Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast
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Canberra Region Joint Organisation

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Canberra Region Joint Organisation indicate a 5.5% increase in population under working age, a 55.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Canberra Region Joint Organisation is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canberra Region Joint Organisation - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 12,7676.113,4365.715,1845.7+2,417
5 to 9 12,7796.114,1326.016,0886.1+3,308
10 to 14 14,0216.714,1866.016,2236.1+2,202
15 to 19 13,3766.412,8385.514,1885.4+812
20 to 24 10,2994.910,9454.711,9804.5+1,681
25 to 29 10,4075.011,3454.812,4494.7+2,042
30 to 34 10,5285.012,1985.213,5505.1+3,022
35 to 39 12,8376.213,3525.715,2915.8+2,454
40 to 44 14,5717.014,4076.116,5776.3+2,006
45 to 49 15,2947.314,6166.216,6546.3+1,360
50 to 54 15,9157.615,2516.516,6936.3+778
55 to 59 14,9917.215,9366.816,6816.3+1,690
60 to 64 14,6397.016,2956.917,0416.5+2,402
65 to 69 11,8445.715,9116.816,7096.3+4,866
70 to 74 8,8954.314,0536.015,5895.9+6,693
75 to 79 6,4033.111,6064.913,5825.1+7,178
80 to 84 4,8082.38,0063.410,4874.0+5,679
85 and over4,1952.06,5502.89,1093.4+4,914
Total persons208,570100.0235,063100.0264,074100.0+55,505

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, April 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 9,109 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 10,487 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 13,582 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 15,589 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 16,709 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 17,041 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 16,681 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 16,693 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 16,654 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 16,577 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 15,291 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 13,550 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 12,449 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 11,980 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 14,188 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 16,223 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 16,088 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 15,184 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 6,550 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 8,006 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 11,606 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 14,053 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 15,911 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 16,295 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 15,936 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 15,251 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 14,616 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 14,407 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 13,352 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 12,198 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 11,345 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 10,945 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 12,838 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 14,186 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 14,132 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 13,436 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 4,195 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 4,808 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 6,403 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 8,895 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 11,844 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 14,639 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 14,991 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 15,915 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 15,294 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 14,571 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 12,837 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 10,528 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 10,407 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 10,299 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 13,376 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 14,021 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 12,779 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 12,767
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 2,560 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,482 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,975 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,536 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 798 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 745 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 745 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 1,443 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2,038 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 2,170 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,939 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,352 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,104 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,035 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,350 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 2,037 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,955 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,748 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 2,354 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 3,198 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 5,203 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 5,157 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 4,068 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,657 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 945 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: -664 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: -679 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: -164 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 515 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 1,670 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 939 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 646 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: -539 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 165 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 1,353 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 669
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, April 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the Canberra Region Joint Organisation was ages 50 to 54 , which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 5,203 and account for 4.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 16,295 persons.

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