn

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Cockburn is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Cockburn depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Large attraction of families (0-9 and 20-34 years) as residential development continues in greenfield sites and masterplanned coastal estates such as Port Coogee. This falls in the later period to a small net loss in some child age groups as development opportunities in these areas are exhausted
  • Gain in young adults (18-24 years) attracted to apartments around Cockburn Central and housing opportunities close to Murdoch University
  • Some attraction of empty nesters and retirees (50-64 years), principally to sites such as Port Coogee and, in later periods, the Cockburn Coastal Strategy Area. There is a drop in this age group in later years, principally because of ageing in recently developed suburbs such as Atwell and Success, with people in these areas down-sizing or moving elsewhere for lifestyle reasons
  • Slight net loss in older age groups (75+ years) in the later part of the forecast, again through the ageing of the population in recently developed areas, as people move into aged care accomodation or downsize to dwellings elsewhere
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -78 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -44 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -32 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -101 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 418 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 609 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,411 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,943 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,671 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 661 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -91 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 76 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 114 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 310 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,013 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,217 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,662 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,269 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,043 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,167 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 531 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 894 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 982 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -78 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -140 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -76 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -44 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -32 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -20 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 5 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -101 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 46 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 418 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 609 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 1,411 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,943 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 1,671 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 661 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 15 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -43 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 155 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -19 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -91 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 38 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 27 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 64 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 76 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 114 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 150 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 310 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,013 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,217 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,662 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,269 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,043 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,167 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 531 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 894 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 982
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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