Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Canberra Region Joint Organisation

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Canberra Region Joint Organisation indicate a 8.3% increase in population under working age, a 31.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Canberra Region Joint Organisation is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canberra Region Joint Organisation - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,8395.714,1745.815,9695.8+3,130
5 to 9 14,1486.314,9546.116,8576.1+2,709
10 to 14 13,6606.114,8996.116,9766.1+3,316
15 to 19 13,0425.813,5275.514,9475.4+1,904
20 to 24 11,2685.011,3944.612,6214.6+1,354
25 to 29 11,8825.311,7984.813,0144.7+1,132
30 to 34 12,2185.512,6295.114,1445.1+1,926
35 to 39 11,9685.314,2555.815,9995.8+4,031
40 to 44 14,2416.415,2966.217,3066.3+3,065
45 to 49 15,5406.915,0556.117,5096.3+1,969
50 to 54 16,2637.315,8756.417,5496.3+1,286
55 to 59 16,8077.516,6366.817,3006.3+493
60 to 64 15,8517.117,1026.917,7636.4+1,913
65 to 69 15,1236.716,7086.817,4596.3+2,336
70 to 74 11,0884.914,6846.016,3265.9+5,238
75 to 79 7,8413.512,3215.014,2185.1+6,377
80 to 84 5,1702.38,0903.310,9554.0+5,785
85 and over5,1612.36,7472.79,5803.5+4,419
Total persons224,110100.0246,144100.0276,493100.0+52,382

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 9,580 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 10,955 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 14,218 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 16,326 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 17,459 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 17,763 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 17,300 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 17,549 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 17,509 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 17,306 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 15,999 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 14,144 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 13,014 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 12,621 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 14,947 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,976 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 16,857 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,969 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,747 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 8,090 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 12,321 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 14,684 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 16,708 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 17,102 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 16,636 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 15,875 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 15,055 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 15,296 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 14,255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 12,629 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 11,798 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 11,394 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 13,527 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 14,899 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 14,954 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 14,174 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 5,161 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 5,170 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 7,841 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 11,088 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 15,123 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 15,851 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 16,807 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 16,263 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 15,540 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 14,241 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 11,968 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 12,218 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 11,882 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 11,268 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 13,042 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 13,660 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 14,148 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 12,839
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,833 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,865 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,896 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,642 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 751 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 661 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 664 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,674 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,454 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,011 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,744 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,515 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,215 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,228 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,419 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,078 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,902 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,795 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,586 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 2,920 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 4,481 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 3,595 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,585 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,251 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -171 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -388 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -485 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,054 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 2,287 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 411 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -84 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 485 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 806 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 1,334
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Canberra Region Joint Organisation was ages 55 to 59 , which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 4,481 and account for 5.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 17,102 persons.

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